Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
SPACE POLICIES, ISSUES
AND TRENDS IN 2007/2008
Report 15, September 2008
Nicolas PETER, ESPI
2
Report 15, September 2008
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3
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction
6
Background
6
Objectives of this study
6
Chapter 1 - Global political and economic trends
7
1.1 Global economic outlook
7
1.2 Political developments
8
1.2.1 Europe
8
1.2.2 Asia
8
1.2.3 Africa
9
1.2.4 Americas
10
1.2.5 The Middle East
10
1.3 Major scientific achievements
11
1.4 Selected Focus
12
1.4.1 Europe in 2007/08
12
1.4.2 The United States in 2007/08
15
1.4.3 Russia in 2007/08
16
1.4.4 Japan in 2007/08
16
1.4.5 China in 2007/08
17
1.4.6 India in 2007/08
17
Chapter 2 - Global space sector - size and developments
19
2.1 Global space budgets and revenues
19
2.2 Overview of institutional space budgets
19
2.3 Overview of commercial space markets
26
2.3.1 Satellite services
26
Direct Broadcast Services
26
Fixed Satellite Services
28
Mobile Satellite Services
31
2.3.2 Satellite manufacturing
32
2.3.3 Launch sector
32
2.3.4 Ground equipment
34
2.3.5 Insurance sector
35
2.3.6 Emerging commercial markets
35
Chapter 3 â Global space policies and strategies
38
3.1 Europe
38
3.2 European Space Agency
38
3.3 European Union
40
3.4 Eumetsat
43
3.5 National governments
44
3.5.1 France
44
3.5.2 Germany
45
3.5.3 Italy
46
3.5.4 The United Kingdom
46
3.6 The United States
47
3.6.1 National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
47
3.6.2 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
50
3.6.3 Department of Defense (DoD)
50
3.7 Russia
50
3.8 Japan
52
3.9 China
53
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Report 15, September 2008
3.10 India
54
3.11 Emerging space powers
56
3.11.1 Africa
56
3.11.2 Asia
56
3.11.3 The Middle East
57
3.11.4 Oceania
58
3.11.5 South America
58
3.12 International sectoral comparisons
58
3.12.1 Launch sector
58
3.12.2 Missions launched
60
3.12.3 Overall assessment
62
Chapter 4 - European institutional market
63
4.1 European institutional market
63
4.2 Civilian space expenditure
63
4.3 European Space Agency
64
4.4 Eumetsat
64
4.5 National agencies
66
4.5.1 France
66
4.5.2 Germany
67
4.5.3 Italy
68
4.6 European Union
68
4.7 Security-related space expenditures
68
4.8 The institutional market and its impact on the industrial base
70
Chapter 5 - Space industry evolutions
71
5.1 Industrial evolutions in Europe
71
5.2 Industrial evolutions in the United States
73
5.3 Industrial evolutions in Russia
74
5.4 Industrial evolutions in Japan
76
5.5 Industrial evolutions in China
76
5.6 Trans-Atlantic industrial comparison
76
5.6.1 State of the European space industry
76
5.6.2 State of the United Statesâ space industry
80
5.7 Sectoral overview
82
5.7.1 Launch sector
82
2007 results
83
Launch contracts awarded in 2007
86
5.7.2 Satellite manufacturing sector
89
2007 results
89
Satellites contracts awarded in 2007
90
5.7.3 Satellite operators
92
Chapter 6 â The defence perspective
94
6.1 Recent trends in military expenditure
94
6.2 Global space military context
94
6.3 European space military context
96
6.3.1 National initiatives
96
6.3.2 European Union level
98
6.3.3 European Space Agency
99
6.3.4 Other European institutions
99
6.4 The United States
100
6.5 Russia
102
6.6 Japan
102
6.7 China
102
6.8 India
103
6.9 Other space actors
103
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European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Chapter 7 â The specific roles of institutions
105
7.1 European institutions
105
7.1.1 Council of the European Union and its Presidencies
105
7.1.2 European Commission
107
7.1.3 European Union Agencies
109
7.1.4 European Parliament
109
7.2 Other institutions
110
7.2.1 Assembly of the Western European Union (WEU)
110
7.2.2 European Interparliamentary Space Conference (EISC)
110
7.2.3 Network of European Regions Using Space Technologies (NEREUS)
111
7.3 International institutions
112
7.3.1 United Nations General Assembly (UNGA)
112
7.3.2 UNGA Committees
112
Disarmament and International Security Committee
113
Special Political and Decolonisation Committee
113
Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space
113
7.3.3 Other UN bodies and organs monitoring outer space activities
114
7.4 Non-governmental organisations (NGOs)
117
6
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Introduction
B a c k g r o u n d
From 2002 until 2005, the European Space
Agency (ESA) published annual reports that
provided an overview of the European space
sector in a global context. These reports
entitled âThe European Space Sector in a
Global Contextâ took into account the
geopolitical and economic changes that
occurred in a given year and which were of
importance for the European space sector.
These aspects were then analysed in a
boarder context. ESAâs annual analysis also
presented facts and figures of other space
powers in order to be able to view the
development of the European space sector in
a larger perspective.
O b j e c t i v e s o f t h i s S t u d y
In 2006, ESAâs DG Policy Office tasked the
European Space Policy Institute (ESPI) based
in Vienna (Austria) under a specific contract
to conduct a nine-month study on global
issues and trends in the space sector
covering the period 1 January 2006 to 30
June 2007. ESAâs DG Policy Office
commissioned a similar study in 2007 for the
period 2007/2008. The ESPI study âSpace
Policies, Issues and Trends in 2007/2008â
aims to present in a single document,
comprehensive data and analyses
characterising global space activities from 1
July 2007 to 30 June 2008.
This report provides an overview of the
European space sector in a global context. It
takes into account geopolitical and economic
changes that are of relevance and importance
for current and future developments in the
European space sector. It provides facts and
figures on the latest European activities,
while putting them into perspective with the
situations of other major space-faring
countries, notably the United States, Russia,
Japan, China and India.
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European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Chapter 1 - Global political and
economic trends
2007 and the first half of 2008 was a period
marked by the confirmation of several key
trends that appeared in recent years such as
the economic and political rise of powers
from the âSouthâ like China and India as well
as the recovery of Russia, while the âNorthâ
witnessed limited growth, particularly the
United States. Climate change and global
warming are increasingly being perceived as
serious global threats demanding an urgent
and coordinated global response. In addition,
skyrocketing prices of natural resources such
as oil and gas, but also the rise of primary
productsâ prices is further aggravating the
global economic situation.
1 . 1 G l o b a l e c o n o m i c
o u t l o o k
The expansion of the world economy
remained robust in 2007 (Table 1). However,
global economic growth slowed markedly in
the final quarter of 2007 following major
losses in the financial sector originating in the
U.S. subprime sector and the associated
losses reported by banks. The financial crisis
is now spreading beyond the U.S. subprime
market, and financial institutions in other
1
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
countries have also been affected. The
International Monetary Fund (IMF) is
anticipating potential losses and write-downs
in the financial sector of about 945 billion
U.S. dollars, with banks suffering slightly
more than half of total losses, with the rest
affecting insurance companies, pension
funds, hedge funds and other investors.
2
Consequently, near-term growth prospects of
all major economies have weakened (Table
1).
According to the IMF, the world output in
2007 reached 5%: a similar level to 2006
(Table 1). Global economic growth is
projected at 4.1% in 2008 and 3.9% in 2009
(Table 1). The projections for advanced
economies have been reduced significantly in
recent months and there are looming threats
of recession for the second half of 2008. This
is the result of deteriorating market
conditions and limited U.S. growth which are
affecting economic activities in other
advanced economies. The main risks to the
outlook for global growth are that on-going
turmoil in financial markets (partly due to
liquidity shortages and increasing credit
risks) would further reduce domestic demand
in advanced economies and therefore create
significant spillovers into emerging markets
and developing economies. Nonetheless,
2
International Monetary Fund âGlobal Financial Stability
Report: Containing Systemic Risks and Restoring
Financial Soundness.â Apr. 2008.
Table 1 Overview of the World Economic Outlook Projection (Source IMF)
1
Country
2006
2007
2008
(projection)
2009
(projection)
The United States
2.9
2.2
1.3
0.8
Germany 2.9
2.5
2.0 1.0
France 2.2
2.2
1.6
1.4
Italy 1.8
1.5
0.5
0.5
Spain
3.9
3.8
1.8
1.2
The United Kingdom
2.9
3.1
1.8
1.7
Euro zone
2.8
2.6
1.7
1.2
European Union
3.3
3.1
1.8
1.7
Japan 2.4
2.1
1.5
1.5
Russia 7.4
8.1
7.7
7.3
China 11.6
11.9
9.7
9.8
India 9.8
9.3
8.0
8.0
World output
5.1
5.0
4.1
3.9
8
Report 15, September 2008
emerging economies are expected to
continue to grow at a rapid pace in 2008.
This could counterbalance moderate growth
in major economies.
In the United States, the Federal Reserve has
been cutting interests rates in response to
increasing downside risks to activity.
However, the United States could fall into
recession in 2008 and recover only modestly
in 2009. The projected growth rate for 2008
in the United States has been lowered to
1.3% for 2008 down from 2.2% in 2007
(Table 1). In 2007, the euro zone expanded
at a robust pace, with growth estimated at
2.6% (Table 1). However, growth has been
lowered to 1.7% for 2008. Growth in the
European Union (EU) was 3.1% in 2007 and
is projected at 1.8% in 2008, but recent
estimates are less optimistic (Table 1). Japan
has been quite resistant to the global
economic downturn up to now, with a
forecasted growth of 1.5% in 2008 compared
to 2.1% in 2007 (Table 1).
As aforementioned, unlike advanced
economies, emerging economies have been
less affected by the financial market
turbulence thus far and have continued to
grow at a rapid pace. These economies have,
in particular, benefited from the strong
momentum of domestic demand. According
to IMF projections, emerging and developing
economies, including in Africa and Latin
America, are expected to witness strong
growth rates. Nonetheless, growth in
emerging markets and developing economies
is expected to ease moderately from 8% in
2007 to 6.9% in 2008.
3
Chinaâs economy will
sustain further momentum despite the fact
that its growth is projected to decelerate
from 11.9% in 2007 to about 9.7% in 2008.
Indiaâs economy is also expected to continue
to grow very rapidly (about 8% in 2008,
down from 9.3% in 2007) as well as Russiaâs
(7.7% in 2008 down from 8.1% in 2007)
(Table 1).
Despite market turmoil and slow growth in
major economies, prices of energy
commodities reached record prices when
expressed in U.S. dollars in the first half of
2008 (i.e. crude oil) reflecting solid growth in
demand in the face of sluggish supply and
on-going geopolitical concerns. Several
staples like soybean, corn, and wheat, prices
reached also high price levels due to among
others higher biofuel demand in the United
States and the European Union. As a
consequence, the cost of feeding livestock is
rising. Furthermore, poor harvests in many
3
Ibid.
countries have led to further price hikes
causing some major food shortages in certain
parts of the world, triggering public protests
(e.g. Haiti, Senegal). Inflation has increased
considerably since mid-2007 in both
advanced and emerging market economies
driven by a combination of increasing food
and energy prices as well as credit growth
and sustained demand.
1.2 Political developments
In 2007/2008, transnational security threats
and particularly terrorist attacks as well as
significant military events and new and
emerging conflicts menacing world peace and
stability and are calling for increasing reliance
on space technologies and activities to
monitor some of these events.
1.2.1 Europe
The threat of terrorist attacks on European
soil remained high in the past months,
particularly as German security forces
arrested in September 2007 three suspects
thought to be planning a massive terrorist
attack on American targets in Germany,
including the Ramstein Air Base on Frankfurt
airport. The arrests came a day after eight
terrorist suspects were apprehended in
Denmark.
1.2.2 Asia
Pakistan witnessed several destabilising
moments in recent months. First, in July
2007, a week-long siege of the Lal Masjid or
Red Mosque in Islamabad, lead to nearly 100
deaths as about 200 Pakistani commandos
stormed the compound and met strong
resistance from militants sheltering inside.
Then, a series of bombs exploded throughout
the country in response to this event. Fierce
fighting occurred also in the South Waziristan
region of Pakistan between the army and
Taliban militants in January 2008. Benazir
Bhutto, twice prime minister of Pakistan, also
returned home after eight years in exile to
participate in the general election. However,
her assassination on 27 December 2007 led
to times of political turmoil. Finally, at the
end of March 2008, Yousaf Raza Gillani
(Pakistan Peopleâs Party) became Prime
Minister as chief of a coalition government.
International inspectors confirmed in July
2007 that North Korea's plutonium-producing
nuclear reactor at Yongbyon, north of
Pyongyang, and four other facilities there
have been shut down. Consequently,
American and North Korean officials held
9
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
talks in Geneva (Switzerland) in September
2007 where both sides agreed that North
Korea should reveal and disable all its nuclear
facilities by the end of the year. However, in
April 2008 the United States expressed
concern that North Korea had still not kept its
promise to declare all its nuclear programmes
which it was supposed to divulge by the end
of 2007. In June 2008, North Korea finally
handed in a list of nuclear facilities, thus
complying with its international obligations.
While North and South Korea held the first
inter-Korean summit since 2000 in October
2007, at which Kim Jong Il, North Korea's
dictator, met South Korea's President, Roh
Moo-hyun and agreed to seek a formal end to
the civil war of the 1950s, tensions
heightened again in the Korean peninsula.
North Korea expelled South Korean officials
from their joint industrial park at Kaesong in
April 2008. It also issued a warning that the
policies of newly elected South Korea's
president, Lee Myung-bak would lead to
catastrophe.
In September 2007, heavy protests led by
monks in Myanmar (the country formerly
known as Burma) were violently repressed.
Furthermore, a cyclone devastated the
southern part of the country flooding large
areas with salted water and killing an
estimated 78 000 people with 56 000
reported as missing. The junta in power was
severely criticised after it failed to evacuate
the risky areas and refused to let
international aid into the country in the early
aftermath of the catastrophe.
In Sri Lanka, following a series of bomb
attacks by the Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam, the government abrogated a 2002
ceasefire agreement with the Tigers in
January 2008.
4
In Afghanistan, the Taliban continued their
resurgence despite the surge in soldiers sent
in the context of the NATO-led mission; the
killings of foreign troops in Afghanistan are
now at a similar level as in Iraq. Moreover, in
mid-June, an attack was staged by Taliban
against a prison in Kandahar, freeing about
1200 prisoners, including 450 Taliban
members. A United Nations report showed
that Afghanistan's opium production has also
climbed sharply. It is now producing twice
the amount it did just two years ago, and
accounts for 93% of heroin on global
markets. There is also increasing evidence of
direct involvement in the business by Taliban
insurgents to finance part of their activities.
4
The agreement has remained notionally in force despite
the return of all-out conflict over the past two years.
1.2.3 Africa
Several conflicts, as well as contested
elections, occurred in Africa in the past few
months threatening regional peace and
stability.
In Congo, fighting in the North Kivu province
between the army and rebels of General
Laurent Nkunda has resulted in some 500
000 displaced civilians since the beginning of
2007. In February 2008, forces loyal to
Chad's president, Idriss DĂŠby, thwarted an
attack by rebels on the country's capital,
Ndjamena. An African Union force of more
than 1300 troops invaded Anjouan on 11
March 2008, one of the three islands that
make up the Comoros off the coast of
Mozambique, and toppled its rebel leader,
Mohamed Bacar. He had taken power in July
2007 after winning an election that the
Comorian president declared illegal.
However, the Horn of Africa remains the
centre of attention on the continent. The
United Nations Security Council voted in
August 2007 to send a peacekeeping force of
up to 26,000 soldiers and police to the Darfur
region of Sudan, where at least 200 000
people have been killed and about 2.5 million
made homeless since 2003. In Somalia,
humanitarian agencies estimate that 20 000
people a month were fleeing violence in
Mogadishu.
5
Food and sanitary problems,
already major issues, continue to worsen.
Protests in Kenya against the re-election of
President Mwai Kibaki in December 2007 led
to widespread violence and a death toll that
exceeded 1 000, most of which occurred
between rival ethnic groups throughout the
country, especially in the Rift Valley.
Negotiations between representatives of the
incumbent, Mwai Kibaki, and his challenger,
Raila Odinga, were held under the aegis of
the former United Nations (UN) Secretary-
General, Kofi Annan.
Following the 29 March 2008 elections in
Zimbabwe, the country has been plunged
into a political crisis with the government
refusing to announce who won the race for
Presidency between the President Robert
Mugabe and its rival Morgan Tsvangirai. It
appears that Morgan Tsvangirai should be the
winner of the first race, but as a consequence
to the latterâs incarceration and violent
repression of his followers, Mr. Tsvangirai
chose not to participate in the second
electoral process, leaving Mr. Mugabe as the
5
Islamic fighters control part of South Somalia, and
Ugandan and Ethiopian troops present on the ground
struggle to maintain the status quo.
10
Report 15, September 2008
only candidate, and as such, âwinnerâ. The
international community has actively been
denouncing these elections and economic
sanctions will be implemented against Mr.
Mugabeâs government.
South Africa witnessed xenophobic violence
and assassinations by indigenous gangs
against immigrants from Mozambique, Malawi
and Zimbabwe that were accused of stealing
jobs and of being criminals.
Terrorism is also becoming of major concern
on the African continent. Nigeria's oil-rich
Niger Delta region witnessed frequent attacks
on oil infrastructure as well as the kidnapping
of foreign oil workers. Piracy attacks on
foreign vessels on the shore of Somalia also
increased in the first half of 2008. A suicide
bomber in Algeria killed more than ten people
in an attack on barracks in July 2007. Then,
Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, an Algerian
group affiliated to Osama bin Laden's
organisation claimed responsibility for two
car-bombs in Algiers in December 2007
which killed 76 people, including 11 United
Nations employees.
1.2.4 Americas
The situation of hostages held by the left-
wing Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia
(FARC) guerrillas was a focal point in Latin
America in the past months. Venezuelan
President, Hugo ChĂĄvez tried to secure an
agreement under which the rebels would
release their kidnapped hostages in exchange
for the liberation of guerrilla prisoners.
However, as Colombian forces bombed a
guerrilla camp just across the border in
Ecuador in March 2008 killing one of the
FARC's senior commanders, Ecuador and
Venezuela (temporarily) broke diplomatic
relations with Columbia. The FARCâs situation
is becoming more precarious after the death
of their spiritual leader and the diminution of
their occupied territories.
Fidel Castroâs brother, Raul Castro was
designated as the former leaderâs successor.
Raul wishes to raise living standards in Cuba,
but not to depart from socialism.
1.2.5 The Middle East
In July 2007, the Israeli air force bombed a
target in Syria suspected of being a nuclear
power plant in development, but neither the
Israelis nor the Syrians disclosed what the
target was.
Lebanon witnessed its worse political crisis
since the 1975-1990 civil war due to the
fierce power struggle between the pro-
Western government and the Syria-backed
opposition. The Lebanese Parliament has
unsuccessfully attempted for nine months
since September 2007 to vote for a
President. After months of delay, on 25 May
2008, General Michel Sleiman, the
Commander of the Lebanese Armed Forces
was elected President as the consensus
candidate.
U.S. President George W. Bush hosted a
Middle East Peace Summit in Annapolis (USA)
on 27 November 2007 to try to bring peace
and stability in the Middle East region.
Besides the Israeli and Palestinian
delegations, Saudi Arabia, Syria and other
Arab states attended the summit. The
conference ended with a commitment to the
goal of a Palestinian state, and a promise of
immediate talks, but with no mention of
borders, Jerusalem or Jewish settlements on
the West Bank. Despite this political effort,
fighting flared across Israel's border with
Gaza. Moreover, Hamas claimed
responsibility in February 2008 for its first
suicide-bombing since 2004, after two
Palestinians attacked the Israeli town of
Dimona. However, Israel accepted a truce
with Hamas in June 2008 to prevent further
rocket firing on Israeli territories as well as
further violence from Israel on the Gaza strip.
In October 2007, the Turkish Parliament gave
the government approval for a cross-border
operation and military incursion into Northern
Iraq after Turkish soldiers were killed by
Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) rebels some
of whom may have come from bases in
northern Iraq. The Turkish ground offensive
occurred in February 2008 and considerably
weakened the Kurdish militants.
While in December 2007, a report by
America's National Intelligence Council
concluded that Iran did have a nuclear-
weapons programme up until 2003, but that
it had since been halted, in March 2008, the
United Nations Security Council imposed a
third, more punishing, range of sanctions
against Iran for failing to stop enriching
uranium. Mahmoud Ahadinedjad visited Iraq
at the beginning of March 2008. As the first
regional leader to do so, the Iranian
President highlighted his countryâs influence
on Iraq and on the Middle-East region in
general.
In Iraq, the five-year old conflict is
stabilising, as the number of Iraqi civilian
deaths began to decline by 2007âs end. In
addition, the Iraqi Red Crescent reported that
some 25 000 refugees (out of about 1.5
million) who had fled to Syria had returned to
Iraq between September and the beginning
11
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
of December 2007. However, no hope of
lasting and enduring peace and stability are
expected in the near future, as attacks and
conflicts continue throughout the country.
Australian troops started withdrawing from
the country in June 2008, as the death tolls
of U.S. troops decreased.
1 . 3 M a j o r s c i e n t i f i c
a c h i e v e m e n t s
From mid-2007 until mid-2008, two
international observance years relating to
space occurred, namely the International
Polar Year (IPY) and the International
Heliophysical Year (IHY).
6
In addition, the
official opening of the international Year of
Planet Earth (IPYE) took place on 12-13
February at the United Nations Educational,
Scientific and Cultural Organization
(UNESCO) headquarters in Paris (France).
The IPYE is a joint initiative by the
International Union of Geological Sciences
(IUGS) and UNESCO and was proclaimed by
the 60
th
United Nations General Assembly as
a United Nations International Year. The
research themes of the year were chosen for
their societal relevance, multi-disciplinarity
and outreach potential (Groundwater,
Climate, Earth and Health, Deep Earth,
Megacities, Resources, Hazards, Ocean, Soil,
Earth and Life). The IPYE addresses the
decision-makers and the general public
through a large series of national and
international events on geo-scientific
knowledge to support global society, as
expressed in the IPYEâs subtitle: Earth
Science for Society.
The next related international observance
related to space activities will be the 2009
International Year of Astronomy (IYA2009),
which will coincide with the 400
th
anniversary
of the first recorded astronomical observations
with a telescope by Galileo Galilei and the
publication of Johannes Keplerâs Astronomia
nova in the 17
th
Century. This initiative will be
an opportunity for citizens to gain a deeper
insight into astronomy and will serve as a
platform to inform the public about the latest
astronomical discoveries as well as
emphasising the role of astronomy in science
education.
In recent months, climate change has topped
the political agenda of most of the countries
around the world as the consequences of
6
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 8-9.
global warming are becoming increasingly
salient. In particular, according to recent data
from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), the year 2007 was the
fifth-warmest on record for global land and
ocean surface temperatures. In addition, when
taken separately, the global land surface was
the warmest on record, while the global ocean
temperature was the ninth-warmest since
records began in 1880. Moreover, seven of the
eight warmest years on record have occurred
since 2001.
7
Consequently, the sea ice
covering the Arctic has shrunk in September
2007 to its lowest level since satellite
measurements began nearly 30 years ago or
by about one million square kilometres over
the past year, according to the European
Space Agency (ESA).
8
On 16 November 2007, the Inter-
governmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) concluded its work on a âsynthesis
reportâ of the Fourth Assessment Report
(AR4) on climate change in Valencia (Spain).
The Synthesis Report brings together the
work of the three previous Working Groups of
the IPCC published in the first half of 2007
which dealt with the human origin of global
warming (February 2007), the likely impacts
of climate change (April 2007) and options
for mitigating climate change (May 2007).
9
Therefore, the synthesis report provides an
integrated view of climate change, as the
final part of the IPCCâs AR4.
Acknowledging the fact that climate change
and global warming are threats demanding
an urgent global response, a United Nations
Climate Change Conference took place in Bali
(Indonesia) on 3-15 December 2007. More
than 10 000 participants, including
representatives from nearly 190 countries
and observers from intergovernmental and
non-governmental organisations took part in
this event. Negotiations on a successor to the
Kyoto Protocol (post-2012 framework)
dominated the conference. The âBali
Roadmapâ consisting of a number of forward-
looking decisions for more vigorous
international action on climate change was
adopted. This roadmap includes the âBali
Action Planâ which charts the course for a
new negotiation process to end by the end of
2009 and designed to reduce greenhouse gas
7
â2007 was Tenth Warmest for U.S., Fifth Worldwide.â
NOAA 15 Jan. 2008
<http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080115_w
armest.html>.
8
âSatellite Witnesses Lowest Arctic Ice Coverage in
History.â ESA: Observing the Earth 14 Sept. 2007
<http://www.esa.int/esaEO/SEMYTC13J6F_index_0.html>.
9
For more information, see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 8.
12
Report 15, September 2008
emissions. The Bali Conference was followed
by the United Nations Bangkok Climate
Change Talks which took place on 31 March -
4 April 2008 in Bangkok (Thailand). An
agreement was reached for a work
programme structuring negotiations on a
long-term international climate change
agreement planned to be concluded in
Copenhagen (Denmark) by the end of 2009
by delegates from 162 countries. The main
elements of this agreement include a shared
long-term vision and enhanced action on
mitigation, adaptation, technology and
finance. The next major UN Climate Change
meeting was held in Bonn (Germany) in May
2008. This event addressed the issue of
advancing adaptation to climate change
through finance and technology.
10
Climate change and global warming are thus
increasingly being recognised as becoming
some of the most important issues threatening
long-term world peace and stability. Following
the preoccupation of the 33
rd
G8 meeting held
in Heiligendamm (Germany) on 6-7 June
2007, Climate Change was again on the
agenda of the next G8 in Hokkaido (Japan)
from 7-9 July 2008. The Nobel Peace Prize
2007 was also awarded on 12 October 2007,
jointly to the former U.S. Vice President Al
Gore and the IPCC for their "efforts to build up
and disseminate greater knowledge about
man-made climate change and to lay the
foundations for the measures which are
needed to counteract such changeâ.
11
Moreover, on 3 March 2007, Javier Solana,
the High Representative for the Common
Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP)
12
released
an eight-page report on âClimate change and
international securityâ to the EU Council. The
report highlights that climate change will
have a growing impact on international
security, due, among other things, to
increasingly hostile competition between
States for dwindling global resources. One of
the possible consequences could be millions
of âenvironmentalâ migrants or refugees
fleeing the consequences of climate change.
13
10
The third major UN gathering on climate change will
take place in August 2008 in Ghana and will look more
closely at issues related to enhanced action on mitigation.
Finally, a fourth meeting will be held in Poland in
December 2008 to address the issue of risk management
and risk reduction strategies, technologies and key
elements of a long-term vision for joint action.
11
âThe Nobel Prize 2007â <http://nobelprize.org/
nobel_prizes/peace/laureates/2007/>.
12
Javier Solana is also the Secretary-General of both the
Council of the European Union (EU) and the Western
European Union (WEU).
13
Paper from the High Representative and the European
Commission to the European Council. âClimate Change
and International Security.â 4 Mar. 2008.
1 . 4 S e l e c t e d F o c u s
1.4.1 Europe in 2007/08
EUâs economy is projected to grow by about
1.8% compared to 3.1% in 2007, and the
estimate for the euro zone is a 1.7% growth
in 2008.
14
Europeâs slowdown in late 2007
followed the bleak economic performance of
the United States and the crisis in the
financial sector as well as the increase in the
prices of natural resources. In the spring and
summer of 2008, amidst overall worsening of
economic indicators, inflation reached record
heights in the euro zone. Before this
backdrop, the European Central Bank (ECB)
raised its central rate in summer 2008 to
keep inflation in check.
In continuation of the work commenced
under the Portuguese Presidency of an
Intergovernmental Conference (IGC), EU's
leaders met on 18-19 October 2007 at an
Informal EU summit in Lisbon (Portugal) and
agreed to a new treaty: The âTreaty
amending the Treaty on European Union and
the Treaty establishing the European
Communityâ known as the âLisbon Treatyâ is
to replace the European Constitution, which
was rejected by voters in France and the
Netherlands in 2005. On 13 December 2007,
during a special Summit also in Lisbon, EU
heads of States and Governments officially
signed the new Treaty, which incorporates
most of the defunct EU Constitution. The
Lisbon Treaty aims to enhance the efficiency
of the EU with a major focus on the
reorganisation of the institutional and
decision-making processes. In particular, the
Lisbon Treaty merges the âthree pillarsâ into
one single EU, which succeeds the European
Community. It introduces a double majority
rule for Council decisions, a permanent
Council President, the position of High
Representative of the EU for Foreign Affairs
and Security Policy, a reduction of the
number of Commissioners as well as of the
number of Members of the European
Parliament. Hungary was the first country to
ratify the Treaty on 17 December 2007. As of
end June 2008, the âTreaty of Lisbonâ has
been ratified by 23 countries (Austria,
Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia,
Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary,
Malta, Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg,
Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain,
the Netherlands and the United Kingdom).
However, the EU now faces a stalemate
14
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
13
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
because of Irelandâs negative referendum on
the Lisbon Treaty on 13 June 2008.
On 1 January 2008, Slovenia became the first
of the ten new Eastern European members of
the EU to take over the six-monthly rotating
Presidency of the Council of the European
Union. Sloveniaâs Presidency follows its trio
partners Germany and Portugal. The central
issue of the programme of this trio is the
completion of EUâs reform and constitutional
process, the implementation of the Lisbon
Strategy for Growth and Employment, as well
as further progress towards the completion of
the European area of freedom, security and
justice (Cf. Chapter 7). The main priorities of
the Slovenian Presidency were: the future of
the European Union and timely entry into
force of the Lisbon Treaty, the successful
launching of the new Lisbon Strategy cycle, a
step forward in addressing climate-energy
issues, strengthening of the European
perspective for the Western Balkans, and
promoting the dialogue between cultures,
beliefs and traditions in the context of the
European Year of Intercultural Dialogue.
In the last few months, Science and
Technology (S&T) has been at the top of the
agenda in Europe. At the Competitiveness
Council held on 22 November 2007, ministers
in charge of competitiveness stressed the
importance of making full use of small and
medium enterprisesâ (SMEs) growth potential
by improving their access to finance.
Following a proposal from the Commission,
the member States, through the Regulatory
Committee for Executive Agencies accepted
the creation of two executive agencies on 14
December 2007 to manage the research and
development (R&D) project proposal and
evaluation process for the EUâs seventh
Framework Programme (FP7) to increase the
efficiency of research management of EU-
funded projects. The âEuropean Research
Council Executive Agency" will support the
implementation of the Ideas Programme of
the FP7, which supports frontier research.
The "Research Executive Agency" will
administer the Marie Curie fellowships
schemes, research for the benefit of SMEs
and parts of the Space and Security research
themes. It will also provide evaluation and
support services to all other parts of FP7.
An important milestone for the EU was also
that in 2008, for the first time ever, the
largest share of the EU budget will be used
for measures to boost economic growth and
cohesion in the EU. On 18 December 2007,
the European Parliament adopted the EU
budget amounting to 129.1 billion euros in
commitment appropriations for 2008 (an
increase of 2.2% compared to 2007).
15
While
agriculture will continue to receive over 40%
of EU budget, about 45% of all EU spending
will be devoted to competitiveness.
The European Institute of Innovation and
Technology (EIT) was approved by the
European Parliament on 11 March 2008, and
concrete research, education and innovation
actions are expected to start by 2010. The
EIT will be a virtual network of universities,
companies and other stakeholders expected
to form Knowledge and Innovation
Communities (KICs).
16
The first KICs will
focus on renewable energy and next-
generation information and communication
technologies. The EIT will be based in
Budapest (Hungary).
Reflecting the increasing worldwide concerns
about climate change and global warming, a
Strategic Energy Technology plan (STE) was
proposed at the end of 2007. Its aim is to
increase the use of âcleanâ or low greenhouse
gases (GHGs) emitting energy technologies.
On 23 January 2008, a package of climate
and energy proposals suggested by the
Commission was well received by EU member
States and the European Parliament. Initially
made in March 2007, the â20-20â
commitments were translated into legislative
proposals by the Commission in January
2008. This proposal is designed to bring the
EUâs emissions of GHGs down by 20% by
2020, while the use of renewable energies
should increase by 20% during the same
period. EU efforts to reduce GHGs emissions
will be increased 30% by 2020 provided that
an international agreement is reached for
tackling climate change by the expiry of the
Kyoto Protocol in 2012. According to
conclusions agreed to during the spring
European Council on 14 March 2008,
âcomprehensive deliberationsâ between the
Council and the Parliament on the
Commissionâs proposal should produce a deal
before 2008 to be adopted at the latest in
early 2009. A series of others initiatives have
also been adopted in the last months. For
instance, the âClean Skyâ Joint Technology
Initiative (JTI)
17
was also launched on 5
February 2008 to help the aviation industry
develop environmentally-friendly technology
15
European Commission âGeneral Budget of the
European Union - The Figures.â Jan. 2008.
16
Each KIC must have at least three partner organisations,
based in two or more member States with at least one of
the partners being a university and at least one a private
company.
17
Joint Technology Initiatives (JTIs) are legal entities
which are proposed as a new way of realising public-
private partnerships (PPPs) in relevant industrial research
and development fields at European level.
14
Report 15, September 2008
and reduce air and noise pollution. During the
Competitiveness Council on 25 February
2008, EU research ministers also approved
the essential elements for the launch of the
EU âfuel cells and hydrogenâ JTI to reduce
GHGs and introduce hydrogen into the
energy system.
The futures of the EU as well as its
enlargement have been also a major element
of the European political agenda in the past
months. In particular, a new high-level
âreflection groupâ to deal with long-term
issues such as strengthening and
modernising the European model of economic
success and social responsibility, the rule of
law, sustainable development energy and
climate change etc. was launched at the
European Council in December 2007.
On 8 November 2007, the EU justice and
interior ministers cleared the way for the
enlargement of the Schengen area to include
nine of the new Eastern European member
States.
18
The decision extended the passport-
free travel system to Estonia, Hungary,
Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovenia,
Slovakia and the Czech Republic. Internal
land and sea border checks were
consequently abolished on 21 December
2007.
In December 2007, the EU initiated a pre-
membership agreement with Bosnia-
Herzegovina at a ceremony in Sarajevo. A full
agreement to start the process which could
eventually make the country a member of
the EU depends, among other things, on the
country's capacity to merge its ethnically
separate police forces. An âindicative
timetableâ for concluding EU membership
talks with Croatia by November of next year
was presented by Commission President JosĂŠ
Barroso in March 2008, with 2010 as the
likely entry date provided that a number of
conditions are met by Croatia. Turkey is also
making steady progress in satisfying the EUâs
membership criteria to join the Union. In the
mean time, Kosovo declared independence in
February 2008 making it the seventh country
to emerge from the dissolution of the former
Yugoslavia. The declaration was met with
demonstrations by Serbs in Kosovo as well as
denunciations by the governments of Serbia
and Russia, a split over recognition within the
EU, and arguments between Russia and the
United States at the United Nations.
18
Thus far, 13 EU member States (Germany, Austria,
Belgium, Denmark, Spain, Finland, France, Greece, Italy,
Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal and Sweden) and
two non-EU countries (Norway and Iceland) have been
participating fully in the Schengen acquis.
Cyprus and Malta became the 14
th
and 15
th
countries to adopt Europe's single currency â
the euro â on 1 January 2008. The euro in
Slovakia was approved on 7 May 2008 by the
European Commission. Other EU newcomers
wishing to follow suit will have to wait,
because their inflation rates are too high.
Denmark, however, is expected to have a
referendum regarding its eventual euro zone
membership within the next 18 months.
In the last few months, the EU also
reinforced it position in the world stage by
strengthening a series of partnerships.
The first-ever EU-Brazil Summit was held on
4 July 2007 in Lisbon (Portugal). A strategic
partnership agreement with Brazil was
concluded. It was agreed to enhance this
longstanding bilateral relationship, and in
particular, to reinforce the political dialogue
at the highest political level. This agreement
also raises the hope of deeper cooperation
between the EU and Mercosur, the South
American free trade zone.
An EU-African Union Summit in Lisbon was
held on 8-9 December 2007. It was the first
meeting of this kind in seven years since the
Cairo meeting in 2000.
19
The Summit ended
with the signing of a strategic political
âpartnership of equalsâ aiming to overcome
the âtraditional donor-recipient relation-
shipâ.
20
A Joint EU-Africa Strategy providing a
long-term vision for a strategic partnership
between Africa and the EU was adopted as
well as an initial Action Plan 2008-2010
setting out priorities that should be
implemented in the next three years (Cf.
Chapter 7). However, the EU-Africa Summit
failed to reach agreement on comprehensive
trade deals (the so-called Economic
Partnerships Agreements).
The 17
th
EU-Japan Summit meeting took
place under the Slovenian Presidency on 23
April 2008. The debates focused on global
issues such as energy security and climate
change as well as unresolved issues within
the World Trade Organisation (WTO). Several
regional issues in Asia and the Middle East
were also discussed.
In spring 2008, the fifth EU-Latin America
and the Caribbean (LAC) Summit was held in
Lima (Peru) on 16-17 May 2008. The Summit
19
The African Union (AU) is an intergovernmental
organisation consisting of 53 African countries.
Established on 9 July 2002, the AU was formed as a
successor to the amalgamated African Economic
Community (AEC) and the Organisation of African Unity
(OAU). Its headquarters is in Addis Ababa (Ethiopia).
20
âThe Africa-EU Strategic Partnership: Joint Africa-EU
Strategy and Action Plan.â 9 Dec. 2007.
15
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
reiterated the great importance of the EUâs
relations with the LAC and its aspirations to
strengthen the EU-LAC Strategic Partnership.
The Lima Summit focused on the two
themes: poverty, inequality, and inclusion;
and sustainable development with a
particular focus on: climate change;
environment and energy.
Negotiations with Russia on a new Partner-
ship and Cooperation Agreement (PCA)
started in spring 2008, as the current PCA
which came into force on 1 December 1997
was concluded for a ten-year period. The
agreement is to be renewed automatically on
an annual basis unless one side decides to
withdraw.
21
French President Sarkozyâs push to create a
âMediterranean Unionâ has been accepted
and its principle enlarged (under the new title
âUnion for the Mediterraneanâ) at the
European Council held on 13-14 March
2008.
22
The initiative aims at upgrading the
EUâs relations with its neighbours from North
Africa and the Middle East which have thus
far been dealt with under the umbrella of the
Barcelona Process. The main focus of the new
Union will be to improve energy supply, fight
pollution in the Mediterranean, strengthen
the surveillance of maritime traffic and âcivil
security cooperationâ, set up a Mediterranean
Erasmus exchange programme for students,
and create a scientific community between
Europe and its southern neighbours. The
agreement also foresees bi-annual summit
meetings between the EU and its partner
countries.
1.4.2 The United States in 2007/08
The subprime loan crisis has been the major
focus of the U.S. economy in recent months,
followed by growing trade deficit and the
near collapse of the U.S. dollars in the spring
of 2008. In 2007, the U.S. economy slowed
markedly and grew only by 2.2% down from
2.9% in 2006.
23
Despite the Federal
Reserveâs policies, the burst of the housing
bubble and the tightening of credit
availability are having far-reaching effects
resulting in a major contraction of
consumption. In this context, President
21
The formalisation of bilateral relations between the EU
and individual partner countries has been achieved
through the negotiation of PCAs. The aim of this particular
PCA is to encourage political, commercial, economic and
cultural cooperation between Russia and the EU.
22
President Sarkozy has originally envisioned the new
Union as involving only the EUâs Mediterranean countries
and its neighbours, but not the EU as a whole.
23
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
George W. Bush in his last state-of-the-union
speech on 28 January 2008, urged the U.S.
Congress to quickly pass a 150 billion U.S.
dollar economic stimulus package to ward off
a recession. Soon after, on 28 February
2008, the White House unveiled a 3.1 trillion
U.S. dollars budget plan for 2009 which aims
to boost national security, while stimulating
economic growth.
The nominating process to choose the U.S.âs
presidential candidates on both the
Democratic and Republican side got under
way just after Christmas 2007 with the Iowa
caucuses on 3 January 2008 and the New
Hampshire primary just five days later. In
both camp, the economy, immigration, the
war in Iraq, healthcare, and the environment
dominated the campaign. The Democrat
primary created some dramatic results, with
stronger-than-expected results being at-
tained by Senator Barack Obama creating an
âObamamaniaâ among a large share of the
Democrats. Nonetheless, Senator Hillary
Rodham-Clinton stayed in the race and the
face-to-face lasted until June 2008. Senator
Barack Obama won the primary elections,
thus representing the Democratic Party in the
November 2008 presidential election. After a
tight race against Senator Hillary Clinton,
both politicians are now showing a united
front in order to secure Democratic electorsâ
votes. There was no such indecisiveness from
the Republicans as Senator John McCain won
enough delegates to deliver him the party's
nomination as soon as March 2008.
Iraq was far from secure by mid-2008, but
for the first time since the war started, the
country has been edging toward stability.
However, five years after the American-led
invasion of Iraq began in March 2003, more
than 4 000 U.S. soldiers have died in Iraq
and Al-Qaeda remains the greatest threat to
Iraq's security. Nonetheless, while 2007
culminated as the deadliest year in Iraq for
U.S. soldiers in November 2007, the U.S.
military reported that for several consecutive
weeks, the number of car bombs, roadside
bombs, mines, rocket attacks, and other
violence had fallen to the lowest level in
nearly two years. However, the conflict in
Afghanistan worsened in spring 2008 with
more U.S. soldiers being killed there than in
Iraq. The estimated cost of the wars in Iraq
and Afghanistan varies depending on federal
agencies. It is, however, estimated that
about 130 billion U.S. dollars have been
spent on the Afghanistan conflict and about
450 billion U.S. dollars for the Iraq conflict
since 2001.
16
Report 15, September 2008
1.4.3 Russia in 2007/08
Since its collapse in the 1990s, Russiaâs
recovery has continued. In 2007, real Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) growth was
sustained an 8.1% increase
24
principally due
to high oil and commodity prices. However,
inflation rose to almost 12% in December
2007, substantially exceeding the central
bankâs 6.5% to 8% year-end target and
nearly attained 13% in February 2008.
25
The last year has been a year of transition in
Russia. First, Russia's President, Vladimir
Putin, headed the United Russia ticket which
won two-thirds of the votes in a
parliamentary election in December 2007.
Then, his first deputy Prime Minister, Dmitry
Medvedev, was elected as new President of
the Russian Federation on 2 March 2008 by
winning about 70% of the votes. While
Medvedev selected Putin as his Prime
Minister, enhancing the power he will wield in
his upcoming position, Vladimir Putin was
elected on 15 April 2008 to lead the United
Russia party after he steps down as
President, therefore bolstering his chances
for a potential return to the presidency.
The renewed involvement of Russia in major
topics of world affairs witnessed in recent
years continued in 2007/2008. In particular,
Russia was awarded the 2014 Winter
Olympics. Sochi won over bids from
Pyeongchang (South Korea) and Salzburg
(Austria). In August 2007, Russia also
dispatched a highly publicised expedition to
lay symbolic claim to part of the Arctic
seabed to access potential reserves of natural
resources. It sent two mini-submarines under
the North Pole to scoop samples and put up a
Russian flag.
26
Russia also continued to use
its âenergy superpowerâ status. In particular,
it settled a gas dispute with Ukraine
moments before Gazprom, Russia's state-
controlled energy conglomerate, planned to
switch off supplies as Ukraine owed back
payments. Russia is not only enlarging its
soft power portfolio, but also its hard power
arsenal. On 12 September 2007 it tested a
giant fuel-air bomb, claimed by its army to
be the world's biggest non-nuclear explosive
24
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
25
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook.â
Apr. 2008.
26
Under international law, five countries lying partly in the
Arctic Circle (Russia, the United States, Canada, Norway
and Denmark) are limited to a 200 mile (320 kilometres)
economic zone from their shores. Russia claims a larger
slice, saying its continental shelf extends from Siberia to
the North Pole.
device; bigger than the U.S. Massive
Ordnance Air Burst (Moab) which has
unofficially been named the âMother Of All
Bombsâ. This thermobaric device, which has
no known official name, has been dubbed
âFather of All Bombsâ by its Russian
designers.
1.4.4 Japan in 2007/08
In 2007, the Japanese economy remained
resistant to the global economic slowdown
with an estimated annual real GDP growth of
2.1%.
27
While household spending remained
weak, robust exports to other parts of Asia,
as well as Europe, but also strong business
investment supported most of the Japanese
economy over that period. However, in spring
2008, the rise in inflation posed a major
threat to the projected Japaneseâs economic
growth.
Following the election of July 2007, the
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is not the
biggest party in the upper house of the Diet
(parliament). However, the LDP still enjoys a
big majority in the lower house. The upper
house of Japan's Diet named as its president
Satsuki Eda of the Democratic Party of Japan.
It is the first time an opposition party has
taken control of the upper house since the
LDP came to power in 1955. Following the
aforementioned defeat of the LDP, Shinzo
Abe resigned on 12 September 2007 as
Japan's Prime Minister, just a year after
taking office. The LDP and the lower house of
the Diet chose on 23 September 2007 the
71-year-old son of an earlier Prime Minister,
Yasuo Fukuda as Japan's 91
st
Prime Minister.
However, on 12 June 2008, a censure motion
(which carries no legal weight) was voted
against Prime Minister Fukuda.
In the last few months, Japan has been
trying to reinforce its position on the world
stage. For instance, it held the 34
th
G8
meeting in Hokkaido in July 2008. However,
dire finances and an effort to curb bulging
public debt, led Japan to fall in the ranking of
overall overseas aid according to the
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development. Japan's foreign aid has been
used since the 1970s as a policy to boost its
international profile to match its economic
power. Japan nonetheless continues to reach
out to developing countries. In particular, it
invited 40 African leaders in May 2008 to
Japan. The host country especially expressed
its ambition to double its aid to Africa.
Furthermore, in a buoyant regional context,
27
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
17
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
the new President Yasuo Fukuda is also
following the so-called âFukuda Doctrineâ that
was asserted by its creator, the late Japanese
Prime Minister Takeo Fukuda, to refocus
Japanâs attention in Asia. The âFukuda
Doctrineâ consists of Japan being a country
committed to peace, but also a country that
builds up a relationship of mutual confidence
and trust with Southeast Asian countries in
wide-ranging fields.
1.4.5 China in 2007/08
In 2007, Chinaâs growth was about 11.9%
driven by strong investment growth and net
exports.
28
However, inflation keeps rising. In
this context, China's Prime Minister, Wen
Jiabao, opened the 11
th
annual session of
China's parliament of the National People's
Congress (NPC) on 5 March 2008 by warning
of the dangers of inflation and of the fallout
from U.S.âs subprime crisis. On this occasion,
it was also announced that based on an
improving economic structure, growing
productivity, energy efficiency and
environmental protection, GDP is expected to
grow only by about 8% in 2008.
The last few months saw the reinforcement of
the current political leadership as well as the
preparations for future transition. China's
ruling Communist Party opened its 17
th
five-
yearly congress on 15 October 2007. Among
others, the 17
th
National Congress of the
Communist Party of China (CPC) adopted a
resolution on the amendment to the CPC
Constitution to enshrine the âscientific
outlook on developmentâ. At the end of the
congress, China's Communist Party unveiled
its new leadership team. Hu Jintao remains
party leader, but is expected to retire in
2012. Best placed to succeed him are Xi
Jinping, the party chief in Shanghai, and Li
Keqiang, his counterpart in the Liaoning
Province. During the 11
th
annual session of
China's parliament of the NPC in March 2008,
China's Prime Minister, Wen Jiabao, also
proposed the creation of new âsuper-
ministriesâ in order to improve bureaucratic
decision-making efficiency. In particular, a
new ministry for the environment was
created. China's 13-day-and-a-half session of
parliament ended with the appointment of Li
Keqiang as vice-prime minister. Mr. Li is
foreseen as a candidate for top political
positions when the current generation of
leaders retires.
China and Japanâs diplomatic relations
improved with the visit of Chinaâs President
28
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
Hu Jintao to Japan in May 2008. Chinaâs
diplomatic relations with Taiwan were re-
established as well through formal talks
during a meeting in Beijing (China). An
agreement to reschedule regular flights
between the two countries was reached.
China also continues to combine its
diplomatic relations and foreign policy to
address the need to find resources, Africa
being a target of choice.
29
In the mean time,
an alarming number of signs are threatening
the future of its growth as well as its stability
such as rising inflation, pollution etc. An
earthquake devastated the Sichuan province
on 12 May 2008, killing over 70 000 people
and leaving five million people homeless. The
authorities reacted immediately, sending
rescue efforts to the region. Moreover, in
early 2008 outbreaks of protest against
Chinese rule in Tibet triggered repression
from Chinese forces. These protests extended
in ethnic-Tibetan areas of China, during
which fire was opened by Chinese police.
Tibetan uprisings generated reactions of
support the world over, resulting in
disruptions of the Olympic flameâs relay in
world cities.
1.4.6 India in 2007/08
In its 60
th
year of independence from Britain
in 2007, Indiaâs economy grew by an
estimated 9.3%.
30
India is now increasingly
establishing itself as dominant economic
actor for the future. Its companies are
increasingly taking over major foreign
companies and developing global strategies
to gain market shares outside India. For
instance, on 10 January 2008 Tata Motors
presented the results of its attempt to
manufacture the cheapest car in the world
with the Nano (also called âthe peopleâs carâ),
but in late December 2007 Tata Motors was
also the winning bidder in the auction for the
two Ford Motor luxury auto brands: Jaguar
and Land Rover.
The period between July 2007 and June 2008
was also one of political change for India. On
25 July 2007, India swore in its first female
President, Pratibha Patil who succeeded Dr.
A.P.J. Abdul Kalam. Moreover, in an
important foreign policy move, India's Prime
Minister, Manmohan Singh, visited China in
early January 2008 for the first time since
taking office in 2004. In particular, both
countries promised to increase trade and
29
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6, Sept.
2007: 11.
30
International Monetary Fund âWorld Economic Outlook
Update: Global Slowdown and Rising Inflation.â 17 July
2008.
18
Report 15, September 2008
military cooperation. However, a major
development of Indiaâs foreign policy is the
growing ties with Africa to counter the
influence of China in the region as India is
looking for new sources of energy for its
booming economy. In this context, in July
2007, the Indian government launched the
Pan-African E-network project in cooperation
with the African Union to develop Africaâs
information and satellite communications
technologies. The initiative has been called
Africaâs largest infrastructure project. It aims
to eventually connect 53 African countries to
a satellite and fiber-optic network with
education and telemedicine being the most
important components of this cooperation
including as well e-commerce, e-governance,
infotainment, resource-mapping and
meteorological services. Ethiopia, South
Africa, Ghana and Mauritius are the initial
countries involved in this project. The Indian
government hopes thus to gain a foothold in
Africa and create goodwill between India and
Africa, but also increase its sales in
information and communication technologies
to Africa. The first India-Africa summit took
place in New Delhi (India) on 8-9 April 2008
in order to build and expand Indiaâs economic
and diplomatic ties across the African
continent, but also to secure its access to the
African rim of the Indian Ocean, which New
Delhi has long seen as its strategic backyard.
The two-day summit was attended by 14
African leaders.
Despite a booming economy and increasing
international ties, as well as involvement in
world affairs, India continues to be plagued
by internal issues. In late August 2007, two
bombs killed more than 40 people in
Hyderabad. Another 19 bombs were
discovered and disabled. Several bombs
exploded in Jaipur in May 2008, revendicated
by a group called Indian Mujahideen.
Violence still occurs in the north, as the clash
at the beginning of June led by the Gujjar
tribe demonstrates. The tribe demands to be
included in a list of disadvantaged tribal
groups. Moreover, in September 2007,
around 25 000 poor people, mainly landless
farmers, converged on New Delhi after
marching from various parts of India to
demand a land reform and protest against
the loss of their land to industrial
development.
19
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Chapter 2 â Global space sector - size
and developments
The objective in producing this chapter is to
establish a consistent and solid baseline of
figures that are reliable to the extent possible
to provide an easily identifiable measure of
the size of the global space sector. This
report aggregates the institutional budget
and commercial revenues data for 2007 to
obtain an overview of the size of the global
space sector. Governmental space
expenditures are not always easy to obtain,
as neither every country nor space agency
publishes detailed annual expenditure on
space activities. Moreover, given the opaque
nature of defence budgets, the task of
tracking military space spending is extremely
difficult. Sizing the commercial space sector
is also difficult due to the secrecy
surrounding commercial contracts etc., and it
also depends on the definition of the sector
adapted and the data source selected.
ESPI estimations of the space sector draw on
many sources of publicly available
information from published sources of
industry trade associations, articles in the
mainstream business press and industry
magazines and, when available, private
information sources, as well as interviews
with space leaders from governments and
industries. Widely used references for global
economic data and space surveys use the
U.S. dollar for their comparative analyses.
ESPI therefore used the U.S. dollar as
currency of reference in this Chapter despite
the possible distortion linked to the
fluctuation of exchange rates, especially with
respect to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar
versus the main other major currencies.
31
2 . 1 G l o b a l s p a c e
b u d g e t s a n d r e v e n u e s
Estimating the overall size of the space
sector is difficult since it depends on the
definition of the sector adopted and the data
source selected. Consequently the overall
size of the space sector can only be
31
Portraying national space budgets and commercial
revenues in a single currency can result in strong
distortions. What may look like growth in space
expenditure could turn out to be no more than a reflection
of a strengthening of a particular currency and vice-versa.
approximated, and estimates will vary from
one study to the other. However, there is a
consensus that the annual revenues of the
space sector keep increasing in overall terms
from one year to the next due to higher
institutional investments in space on the one
hand, and to sustained demand for new
applications and services on the other.
Global space budgets and commercial space
revenues are estimated by ESPI to be about
185.610 billion U.S. dollars in 2007, up from
177.415 billion U.S. dollars in 2006.
32
The
revenues of the total space industry are
estimated to have reached 114.205 billion
U.S. dollars up from 111.615 billion U.S.
dollars in 2006 (Figure 1). Institutional space
budgets (including civil and military budgets)
accounted for an estimated 71.405 billion
U.S. dollars in 2007, compared to 65.8 billion
U.S. dollars in 2006 (Figure 1).
2.2 Overview of
institutional space budgets
Institutional space budgets accounted for an
estimated 38.4% of global space activities in
2007 with an estimated 71.405 billion U.S.
dollars (+5.605 billion U.S. dollars compared
to 2006) (Figure 1).
33
Public spending for
space programmes at a global level remained
robust in 2007 following the sustained
budgetary allocation to the U.S. space budget
as well as continued growth in space
expenditure by the space agencies in Asia
and Russia.
32
The 2008 Space Report from the Space Foundation
sizes the global space activity revenues and budgets in
2007 at 251.16 billion U.S. dollars. The difference in
estimate is due to a narrower definition of the space sector
and its actors by ESPI. The difference for the two main
sub-sectors (institutional budgets and commercial
revenues) is indicated as footnotes to the analyses.
33
The 2008 Space Report estimates the size of the global
institutional space budgets at 77.25 billion U.S. dollars.
However, in this ESPI study only the direct unclassified
activities of the U.S. Missile Defense Agency (MDA) are
included in the analysis as opposed to the Space Report,
which includes the overall MDA budget of 9.4 billion U.S.
dollars in its analysis.
20
Report 15, September 2008
However, the currency fluctuations have an
insidious effect on the size of the overall
institutional space sector. In particular, the
effect of the depreciation of the U.S. dollars
versus other major currencies, and especially
the euro, has to be emphasised.
34
This tends
to increase the size of institutional budget
devoted to institutional space activities when
expressed in U.S. dollar in parts of the world
with strong currencies, while in fact, the
budgets remain more or less constant when
expressed in their national currency.
It is considered that military/intelligence
investments represented, like in 2006, the
biggest part of public allocations to space
activities with about 52% of the world public
budgets. The military/intelligence segment is
dominated by the United States that invested
an estimated 35.5 billion U.S. dollars in this
domain in 2007. This figure includes DoD
space, the National Reconnaissance Office
(NRO), the National Geospatial-Intelligence
Agency (NGA) and part of the Missile Defense
Agency (MDA). However, the size of the
overall military/intelligence sector is certainly
underestimated due to the secrecy of defence
budgets in general, particularly for Russia
and China.
34
The euro has reached several record heights in the last
few months compared to the U.S. dollar. On 20 September
2007, the euro was worth 1.40 U.S. dollars, then on 26
February 2008, 1.50 U.S. dollars and on 22 April 2008
1.60 U.S. dollars, compared to 1.17 U.S. dollars when the
euro was introduced (+37%), but + 95% compared to its
lowest level in October 2000 (0.82 U.S. dollars).
While the total budget for civilian space
programmes are less important than the total
budgets of space military/intelligence (34.34
billion U.S. dollars were dedicated to civilian
space programmes in 2007), they are more
commonly implemented. The continuing
internationalisation and globalisation of space
affairs is leading to an increasing level of
institutional budgets allocated to civilian
space activities at a global level.
35
However,
while the number of countries investing in
space is growing, the difference in
investments among countries remains high,
with the major space-faring countries
representing an overwhelming majority of the
worldâs institutional expenditures in space
activities (and particularly military/
intelligence ones). In general, it has been
observed that North America, Europe and
Asia are the main regions investing in
institutional space activities. The difference in
dynamics in terms of institutional
investments underlined in 2006 continued in
2007, with Asia, among others, improving its
space efforts.
In 2007, the United States and Europe
concentrated most of the resources with
about 89% of world public funding for space
activities. The United States with a budget of
about 53.586 billion U.S. dollars (a similar
level as 2006) was the main space power and
clear hegemon according to the budget
criterion. The United States accounted for
75% of global government space spending
35
Peter, Nicolas. âThe changing geopolitics of space
activities.â Space Policy 22.2 (May 2006): 100-109.
65,800
111,615
71,405
114,205
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
B
illio
n
U
.S
. d
o
lla
rs
2006
2007
Institutional space budget
Commercial space revenues
Figure 1 Overall size of the space sector in 2006 and 2007
21
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
based on available information. The relative
stagnation of the United Statesâ overall space
budget in 2007 compared to 2006 is linked to
the fact that many U.S. government agencies
were subject to a âcontinuing resolutionâ for
Fiscal Year 2007. This is a year-long spending
resolution, also known as the Byrd/Obey plan
(from Senator Robert Byrd (D-W.Va.) and
Representative David Obey (D-Wis.) (Cf.
Chapter 3). Most of the U.S. agencies were
therefore funded at the same level as the
previous year. In 2007, when considering
Europeâs consolidated budget, it spent an
estimated 9.89 billion U.S. dollars on space
activities representing about 14% of the
worldâs public funding for space activities (Cf.
Chapter 4).
When looking at individual countries, the
United States is, as aforementioned, by far
the biggest spender in space activities
followed distantly by France, Japan, China,
36
Russia, Germany, Italy which are all
estimated to have spent more than 1 billion
U.S. dollars in 2007 (Figure 2). Without
considering the increase in the estimation of
size of the Chinese space budget, the
hierarchy is similar to that of 2006.
36
Chinaâs space budget estimate generates much
speculation and is complex to appraise. The figures
presented in this study have to be considered with caution.
The value for China is estimated to have increased by
taking into account the new White Paper on Space, but
also the plans of the Commission of Science, Technology
and Industry for National Defence (COSTIND) and China
Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation
(CASTC).
While the budget devoted to space
activities is a good indicator to appraise
national efforts and support in that domain,
for certain economies such as Russia, India
and China, relying solely on the absolute
volume of institutional funding is
misleading due, among other things, to
significant differences in production costs,
standards of living, as well as purchasing
power from one country to the other.
Consequently other indicators have to be
used, particularly the share of the Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) devoted to
institutional space activities in a country
and the amount of money spent per capita,
to appraise the overall national efforts and
support to space activities.
When looking at the share of GDP devoted
to institutional space activities, the United
States is the clear leader followed distantly
by Russia, France and India (Figure 3).
Twenty-two countries spent more than
0.02% of their GDP on space activities
(Figure 3).
US
A
Fr
anc
e
Jap
an
Ch
in
a
R
us
sia
Ge
rma
ny
Ita
ly
Indi
a
Uk
ra
in
e
Ca
nad
a
Spai
n
So
ut
h Ko
re
a
53586
2938 2210
2000
1836 1629
1289 964 927
384
351
338
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
M
ill
io
n
U
.S.
d
o
ll
a
rs
Figure 2 Estimate of the public space budgets of the major space powers in 2007
22
Report 15, September 2008
US
A
Ru
ss
ia
Fr
anc
e
In
di
a
Ch
in
a
Ita
ly
Ja
pa
n
G
erm
an
y
So
ut
h Ko
re
a
UK
C
an
ad
a
Sp
ai
n
0,39
0,14
0,11
0,09
0,06 0,06
0,05 0,05
0,04 0,03
0,03
0,02
0,000
0,050
0,100
0,150
0,200
0,250
0,300
0,350
0,400
S
p
ace ef
fo
rt
as
a p
e
rcen
ta
g
e
of
G
D
P
Most of the countries invest between 0.022%
and 0.062% of their GDP on space affairs
(Figure 3). The good performance of several
European countries (Belgium, Finland
Switzerland, Luxembourg Sweden, Norway,
and the Netherlands) has to be underlined
(Figure 3).
When looking at the countries investing more
than 300 millions U.S. dollars in 2007, most
of the space powers spent between 0.022%
and 0.14% of their GDP for public space
activities (Figure 4). A first cluster of
countries investing more than 0.1% of their
GDP is discerned in the group composed of
Russia, France and the United States (Figure 4).
U
SA
R
uss
ia
Fr
anc
e
India
Ch
ina Ita
ly
Be
lg
iu
m
Jap
an
G
er
m
any
Fi
nl
and
Is
rael
Sw
itz
er
la
nd
So
ut
h
Ko
rea UK
U
kr
ai
ne
Lux
em
bour
g
S
w
eden
C
anada Sp
ain
Th
e
Ne
the
rlands
N
orw
ay
Au
str
ia
0,39
0,14
0,11
0,09
0,06 0,06
0,05 0,05 0,05
0,04
0,04 0,04 0,04
0,03 0,03 0,03
0,03
0,03
0,02 0,02
0,02 0,02
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
S
p
ace ef
fo
rt
as a
p
e
rcen
ta
g
e
o
f
G
D
P
Figure 3 Estimate of the public space budgets as a percentage of GDP of the major space actors in 2007
Figure 4 Estimate of the major space powersâ public space budgets as a percentage of GDP in 2007
23
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
US
A
Fr
anc
e
Ita
ly
Ge
rm
any
Ja
pan
UK
R
ussi
a
Ca
na
da
Sp
ai
n
So
ut
h K
or
ea
Ch
in
a
In
di
a
175
48
22
20
17
15
13
12
8
7
2
1
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
S
p
ace b
u
d
g
e
t p
e
r cap
it
a i
n
U
.S
.
do
ll
a
rs
U
S
A
Fr
an
ce
Lux
em
bo
ur
g
Be
lg
iu
m
Ita
ly
Sw
itz
er
la
nd
Ge
rma
ny
No
rw
ay
Fi
nla
nd
Ja
pa
n
S
w
eden
U
K
Ru
ss
ia
Ca
na
da
D
en
m
ar
k
Th
e N
et
her
la
nd
s
Au
st
ria
Is
ra
el
Sp
ai
n
So
ut
h Ko
re
a
Ch
ina
Uk
ra
in
e
Ind
ia
Br
az
il
175
48
34
23 22 20
20 18 18
17 15
15
13 12 10
10
9
9
8
7
2
1
1
1
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
S
p
ace
budge
t pe
r c
a
p
it
a
i
n
U
.S
.
d
o
lla
rs
A second cluster of countries investing
more than 0.05% and less than 0.1% of their
GDP into public space activities consists of
India, China and Italy (Figure 4). A third
cluster of countries investing between 0.04%
and 0.05% of their GDP is made up of Japan,
Germany, and South Korea. A further cluster
made of the United Kingdom, Canada and
Spain which can be singled out as countries
investing between 0.02 and 0.03% of their
GDP in public space activities.
When looking at the national public
investment per capita, the United States is
again the leader and spent an estimated 175
U.S. dollars per citizen in 2007 (Figure 5).
France, the second-biggest spender per
capita, spent about 48 U.S. dollars per citizen
for public space activities. Like for the
previous indicator, the important national
effort of Belgium, Switzerland, Norway,
Finland, Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands
and Austria are noteworthy (Figure 5).
Figure 5 Estimate of the major space actorsâ public space budgets per capita in 2007
Figure 6 Estimate of the major space powersâ public space budgets per capita in 2007
24
Report 15, September 2008
France
Japan
China
Russia
Germany
Italy
India
UK
Canada
Spain
South Korea
0
0,02
0,04
0,06
0,08
0,1
0,12
0,14
0,16
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Spa ce budge t pe r ca pita in U.S. dolla rs
S
p
a
c
e
budge
t a
s
a
pe
rc
e
n
ta
ge
of
GD
P
The major space powers, which invested
more than 300 million U.S. dollars in public
space investment in 2007, spent between 7
and 48 U.S. dollars per inhabitant (excluding
the United States) (Figure 6). The limited
performance of India and China on this
metric is principally due to the size of their
population.
Mapping the share of the budget devoted to
space affairs as a percentage of GPD
compared with the space budget per capita is
another informative metric.
37
However, the
singularity of the United States is again
37
The diameter of the spheres in Figures 6 and 7 indicate
the size of the national budget devoted to space activities
as an element of comparison.
USA
France
Japan
China
Russia
Germany
Italy
India
UK
Canada
Spain
South Korea
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
-5
10
25
40
55
70
85
100
115
130
145
160
175
190
Space budget per capita in U.S. dollars
S
p
ac
e
b
u
d
g
et
as
a
p
e
rce
n
ta
g
e
o
f G
D
P
Figure 8 Mapping of the share of GDP devoted to institutional space expenditure compared to the spending
per capita of the major space powers in 2007 (without the United States)
Figure 7 Mapping of the share of GDP devoted to institutional space expenditure
compared to the spending per capita of the major space powers in 2007
25
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
illustrated (Figure 7). It was the only country
in 2007 that spent more than 0.15% of its
GDP on space affairs and more than 50 U.S.
dollars per citizen on space activities.
When looking at the other countries by
removing the United States, several clusters
can be distinguished (Figure 8). A first cluster
made up of Russia and France is discerned,
as both invest more than 12 U.S. dollars per
capita and more than 0.1% of their GDP on
public space activities (Figure 8). A second
cluster of countries made up of Italy,
Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom
can be seen. The countries of this cluster
spend more than 15 U.S. dollars per capita
and more than 0.033 of their GDP on public
space actors (Figure 8). A third cluster made
up of Canada, Spain and South Korea
composed of countries spending more than
seven U.S. dollars per capita and between
0.024% and 0.03% of their GDP on public
space activities can be identified (Figure 8).
The last cluster is made up of India and
China, with both countries investing less than
three U.S. dollars per inhabitants and
between 0.06% and 0.09% of their GDP
(Figure 8).
Civilian space spending is not always limited
to a national space agency, but they
represent the majority of a countryâs civilian
space budget. When looking at the Top 10
agencies according to their budget, not
surprisingly, the list is dominated by the
United States, with five of the ten agencies
being U.S. agencies. Like in 2006, the DoD is
the biggest space agency in the world
followed by NASA (Figure 9). These two
agencies concentrate 54.30% of all public
funding spent on space in the world (38.78
billion U.S. dollars in 2007). The United
States also has two intelligence-related
agencies in this Top 10: the NRO, in charge
of developing and operating dedicated
intelligence and reconnaissance space
assets,and the NGA, in charge with exploiting
the data gathered. The last U.S. agency in
this Top 10 is the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the U.S.
meteorological agency. Europe has two
agencies in this Top 10: ESA, the second
biggest civilian space agency in the world,
and CNES the French space agency. Japan,
Russia and India complete the list (Figure
9).
38
Compared to 2006, a slight evolution of
the rankings can be observed with CNES
overtaking JAXA and Roskosmos overtaking
NOAA in the 2007 hierarchy.
38
Chinese agencies are excluded from the list, because
gauging their respective size is impossible.
DO
D
*
NA
S
A
NR
O
*
ES
A
N
GA
*
C
NE
S
JAX
A
R
osk
os
m
os
NO
AA
IS
R
O
2007
2006
0
5
10
15
20
25
B
udge
t in billion U
.S
. dolla
rs
Figure 9 Estimate of the Top 10 space institutions according to their space budget in 2007 and 2006.
(* Estimation of the Space Foundation for the DoD, NRO and NGA data.)
26
Report 15, September 2008
Table 2 Estimated breakdown of global
commercial space revenues in 2007
2.3 Overview of
commercial space markets
This section looks at the global economic
activity associated with commercial space
infrastructure and commercial space products
and services. There are many estimates of the
size of the commercial sector, but the lack of
consistency as well as the absence of
methodology for each analysis are common
features of most of the information published.
The quantitative information presented in this
section comes mainly from sectoral overviews
as well as open-source primary data from
revenues published by selected firms in each
sub-sector. Therefore, the compilation
presented comes from multiple sources and
reflects the best information available at the
time of publication.
ESPI results indicate that the annual revenues
of the commercial space sector increased in
overall terms from 2006 to 2007. This is due,
on the one hand, to the aforementioned
sustained institutional investments in space
and, on the other hand, to the growing
demand for new applications and services in
space communications as well as space-based
positioning and new business models in space-
based Earth observation (development of a
web-based portal using satellites imagery).
The revenues of the world commercial space
markets reached an estimated 114.205 billion
U.S. dollars in 2007 up from 111.615 billion
U.S. dollars in 2006 and therefore represent
the largest component of the global space
sector (Figure 10).
39
Commercial space
revenues were principally concentrated on
satellite services and ground equipment.
Those two segments combined represented
about 95% of the world commercial space
markets in 2007 (Table 2).
Most of the overall sectoral data comes from
the Satellite Industry Association
(SIA)/Futron 2008 Study entitled âState of
the Satellite Industry Reportâ. According to
this publication the world satellite industry
revenues reached 123 billion U.S. dollars in
2007 up from 106.1 billion U.S. dollars
(+16%) in 2006 and attained an average
growth of 11.5% for the period 2002-2007
(Figure 10).
40
39
The Space Foundation publication âThe Space Report
2008â estimates the size of the global commercial space
revenues at 173.91 billion U.S. dollars for 2007. The major
difference with ESPIâs estimate is due to the addition of the
GPS equipment and chipsets markets in the Space
Foundation study that is, however, already accounted for
in its ground equipment section.
40
This SIA/Futron estimate however takes both
institutional and commercial revenues into consideration.
2.3.1 Satellite services
Satellite services grew more than 18% from
2006 to 2007 reaching about 73.9 billion U.S.
dollars compared to 19% from 2005 to 2006
(Figure 10). All segments of world satellite
services revenues grew (Figure 10). Satellite
services are the major source of commercial
revenues for the space sector (Figure 10). In
broad terms, the satellite services market is
made up of three sectors: Direct Broadcast
Services (DBS), the Fixed Satellite Services
(FSS), and Mobile Satellite Services (MSS).
Satellites telephony and DBS represented
three quarters of total satellite services
revenues in 2007 and reached an estimated
55.4 billion U.S. dollars, up from 46.9 billion
U.S. dollars in 2006 (Figure 11). When
adding satellite radio, the broadcasting
segment totalled 57.5 billion U.S. dollars in
2007. MSS grew modestly to reach 2.1 billion
U.S. dollars in 2007, up by 100 million U.S.
dollars from 2006 (Figure 11). Finally, FSS
and other elements such as transponder
agreements, network management services,
remote sensing and end-user broadband
grew by 2.2 billion U.S. dollars to reach 14.3
billion U.S. dollars in 2007 (Figure 11).
Direct Broadcast Services
DBS is principally made up of direct-to-home
(DTH) television and satellite radio services.
In 2007, It represented the largest portion of
communications satellite services and also
satellite services revenues with 57.5 billion
U.S. dollars as aforementioned (Figure 11).
In the domain of DTH, High Definition
Television (HDTV) has become a major driver
in terms of the demand for satellite capacity
for new services. In the United States, which
is the biggest market, there are two major
DTH services providers: DISH Network
(formerly Echostar Communications Cor-
poration) and Direct TV.
In the ESPI study, the governmentâs space spending has
been separated when possible from commercial revenues
to avoid double counting.
Sector of Activity
Revenues in
Billion Dollars
Satellite manufacturing
3.8
Launch industry
1.54
Ground equipment
34.3
Direct Broadcast Services
57.5
Fixed Satellite Services
14.3
Mobile Satellite Services
2.1
Insurance 0.6
Space Tourism
0.065
Total 114.205
27
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
21
3,7
11
35,6
21,5
3,2
9,8
39,8
22,8
2,8
10,2
46,9
25,2
3
7,8
52,8
28,8
2,7
12
62,6
34,3
3,2
11,6
73,9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
B
il
li
on U
.S
.
dol
la
rs
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Ground equipment
Launch Industry
Satellite Manufacturing
Satellite services
The revenues of the DTH market in the
United States were estimated at about
26.617 billion U.S. dollars in 2007, up from
23.564 billion U.S. dollars in 2006. The
largest provider of DTH in the United States
is DirectTV, which at the end of 2007 had
over 16.9 million subscribers and revenues
41
Satellite Industry Association/Futron âState of the
Satellite Industry Report.â June 2008.
42
Ibid.
estimated at about 15.527 billion U.S. dollars
compared to about 13.744 billion U.S. dollars
in 2006. For 2007, DISH Network reported
total revenues of 11.09 billion U.S. dollars
compared with 9.82 billion U.S. dollars in
2006, which is an increase of 13% from last
year.
43
It added approximately 675 000 net
43
âDISH Network Reports Fourth Quarter 2007 Financial
Results.â Reuters Press Release, 26 Feb. 2008
<http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS145484
+26-Feb-2008+PNW20080226 >.
Figure 10 World satellite revenues per sector (source SIA/Futron)
41
Figure 11 World satellite services revenues (source SIA/Futron)
42
25,3
1,3
9
28,5
1,6
9,8
35,6
1,8
9,8
41
1,7
10,1
48,5
2
12,1
57,5
2,1
14,3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
B
illi
o
n
U
.S
.
d
o
ll
a
rs
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Broadcasting
Mobile
Fixed and Other
28
Report 15, September 2008
new subscribers leading to a total of about
13.78 million subscribers at the end of
2007.
44
While DTH is the dominant DBS segment,
another of the fastest growing DBS segments
is satellite radio. Satellite radio continued to
experience strong growth in 2007 fuelled
principally by subscriber growth. One of the
factors explaining the growing market
penetration of satellite radio is the increasing
availability of receivers, pre-installed or
offered as an option, in automobiles. In
2007, the revenues of this sector were of
about 2.072 billion U.S. dollars from three
firms, XM Satellite Radio, Sirius Satellite
Radio and WorldSpace, compared to about
1.6 billion U.S. dollars in 2006 (Table 3).
Most of the primary sources of revenues for
this sector are U.S.-based and come from
subscription fees, with most of the customers
subscribing to satellite radio services on an
annual or a monthly basis like for DTH.
Additional revenues are derived from
activation fees, the sale of advertising, and
the direct sale of radios and accessories.
Fixed Satellite Services
The FSS sector is the most well-established
sector in the satellite industry. According to
SIA/Futron FSS, revenues reached an
estimated 14.3 billion U.S. dollars in 2007
(Figure 11). Most of the revenues come from
the leasing of transponder capacity to
commercial and governmental customers for
video distribution and broadcasting as well as
for high-speed data distribution and internet
access. However, video applications currently
use most of FSS capacity representing about
71% of the total global C- and Ku- band FSS
transponder revenues in 2007 according to
the consulting firm Northern Sky Research
(NSR). High demand in Europe, the Middle
East/North Africa and some sectors of the
North American market continue to drive
growth in the FSS sector. Another element
driving FSS growth is the emergence of new
national operators launching their first
44
Ibid.
satellites such as Vietnamâs Vinasat and
Venezuelaâs Venesat, or ordering new
satellites this year like Malaysiaâs Measat.
Over the last several years, deregulation,
privatisation and consolidation have
significantly reshaped the FSS sector. In
particular, regional and national operators
have been acquired by larger companies and
the shareholdings of several major groups
have evolved in recent months (Cf. Chapter
5). The four biggest FSS operators now
represent altogether about 72% of the global
FSS market (Figure 12).
45
The Luxembourg-based SES, the industry
leader, reported strong revenues last year
despite the weakness of the U.S. dollar,
largely because of improvements at New
Skies, which manages SES capacity outside
of its core European and North American
markets. SES reported revenues in 2007 of
about 1610.7 million euros (about 2416
million U.S. dollars).
46
Intelsat, the second FSS operator reported
revenues of 2183.08 million U.S. dollars in
2007, an increase of about 520.4 million
U.S. dollars from last year,
47
principally
fuelled by the impact of the PanAmSat
acquisition in July 2006.
Most of Intelsat revenues in 2007 came from
transponder services (about 1654.321
million U.S. dollars) and by managed
services (264.038 million U.S. dollars).
When looking at sectors of revenues,
network services represented 47% of
Intelsat revenues followed by the media
sector, which represented about 37% of its
45
Lardier, Christian and ThĂŠo Pirard. âLe MarchĂŠ des
Satcoms Ă lâHeure de lâEmbellie.â Air & Cosmos 22 Feb.
2008: 28-29.
46
âSES Reports Another Year of Strong Financial
Performance.â SES Press Release, 18 Feb. 2008
<http://www.ses.com/ses/PDFs/MediaRoom/FY2007-
et.pdf >.
47
âIntelsat Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2007
Results.â Intelsat News Release, 20 Mar. 2008
<http://www.intelsat.com/_files/investors/financial/2008/20
08-16.pdf >.
Company
Revenues in
2007 in million
U.S. dollars
Revenues in
2006 in million
U.S. dollars
Subscribers in
2007
Subscribers in
2006
XM Satellite
Radio
1136.542 933.417 9027.000 7629.000
Sirius Satellite
Radio
922.066 637.235 8321.785 6024.555
WorldSpace 13.784
15.611
174.166
199.105
Total 2072.392
1586.263
17522.951
13852.660
Table 3 Satellite radio services revenues in 2007
29
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
revenues in 2007. The commercial sector
was the main source of revenues for
Intelsat, but overall, the government sector
represented 14% of Intelsat revenues in
2007, with the main customers being the
U.S. government and NATO-countries, as
well as military intelligence communities.
Eutelsat, the third ranking FSS operator has
reported rising revenues. For the 2007/2008
period,
48
Eutelsat had revenues of 877.8
million euros, up 5.9% from the previous
year, driven mainly by the strong dynamic
of video applications and value-added
services.
49
Telesat is now the fourth-largest FSS
operator in the industry following the
takeover of Telesat Canada by Loral Space &
Communications (Cf. Chapter 5). In 2007,
its total satellite services revenues were
about 241.2 million U.S. dollars with 123.4
million U.S. dollars coming from Loral
Skynet and 117.8 million U.S. dollars
coming from Telesat Canada.
In most market studies, remote sensing
revenues are included in FSS data.
Revenues for space-based Earth observation
are growing due to continuing military and
48
Eutelsat yearly results go from July to June.
49
âEutelsat Communications Reports 2007-2008 Results
Exceeding Objectives.â 31 July 2008.
intelligence contracts as well as the
increasing development of mapping services
and, in particular, web-based portal-like
Google Earth or Virtual Earth. The
commercial high resolution Earth imagery
industry is growing and is also becoming an
increasing input in the rapidly expanding
geospatial industry. The market of optical
imagery can be split into two main
segments: the Very High Resolution (VHR)
satellites imagery market and the Medium
Resolution (MR) satellite imagery market.
According to BCC Research, the remote
sensing market was estimated at about 7.3
billion U.S dollars in 2007, with an estimated
1.9 billion U.S. dollars for Earth imagery and
related solutions for imagery and products
with a resolution of three metres or better.
50
The United States is the biggest market for
remote sensing as producer and user of
geospatial information, particularly for its
military and intelligence sector. This reliance
on commercial information and data is
mainly policy-driven, principally following
the 25 April 2003 âU.S Commercial Remote
Sensing Policyâ whereby it is required that
U.S. Governmental agencies ârely to the
maximum practical extent on commercial
remote sensing capabilities for filling
50
Wilson, James. âRemote Sensing Technologies and
Global Markets.â BCC Research IAS022A Feb. 2007.
26%
24%
14%
8%
28%
SES
Intelsat
Eutelsat
Telesat Canada
Other FSS operators
Figure 12 Estimated market shares of the main FSS operators in 2007
30
Report 15, September 2008
imagery and geospatial needsâ.
51
The major
purchaser of commercial satellite imagery in
the United States is the NGA.
52
GeoEye and DigitalGlobe are the leaders of
the Very High Resolution (VHR) market.
53
In
2007, GeoEye reported revenues of 183.8
million U.S. dollars (147.448 million U.S.
dollars revenues from imagery and the rest
from other services) up by 22% compared
to 2006 revenues. The growth of 36.6
million U.S. dollars was attributable to a
13.3 million U.S. dollars increase on
deliveries of production services to the U.S.
Government, as well as a 10.4 million U.S.
dollars increase in other imagery sales.
While the U.S Government is GeoEyeâs
largest single customer with about 100.5
million U.S. dollars in 2007 (55% of total
revenues), 36% of GeoEye total revenues
came form international customers (about
65.8 million U.S dollars). GeoEye (which
operates the Ikonos high resolution and
OrbView-2 low resolution satellites) is also
in the final preparation stages of its new
satellite GeoEye-1 scheduled to be launched
in the second half of 2008.
54
GeoEye-1 will
be the worldâs highest-resolution commercial
remote sensing satellite with a ground
resolution of 0.41 metres in panchromatic
mode. In October 2007, GeoEye also
announced its intention to construct and
launch a new high-resolution satellite,
GeoEye-2. The contracts for satellite
equipments and parts have already been
initiated. The contract with a satellite builder
is expected to be signed in the second half
of 2008.
DigitalGlobe had revenues estimated at
151.7 million U.S. dollars in 2007, up by
42% from the previous year (106.8 million
U.S dollars). The companyâs biggest
customer, accounting for 58% of its
revenues, is the NGA. An overall 68.2% of
its revenues come from defence and
intelligence customers (both in the United
States and international) and 31.8% from
commercial customers. DigitalGlobe
generated 76.3% of its revenues in the
United States and Canada (compared to
51
âU.S Commercial Remote Sensing Policy.â 25 Apr. 2003
<http://www.ostp.gov/galleries/press_release_files/fact_sh
eet_commercial_remote_sensing_policy_april_25_2003.p
df>.
52
The NGA acquires imagery and derived products on
behalf of its clients in the U.S defence, intelligence and law
enforcement agencies.
53
ImageSat International is another provider of VHR
satellite imagery, but information about its activities and
results are scarce.
54
At the time the NGA Next View contract was signed, the
launch of GeoEye1 was anticipated to take place during
the first quarter of 2007.
71.2% in 2006) and 23.7% in the rest of the
world (compared to 28.8% in 2006). In
2007, 90.9 million U.S. dollars revenues (or
almost 88%) of its defence and intelligence
revenues were generated within the United
States and Canada while 12.5 million U.S.
dollars of revenues were generated by other
international defence and intelligence
customers. In contrast, only 51.8% of its
48.3 million U.S. dollars commercial
revenues were generated in North America
compared to 23.3 million U.S. dollars in the
rest of the world. DigitalGlobe, which owns
the high-resolution QuickBrid satellite
(launched in 2001), completed the
commissioning on 26 November 2007 of the
WorldView-1 satellite launched on 18
September 2007. WorldView-1 is part of the
NGA NextView programme and was partially
financed through an agreement with the
NGA.
55
DigitalGlobe plans to complete the
construction of its second next-generation
satellite, WorldView-2 in late 2008 for a
launch in mid-2009. On 14 April 2008,
DigitalGlobe announced that the company
filled a registration statement with the
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
relating to a proposal initial public offering
(IPO) of its common stock of up to 205
million U.S. dollars.
Spot Image is the leader of the Medium
Resolution (MR) satellite imagery market.
56
In 2007, the company reported 94.6 million
euros of revenues, a 30% increase over
2006.
57
Spot Imageâs main market in 2007
was in Asia-Pacific with 36% of revenues,
followed by Europe (34%), North America
(13%), the Middle East (6%), Africa (6%)
and Latin America (5%).
58
The Spot 5
satellite, launched in May 2002, is the main
source of revenues for Spot Image. The
French company expects in 2008 to order a
new medium-resolution spacecraft,
tentatively named Spot 6, with a launch
planned in 2012. In addition, while all five of
Spotâs previous satellites have been paid for
by government funds, Spot 6 will be
financed by private-sector partners. The
French space agency, CNES, will not be a
financial contributor to Spot 6, but the
French Defence Ministry and other civilian
governmental bodies are likely to remain
major customers.
55
QuickBird has a 0.61 metre panchromatic resolution and
a 2.44 metre resolution in multi-spectral and WolrdView-1
a 0.5 metre panchromatic resolution.
56
Other actors in the MR segment are selling extra
capabilities like India or Japan.
57
de Selding, Peter. âSpot Imageâs Next Satellite Top Be
Built Mainly with Private Capital.â Space News 19.3 (21
Jan. 2008): 1+.
58
Ibid.
31
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Up to now the commercial satellite imagery
business has consisted mainly of optical
imagery. However, in 2007 the successful
launches of TerraSAR-X and Radarsat-2
complemented the only operating Synthetic-
Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite (Radarsat-1)
and are consequently expected to boost the
radar imagery segment in the near future.
59
The main actors in this segment are
MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates's
(MDA) Geospatial Services and InfoTerra.
MDAâs Geospatial Services holds the
exclusive distribution rights to Canada's SAR
satellites including Radarsat-2 launched on
14 December 2007; it is a follow-on to the
pioneer Radarsat-1 system launched in
1995. InfoTerra, a subsidiary of Astrium
services, received the first data on 15
January
2008 acquired by its first
commercial high resolution radar satellite
TerraSAR-X.
60
It holds the exclusive
commercial exploitation rights for TerraSAR-
X imagery and provides a variety of geo-
information products and services. Infoterra
had in 2007 a turnover of over 60 million
euros.
Mobile Satellite Services
In 2007, MSS revenues were estimated at
about 2.1 billion U.S. dollars by SIA/Futron
(Figure 11). MSS operators provide voice
and data services using a network of one or
more satellites in low-Earth orbit (LEO) or
geostationary orbit (GEO) and associated
ground facilities. The overall growth of MSS
revenues was driven by a growing demand
for TV and broadband as well as voice and
data services, but also by the rollout of new
applications requiring higher bandwidth. The
increasing availability of lower-cost,
lightweight terminals is also helping to drive
up demand.
The main MSS actors are the global
operators Globalstar, Iridium, Orbcomm,
and Inmarsat as well as several regional
operators providing voice, data and paging
services.
Globalstar which operates a 48 in-orbit
satellites fleet reported 21 324 new
subscribers in 2007, for a total of 284 126 on
31 December 2007 compared to 262 802 at
the end of 2006.
61
Globalstar posted for 2007
total revenues of about 98.398 million U.S.
59
The 5 RapidEye radar satellites will also be launched in
the second quarter of 2008.
60
TerraSar-X was launched on 15 June 2007 and will be
complemented by TanDEM-X in 2009.
61
âGlobalstar, Inc. Announces Annual and Forth Quarter
Results for 2007.â PrimeNewswire Press Releases 12 Mar.
2008.
dollars (78.313 million U.S. dollars from
service revenues and the rest coming from
subscriber equipment sale) compared to
136.671 million U.S. dollars in 2006 (92.037
million U.S. dollars from service revenues
and the rest coming from subscriber
equipment sale).
62
In 2007, Globalstarâs Top
10 customers accounted for, in aggregate,
approximately 16% of its total revenues, with
the revenues from its largest customer being
6.2 million U.S. dollars or 6%.
63
Service sales
to U.S. government agencies constituted
approximately 11% of its total service
revenues for 2007.
64
Iridium offers narrow-band data, fax and
voice communications services through 66
low-Earth orbiting cross-linked satellites
operating as a fully meshed network. In
2007, Iridium revenues were about 260.4
million U.S. dollars, a 23% increase over its
2006 revenues.
65
This growth was principally
fuelled by an increase in the worldwide
subscriber base, which reached 234 000 at
the end of the year, a 34% increase over
2006.
66
Iridium reported continued strong
growth in the machine-to-machine (M2M)
market. It posted significant increases in the
volume of voice and data traffic on its
network in 2007 as well. North American
traffic was up by about 44% and the volume
of traffic in the Australia/Asia-Pacific region
increased by 47% over the same period.
67
For Iridium, customers operating in
international waters represent the biggest
commercial user group (about 44%).
Approximately 7% of its traffic also comes
from polar regions situated outside the
coverage provided by MSS providers using
GEO platforms.
68
Orbcomm operates a constellation of 29 LEO
satellites in the global commercial wireless
messaging system optimised for narrowband
communications, particularly for M2M
interface and telematics. In 2007, it began to
provide terrestrial-based cellular
communication services as well, through two
re-seller agreements with major cellular
wireless providers. At the end of last year,
Orbcomm had approximately 351 000 billable
subscriber communicators activated (an
increase by about 56.2% compared to 2006).
In 2007, Orbcomm registered total revenues
amounting to 28.152 million U.S. dollars,
62
Ibid.
63
Ibid.
64
Ibid.
65
âIridiumÂŽ Satellite Announces Q4 and Fiscal Year 2007
Results.â Iridium Press Releases 25 Feb. 2007.
66
Ibid.
67
Ibid.
68
âIridium Use Grows Among Maritime, U.S. Customers.â
Space News 17 Sept. 2007.
32
Report 15, September 2008
compared to 24.250 million U.S. dollars in
2006 with 17.717 million U.S. dollars coming
from service revenues and 10.435 million
U.S. dollars from product sales.
The other main global MSS provider is the
United Kingdom-based Inmarsat, which owns
and operates a GEO satellite network and
provides communications services, such as
telephony, fax, video, email and high-speed
data services. In particular, Inmarsat is the
leading provider of satellite communications
services to the maritime sector. In 2007, it
posted revenues of 576.5 million U.S. dollars
up from 500.1 million U.S. dollars in 2006.
69
In 2007, Inmarsatâs maritime revenues
increased by 9% to represent 57% of its
revenues, land mobile sector increased by
8% to represent estimated revenues of 23%,
aeronautical revenues increased by 44% to
represent revenues of about 8%, and leasing
revenues increased by 10% accounting for
12% of total revenues.
70
Several regional MSS operators possessing
GEO satellites are also providing satellite-
based mobile telephone services to limited
geographical regions. Mobile Satellite
Ventures (MSV) provide a range of mobile
satellite communication services using two
GEO satellites and support data delivery of
voice, fax and dispatched radio services in
the United States and Canada. ICO Global
Communications successfully launched its
GEO satellite to cover North America on 14
April 2008, joining ICO's F2 MEO satellite
already in orbit. Thuraya, the United Arab
Emirates-based operator, launched its
voice/data commercial services in the Asia
Pacific region in spring 2008 following the
launch of its third satellite, Thuraya-3 in
January 2008. The Asian Cellular Satellite
System (ACeS) provides combined cellular
telephone and satellite communication
services from GEO in the Asia Pacific Region,
and particularly, throughout Southeast Asia,
including Indonesia, Japan, South Korea,
China and India.
Hybrid spectrum featuring L- and S-band
digital broadcasting standards are an
emerging domain of growth in the MSS
sector. The hybrid system of smaller and less
costly hand terminals and ground towers
known as the âAncillary Terrestrial
Componentâ (ATC) substantially increases
69
Inmarsat plc âAnnual Report and Accounts 2007.â
Reuters News Release 3 Apr. 2008
<http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS122811
+03-Apr-2008+RNS20080403>.
70
Ibid.
bandwidth and reception, including indoors.
71
This technology also allows for the
development of new services like mobile
TV/audio, two-way broadband etc. After the
introduction of GEO mobile TV networks in
South Korea and Japan in 2004, the first GEO
spacecraft are poised for launch to cover
North America by ICO, TerreStar to
complement the recently launched MSVâs
satellite. In Europe, the European
Commission adopted a resolution on the
âharmonised use of radio spectrum in the 2
GHz bands for the implementation of systems
providing MSSâ on 14 February 2007.
72
Its
aim is to simplify the licensing process and
reduce the risk of market fragmentation by
reserving S-band for MSS use and for hybrid
MSS systems associated to a Complementary
Ground Component (equivalent to the U.S.
ATC system) (Cf. Chapter 3 and 7). Five
companies are expected to bid for S-band
MSS in Europe: Inmarsat, ICO Global,
TerreStar Corp, Solaris Mobile (a joint
venture Eutelsat and SES), and Ondas Media.
2.3.2 Satellite manufacturing
According to SIA/Futron satellite manu-
facturing revenues declined from 12 billion
U.S. dollars in 2006, to 11.6 billion U.S.
dollars in 2007 (Figure 13). However,
satellite manufacturing revenues from
commercial customers grew by 27% to reach
3.8 billion U.S. dollars in 2007.
Companies involved in this sector design and
manufacture satellites, space systems and
space systems components for commercial
and government customers whose
applications include DBS, FSS, MSS, space-
based Earth observation or positioning,
navigation and timing.
2.3.3 Launch sector
Worldwide launch industry revenues
increased by 19% to reach 3.2 billion U.S.
dollars in 2007, a similar level as 2003
(Figure 14).
71
The U.S. government has granted mobile satellite
operators the right to use their satellite spectrum for
ground-based communications networks called Ancillary
Terrestrial Components (ATCs).
72
European Union. European Commission. âCommission
Decision of the 14 February 2007 on the Harmonised Use
of Radio Spectrum in the 2 GHz Frequency Bands for the
Implementation of Systems Providing Mobil Satellite
Servicesâ 2007/98/EC. Official Journal of the European
Union 15 Feb. 2007.
33
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
11
9,8
10,2
7,8
12
11,6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
B
il
li
on U
.S
. dol
la
rs
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
3,7
3,2
2,8
3
2,7
3,2
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
B
ill
ion U
.S
. doll
a
rs
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Based on estimates from the U.S. Federal
Aviation Administration (FAA) in 2007, the
revenues of the 23 commercial launches
identified by ESPI were evaluated at about
1547.5 million U.S. dollars, an increase of
about 125 million U.S. dollars from 2006. The
breakdown of the international commercial
launch sector in 2007 was as follows: Europe
had about 840 million U.S. dollars in
73
Satellite Industry Association/Futron âState of the
Satellite Industry Report.â June 2008.
74
Satellite Industry Association/Futron âState of the
Satellite Industry Report.â June 2008.
revenues, Russia had about 476.5 million
U.S. dollars in revenues, and the United
States an estimated 150 million U.S. dollars
in revenues. Multinational revenues (Sea
Launch) were estimated at about 70 million
U.S. dollars and Indian revenues at about 11
million U.S. dollars.
The low level of revenues of Russian launch
services providers compared to their high
level of activity is mainly a result of the fact
that they are particularly active in the LEO
market which has a lower price tag than
launches to deliver satellites to GEO, the
Figure 13 World satellite manufacturing revenues (source SIA/Futron)
73
Figure 14 World launch industry revenues (source SIA/Futron)
74
34
Report 15, September 2008
21
21,5
22,8
25,2
28,8
34,3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
B
ill
ion U
.S
.
d
o
ll
a
rs
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
most lucrative market. On the contrary,
Europeâs good results can be explained by
the fact that Arianespace is launching two
payloads to GEO at the same time, and
therefore has higher revenues per launch.
2.3.4 Ground equipment
In 2007, ground equipment was the largest
source of revenues for space infrastructures.
Worldwide ground equipment revenues, the
second largest segment of space industry
revenues, reached 34.3 billion U.S. dollars in
2007, which is up 19% from 2006 (Figure
15). This rise was fuelled mostly by revenues
from consumer equipment due to an increase
in end-user terminal numbers in all sectors.
Total ground equipment revenues include
both network and consumer equipment.
Ground equipment revenues include
infrastructure elements (such as mobile
terminals, gateways, control stations) as well
as end-user equipment (like very small
aperture terminals (VSATs) and ultra small
aperture terminals (USATs)), but also
consumer equipment (DTH broadcast
satellites dishes, satellite phones and digital
audio radio satellite (DARS) equipment) and
GPS primary-use hardware. However, this
75
Ibid.
estimate excludes revenues from consumer
electronics incorporating GPS technology
such as mobile phones.
The global market for satellite navigation
hardware and services continued to soar in
2007. The sub-segment of end-user
electronics incorporating GPS chip sets such
as Personal Digital Assistants (PDAs) and cell
phones is one of the fastest-growing
markets. ABI Research estimates last yearâs
market for satellite navigation hardware for
the automotive industry alone at 33 billion
U.S. dollars, a six billion U.S. increase
compared to 2006.
76
This growth is believed
to be linked to falling prices for all types of
hardware and to the increase in the volume
of Portable Navigation Devices (PNDs) from
12 million units in 2006 to more than 24
million units in 2007.
77
There are also an
estimated 5.1 million mobile phones
equipped with satellite navigation.
78
For
2008, the PND market is expected to
continue to grow strongly by about 50% with
38 million units to be sold compared to 24.5
million units in 2007. The European market is
expected to grow by 40% from 15 million
units to 21 million units and in the United
States by 80% from 9.5 million units to 17
million units.
79
76
Brinton, Turner. âSatellite Navigation Market Continues
to Soar Worldwide.â Space News 14 Jan. 2008.
77
Ibid.
78
Ibid.
79
TomTom Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results
2007.â TomTom News 21 Feb. 2008
<http://www.tomtom.com/news/category.php?ID=4&NID=4
94&Year=2008&Language=1>.
Figure 15 World ground segment equipment revenues (source SIA/Futron)
75
35
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
The two leaders in PNDs, Garmin and
TomTom posted record results in 2007 in
terms of sales, as well as revenues. Garmin
recorded total revenues of 3.18 billion U.S.
dollars, up by 79% in 2006 due to strong
sales in the automotive and mobile/segment
and sold 12 million PNDs units in 2007.
80
TomTom posted revenues of 1.73 billion
euros, up by 27% from 2006, and sold 9.6
million PNDs up by 104% compared to last
year.
81
2.3.5 Insurance sector
According to Aon, in 2007, the space
insurance market was estimated to be worth
about 600 million U.S. dollars in launch and
in-orbit premium.
82
In this context, several
new insurers entered the market including
Atrium, Asia Capital Re, Axa Corporate
Solutions, Elseco, Glacier Re and Korea Re.
However, according to Aon, after several
years of reducing premiums, space insurers
are targeting premium increases up to 30%
following losses in 2007. These included the
failures of the Sea Launch rocket carrying the
NSS-8 satellite, the Proton carrying the JCSat
11 and the Proton rocket carrying the AMC-
14 satellite, as well as the helium leak of the
Rascom 1 satellite. In total, claims are
estimated to reach about 835 million U.S.
dollars for 2007, prompting the
aforementioned reassessment of insurerâs
premium rating.
83
2.3.6 Emerging commercial markets
The size of the commercial orbital and
suborbital human spaceflight sector was
estimated at about 65 million U.S. dollars in
2007.
In the domain of orbital space tourism, in April
2007, Charles Simony became the fifth space
tourist. Then, on 28 September 2007, Space
Adventures announced that game developer
and son of former NASA astronaut, Richard
Garriott, would fly to the International Space
Station (ISS) in October 2008 onboard a
Soyuz as the sixth space tourist for a ten-day
flight for an estimated 30 million U.S. dollars.
Garriott will be conducting research for
80
âGarmin Reports Best Quarter and Best Year in
Company History, Announces Share Repurchase Program,
Offers 2008 Guidance.â PR Newswire 20 Feb. 2008
<http://www8.garmin.com/aboutGarmin/invRelations/relea
ses/Q42007EarningsPressRelease.pdf>.
81
âTomTom Reports fourth quarter and full year results
2007â TomTom News, 21 Feb. 2008
<http://www.tomtom.com/news/category.php?ID=4&NID=4
94&Year=2008&Language=1>.
82
âPivotal Time for Space Insurance as Insurers Look for
Rates to Lift-off.â Aon News Release 20 Mar. 2008.
83
Ibid.
ExtremoZyme Inc., on protein crystallisation
experiments with proteins, which have
important cellular functions and are usually
associated with common human diseases. It is
expected that these experiments will enable
researchers to learn more about the molecular
details of these proteins which is essential for
protein engineering and structure-guided drug
design.
On 11 June 2007, it was announced that
Google co-founder Sergey Brin put down a
five million U.S. dollars deposit towards a
future orbital flight as the first member of the
newly established âOrbital Mission Explorers
Circleâ created by Space Adventures. This
programme allows individuals to reserve
seats on future orbital spaceflights. Six
âFounding Explorerâ positions in the âOrbital
Mission Explorers Circleâ have been created
with Brin being the first âFounding Explorerâ.
Space Adventures acquired Zero Gravity Corp
in early 2008 which provides weightless flight
experience (Cf. Chapter 5).
On 1 February 2008, Bigelow Aerospace
announced that progress was being made in
negotiations with United Launch Alliance
(ULA) for six initial launches for Bigelowâs
commercial space station to begin assembly
and early operation, starting around 2011.
Once the orbital facility becomes fully
operational, Bigelow expects to conduct a
dozen launches per year. Bigelow and ULA
have already been working together to study
the possibility to human-rate the Atlas V
launch vehicle.
84
While it is difficult to accurately gauge the
eventual size of suborbital space tourism as a
space business, the emerging private space-
travel industry has seen some developments
in the past months that might lead to a price
competition years before the first privately-
financed vehicles are scheduled to begin
flying. For the last few years, commercial
suborbital spaceflight has been virtually
synonymous with a single company: Virgin
Galactic, but other newcomers are poised to
enter the market.
In New York (USA), on 23 January 2008
Virgin Galactic unveiled the design of its
launch system the SpaceShipTwo (SS2)
planned to carry customers in space
85
, and
its carrier aircraft, the White Knight II (WK2).
An estimated 250 prospective customers
have signed up for suborbital trips through
84
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 27.
85
While SpaceShipOne could carry only 3 persons, SS2
will carry 2 pilots and 6 paying customers.
36
Report 15, September 2008
direct contact with Virgin Galactic or its
network of about 90 agents worldwide,
generating about 35 million U.S. dollars in
ticket purchases and deposits. Virgin Galactic
has reported an after-tax profit of 274 800
U.S. dollars in the first publicly available
financial account since the establishment of
the company in June 2006.
86
Total costs for
the project are estimated at 250 million U.S.
dollars and the first commercial flight is
foreseen for 2010-2011. About 100 million
U.S. dollars are estimated to have been spent
thus far. Pending successful developments, a
fleet of two MK2s and five SS2s will be
constructed and Virgin Galactic has an option
to buy seven more SS2s. In the first year of
operation, Virgin Galactic foresees one flight
per week just over 40 weeks and generating
50 million U.S. dollars. However, after three
years of operations, Virgin Galactic plans to
conduct ten flights per week for 50 weeks
generating revenues of about 600 million
U.S. dollars per year.
87
Virgin Galacticâs first launch site will be in
Sierra County in the United States. In this
context, following the successful spaceport
tax referendum in the DoĂąa Ana County,
New Mexico, towards the development of
Spaceport America in April 2007, another
successful referendum was conducted and
passed in Sierra County, also in New Mexico
on 24 April 2008. Like in the DoĂąa Ana
County vote, an increase in the sales tax in
the county was at stake to finance part of
the project.
88
Virgin Galacticâs second launch
site is foreseen to be at Swedenâs Esrange
launch site with flights beginning in the
2012-2013 timeframe. Swedish authorities
hope in this context to lower the cost and
regulatory barriers to the operation by
having space tourism classified as a
sounding rocket and granted the tax
advantages of hot-air balloon flights. South
Australia and Victoria, both in Australia, are
also being considered as launch sites for
Virgin Galactic.
89
On 26 March 2008, XCOR Aerospace unveiled
plans for a rocket-powered suborbital space
86
Coppinger, Rob. âSales are Rocketing at Virgin
Galactic.â Flight Global 25 Mar. 2008
<http://www.flightglobal.com/articles/2008/03/25/222290/s
ales-are-rocketing-at-virgin-galactic.html >.
87
Ibid.
88
A provision of State law, indicate that the money that the
tax would have collected in the DoĂąa Ana County could
not be spent until a spaceport âtax districtâ is created, and
that cannot be done until another county or locality
approves the tax.
89
Deery, Shannon and Elissa Doherty. âSA on Shortlist for
Space Base.â 13 Apr. 2008
<http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,235
30233-2682,00.html >.
plane, to be known as the Lynx, designed to
carry a pilot and a passenger or payload
taking off and landing from a conventional
airport. The foreseen inaugural launch date
for this two-seat spaceship is 2010. The
vehicle will be substantially smaller, slower,
and less expensive that other suborbital
vehicles by flying only to a peak altitude of
60 kilometres above the Earth for a two-
minute weightlessness period rather than
above 100 kilometres. XCOR hopes to make
its spaceflights available for considerably less
than Virgin Galacticâs ones, on the order of
100 000 U.S. dollars compared to 200 000
U.S. dollars for Virgin Galactic and 267 000
U.S. dollars for EADS Astrium. Moreover, the
company would sell blocks of rides to
resellers who would offer value-added
services. The U.S. Air Force Research
Laboratory has already agreed to use the
Lynx as a platform to test the performance of
space hardware in weightlessness conditions.
In the future XCOR aims to roll out a more
powerful version of the Lynx, featuring dual
engines to reach higher altitudes.
On 13 June 2007, EADS Astrium disclosed
the basic design of the space plane it
proposes to build for suborbital space tourism
venture. Astrium intends to build a four-
passenger rocket-equipped jet designed to
take off from a normal runway (liquid
methane and liquid oxygen engine) by raising
about one billion euros to complete the
vehicleâs development and order the first
models. However, as of mid-2008, the search
for financial partners was not successful.
In the field of suborbital flights, in 2007, nine
flights were conducted under the authority of
the FAA experimental permits for the
development of reusable suborbital rockets,
90
three more than in 2006. All 2007 flights
were conducted by two companies (Blue
Origin and Armadillo Aerospace) and all nine
flights used vertical-takeoff and landing with
three different vehicles (Table 4).
Following the success of the ten million U.S.
dollars Ansari X Prize, the X Prize Foundation
launched a new space prize on 17 September
2007 by teaming up with Google Inc. to offer
up to 30 million U.S. dollars for the first
privately funded team to send a robot to the
moon, travel 500 metres and transmit video
(so-called âMooncastâ), images and data back
to the Earth. The first team able to
accomplish this before 30 December 2012
will win 20 million U.S. dollars.
90
For more information, see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 27.
37
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
After that deadline, the prize drops to 15
million U.S. dollars for two more years, and
then expires entirely. Unlike the original
Ansari X Prize, the Google Lunar X Prize has
a second place with a purse of five million
U.S. dollars with the deadline set at the end
of 2014 as well. An additional five million
U.S. dollars have been reserved for âbonusâ
prizes such as taking images of Apollo and/or
other human artefacts left on the moon. Like
the Ansari X Prize, the Google Lunar X Prize
is intended for the private sector, since at
least 90% of the funding for each team must
come from private sources. A series of
partnerships to help potential teams has also
been announced, in particular, with Space X
and the Universal Space Network providing
services to teams at discounted prices.
On 22 February 2008, the X Prize Foundation
and Google announced the first ten teams to
register for the Google Lunar X Prize: seven
are from the United States (Astrobotic,
Chandah, FredNet, LunaTrex, Micro-Space,
Quantum3, Southern California Selene Group
(SCSG)) and three from Europe (Aeronautics
and Cosmonautics Romanian Association
(ARCA) from Romania, Odyssey Moon from
the Isle of Man and Team Italia from Italy).
As of the end of June, 13 teams were
registered, the above plus a âMystery Teamâ,
the team Stellar and JURBAN all from the
United States and Advaeros, a multinational
team. In the mean time, SCSG withdrew
from the contest.
Flight date
Operator
Vehicle
Launch Site
22 March 2007
Blue Origin
Goddard
West Texas Launch Site
19 April 2007
Blue Origin
Goddard
West Texas Launch Site
2 June 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
Pixel
Oklahoma Spaceport
2 June 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
Pixel
Oklahoma Spaceport
20 October 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
MOD 1
Holloman AFB
27 October 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
MOD 1
Holloman AFB
27 October 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
MOD 1
Holloman AFB
28 October 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
MOD 1
Holloman AFB
28 October 2007
Armadillo Aerospace
MOD 1
Holloman AFB
Table 4 2007 FAA-Permitted Flight Events (source FAA)
38
Report 15, September 2008
Chapter 3 â Global Space Policies and
Strategies
In the period ranging from mid-2007 to mid-
2008, major developments occurred in several
space-faring countries at the policy and
strategy levels, notably in Japan where the
new âBasic Space Lawâ has finally been
adopted. This period was, however, marked
by fewer major policies put forth by the major
space actors compared to the 2006/2007
period. Nonetheless, the new developments
witnessed in the implement-tation of the
policies recently adopted as well as in the
developments of new strategies by emerging
space actors in various parts of the world tend
to underline the growing quest for enhancing
national competitiveness in an ever-increasing
international and global space context.
3 . 1 E u r o p e
The period 2007/2008 was particularly
dynamic and successful for Europe (defined
as the EU, ESA, Eumetsat and their member
States). Following the adoption of the first
European Space Policy in May 2007,
subsequent months focused on implementing
this policy. Major developments also occurred
at the programmatic-level such as the
resolution of some of the difficulties of the
Galileo programme, but also policy
statements on space affairs by the executive
or legislative branch in France, Germany and
the United Kingdom.
3 . 2 E u r o p e a n S p a c e
A g e n c y
After the adoption of the European Space
Policy, efforts in recent months have focused
on implementing it and other programmatic
elements as well as on preparing the ESA
Council meeting at the Ministerial Level
scheduled for November 2008. ESA was also
particularly active in 2007/2008 on the
technical and scientific side.
The year 2008 was a historical period for
human spaceflight activities in Europe. First,
the European Columbus orbital laboratory
launched by NASAâs space shuttle Atlantis
(STS-122 mission) was attached to the
International Space Station (ISS) on 11
February 2008. The hatch between the ISS
and Columbus was opened a day later. This
significant milestone marks Europeâs new
status as a full partner and co-owner of the
International Space Station (ISS).
91
Second,
the first ESA re-supply and reboot vehicle,
the Automatic Transfer Vehicle (ATV) named
Jules Verne, successfully performed a fully-
automated docking procedure with the ISS
on 3 April 2008. The 19-tons ATV aims to
deliver cargo, propellant, water, oxygen and
propulsion capability to the station.
92
As ESA
now contributes to ISS operations mainly
through ATV, the Agency can expect to
regularly send European astronauts to
perform long-duration stays onboard as
members of the resident crew. Subsequent to
these two milestones, ESA opened a call for
astronauts on 19 May 2008 to recruit four
candidates from its 17 member States to
become join the European Astronauts Corps.
This is the first call to recruit European
astronauts since 1992. Final appointments
will be officially announced in 2009.
Progress was also achieved in the Galileo and
the Global Monitoring for Environment and
Security (GMES) programmes to ensure the
transition from the pre-operational phase to
the operational phase.
For Galileo, GIOVE-B was successfully
launched on 27 April 2008 and began
transmitting navigation signals on 7 May
2008. Europe now has two GIOVE satellites in
orbit (GIOVE-A and B). Following the re-
profiling of the Galileo programme, ESA is
now the maĂŽtre dâoeuvre for the whole
programme (Cf. Chapter 7). Finally, in late
June 2008, the selection process for the
Galileo contractor for the six work packages
of the Galileo satellite navigation system
started.
93
The Commission and ESA have
91
Further European-built ISS elements are still under
preparation to be launched to the ISS within the decade,
such as the Material Science Laboratory (MSL), the
Muscle Atrophy Research and Exercise System (MARES)
and the European Robotic Arm (ERA), the Node-3 and the
Cupola observation deck.
92
The ATV carries about three times as much payload
mass as Russiaâs Progress freighters.
93
The six work packages are system support, ground
39
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
opted for the procurement procedure of
âCompetitive Dialogueâ (Cf. Chapter 7).
On 27 September 2007, ESAâs member States
participating in the GMES programme
approved the transition to Phase-2 of Segment
1 of the GMES Space Component Programme
allowing it to make progress on the
development of the Sentinel satellite series
and, in particular, to build Sentinel 1, 2 and 3
with the necessary ground segment. The
oversubscription of the programme by the ESA
Council at the Ministerial Level in Berlin
(Germany) in 2005 was confirmed with an
oversubscription to Phase-2 of 116%. On 14
April 2008, Thales Alenia Space signed a 305
million euros contract to provide the Sentinel-
3 satellite, which is dedicated to oceanography
and land vegetation monitoring, with a
planned launch for 2012. Then, on 17 April
2008 ESA and Astrium signed a 195 million
euros contract for the Sentinel-2 satellite
devoted to monitoring the land environment
with a planned launch for 2012.
On 27 May 2008, ESA and Astrium also
signed a 263 million euros contract for the
development of the sixth Earth Explorer
mission of ESAâs Living Planet Programme,
the Earth Care satellite. This satellite will
address the need for a better understanding
of the interaction between clouds, radiative
and aerosol processes that play a role in
climate regulation. It is scheduled for launch
in 2013.
In the field of communications, ESA and
Inmarsat announced on 23 November 2007
the formal signature of the contract for the
Alphasat satellite, making Inmarsat the first
customer of the Alphabus platform jointly
developed by Astrium and Thales Alenia
Space and initiated by a partnership between
ESA and CNES. Alphasat will be available for
launch in 2012. In addition to the Inmarsat
payload, it will carry three ESA-produced
Technology Demonstration Payloads (TDPs).
The development of ESA future scientific
missions is also on-going. Among others, on
18 January 2008, the industrial contract of
BepiColombo was signed between ESA and
Astrium. BepiColombo will consist of two
spacecraft, one orbiter for planetary
investigation led by ESA, and one for
magnetospheric studies led by the Japanese
space agency (JAXA). After a six-year
journey BepiColombo is expected to make
the most extensive and detailed study of
Mercury ever attempted.
mission segment, ground control segment, space segment
(satellites), launch services and operations.
New scientific missions are also being
considered for development in the context of
the ESA Cosmic Vision 2015-2025, with the
themes ranging from the conditions for life
and planetary formations, to the origin and
future of the solar system, and the origin,
structure and evolution of the universe. The
initial selection of missions was made in
summer 2007. Nine missions were selected
from 50 proposals gathered within the
framework of a dedicated call in spring 2007.
For the domain of the solar system the
following missions were short listed: Laplace,
a mission studying the Jovian system;
Tandem a new mission to Saturn; Titan and
Enceladus; Cross-scale to study near-Earth
space, and Marco Polo an asteroid sample-
return mission.. In the field of astronomy,
Euclid a mission to study dark matter and
energy, Plato a planet finder mission, Xeus a
next generation X-ray space observatory,
Spica a next generation infrared observatory,
and LISA a space interferometer to detect
gravitational waves were short-listed. The
assessment cycle will end in 2011, with a first
selection foreseen in 2009. At the end of this
process two missions (one class M mission
and one class L mission) will be selected to
be launched in the 2017-2018 horizons.
ESA was also active in defining future
exploration activities individually or within the
framework of international cooperation. In
particular, the International Space
Exploration Conference was organised by ESA
and DLR on 8-9 November 2007 in Berlin
(Germany) to discuss future missions to the
moon, Mars, and beyond. The conference
was a first step for the definition of a
roadmap for space exploration which will be
presented to the ESA Council on Ministerial
Level in November 2008.
Progress was also made on launch vehicles
development such as on rocket engines in the
context of ESAâs Future Launchers
Preparatory Programme (FLPP) with the first
hot firing test in February 2007 of a reduced-
scale demonstrator version of a staged
combustion rocket engine. Major milestones
in the development of the Vega launcher,
which will serve the small to mid-sized
satellite launch market, were also achieved in
2007/2008. A prototype of the P80 rocket
motor which will power the first stage of the
3-stage vehicle was successfully tested on 4
December 2007 at the Guiana Space Centre
(GSC), concluding the qualification of the
engine. Then, on 27 March 2008, the second
stage engine, Zefiro 23, completed a static
firing test at the Salto Di Quirra Inter-force
Test Range in Italy, achieving the
qualification testing of the engine. Progress
on the construction of Soyuzâs launch site at
40
Report 15, September 2008
the GSC continued and the assembly work on
the Soyuz launch pad is expected to start in
August 2008. The first Soyuz launch from
Kourou is planned for spring 2009.
In the last few months, ESAâs membership
has evolved. An agreement on closer
cooperation between ESA and Slovenia was
signed on 28 May 2008 making Slovenia the
second recent EU member State to sign a
cooperative agreement with ESA after Estonia
in June 2007. It is now expected that in a few
years Slovenia will become a European
Cooperating State. On 28 April 2008, Poland
signed the Plan for European Cooperating
State Charter as a follow-up to its signature
of the European Cooperating State
Agreement in April 2007. Poland is the fourth
country to subscribe to the Plan for European
Cooperating State (PECS) after Hungary, the
Czech Republic and Romania.
ESA also continues to expand its international
cooperation efforts. On 8 May 2008, the
cooperation agreement between Argentina
and ESA was renewed for five years. ESA also
reinforced its cooperation with China. The ESA
ground station network, and in particular, its
three ESTRACK (European Space Tracking)
stations provided direct support to critical
phases of Chinese Changâe-1 lunar mission. In
return for ESAâs tracking services, China will
share scientific data generated by the mission.
Furthermore, following the success of the
Earth observation Dragon Programme, the
programmeâs second phase, Dragon 2 started
in May 2008 for four years. From 16 projects
in Dragon 1, the number of projects has been
increased to 25 under Dragon 2. The Dragon
Programme is designed to encourage
increased exploitation of ESA and Chinese
Earth observation satellite data by China. ESA
continued as well to investigate potential
cooperation with NASA, particularly in the
domain of space exploration. ESA and NASA
worked on comparative lunar architectures as
well as preliminary elements of Mars sample
return missions.
The European Space Astronomy Centre
(ESAC) located on the outskirts of Madrid
(Spain) was inaugurated on 7 February 2008,
making it the sixth ESA establishment (plus
ESA headquarters, liaison offices in
Washington and Moscow and an office in
Brussels) and the first in Spain. ESAC is
ESAâs centre for space science covering
astronomy as well as solar system explo-
ration activities.
3 . 3 E u r o p e a n U n i o n
While the EU does not yet have direct
responsibility for space issues despite the
adoption of the May 2007 European Space
Policy, it is foreseen that the role of the EU
will increase in the near future with the entry
into force of the âLisbon Treatyâ, or an
alternative document.
94
A new treaty, the
âTreaty amending the Treaty on European
Union and the Treaty establishing the
European Communityâ known as the âLisbon
Treatyâ is set to replace the European
Constitution, which was rejected by voters in
France and the Netherlands in 2005 (Cf.
Chapter 1).
95
The âLisbon Treatyâ aims to
enhance the efficiency of the EU with a major
focus on the reorganisation of the
institutional and decision making processes of
the EU. It creates the legal framework for
action by the EU in certain areas not pre-
viously explicitly covered including space.
Using a very similar wording as in the Treaty
Establishing a Constitution for Europe of 2004
(âthe Draft Constitutional Treatyâ), the Lisbon
Treaty refers to âspaceâ in two articles.
Article 4.3 states that:
â˘
âIn the areas of research, technological
development and space, the Union shall
have competence to carry out activities,
in particular to define and implement
programmes; however, the exercise of
that competence shall not result in
Member States being prevented from
exercising theirs."
Article 189, included in the Title XIX headed
"Research and technological development
and space", states that:
â˘
âTo promote scientific and technical
progress, industrial competitiveness and
the implementation of its policies, the
Union shall draw up a European space
policy. To this end, it may promote joint
initiatives, support research and
technological development and
coordinate the efforts needed for the
exploration and exploitation of space.
â˘
In order to reach the objectives referred
to in paragraph 1, the European
94
The consequences of the rejection on 12 June 2008 of
the referendum in Ireland for the adoption of the âLisbon
Treatyâ are still unclear, but the ratification process is
expected to continue and no major modifications to the
articles dealing with space affaires are foreseen should a
new document be drafted.
95
This treaty was scheduled to enter into force on 1
January 2009 provided that all 27 member States would
have ratified it.
41
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Parliament and the Council, acting in
accordance with the ordinary legislative
procedure, shall establish the necessary
measures, which may take the form of a
European space programme, excluding
any harmonisation of the laws and
regulations of the Member States.
â˘
The Union shall establish any appropriate
relations with the European Space
Agency.
â˘
This Article shall be without prejudice to
the other provisions of this Title.â
The provisions of the Lisbon Treaty thus
clearly assign the area of competence for the
space field as a âsupport competenceâ to the
European Union.
In the 2007/2008 period, the three main
areas of activities of the EU and its services
were their involvement in the Galileo and the
GMES programmes, as well as the mobile
satellite services (MSS) regulations.
The Commission Communication of 19
September 2007 entitled âProgressing
Galileo: Re-Profiling the European GNSS
Programmesâ reassessed the importance of
Galileo both geopolitically and commercially.
This Communication aimed at salvaging the
European Global Navigation Satellite System
(GNSS) programmes, and in particular, to
clarify that Galileo and EGNOS project
deployment phases will be funded by the
European Community. In an effort to secure
those projects, a proposition to use unspent
agriculture funds as well as administration
funds has been made for a total of 2.42
billion euros for the 2007-2013 period (Cf.
Chapter 7).
96
Subsequently, a proposed
amendment to the âDecision of the European
Parliament and of the Council, amending the
Inter-institutional Agreement of 17 May 2006
on budgetary discipline and sound financial
management as regards the multi-annual
financial frameworkâ was presented by the
Commission on 5 December 2007 in order to
adjust the 2007-2013 budget of the EU to
extract 2.7 billion euros for the Galileo and
the European Institute of Innovation and
Technology projects.
97 , 98
Following the
96
It is estimated that altogether, Galileoâs cost should be
about 4.9 billion euros with 1.5 billion euros already spent,
1 billion euros previously set aside and the supplementary
2.4 billion euros.
97
âDecision of the European Parliament and of the Council,
amending the Interinstitutional Agreement of 17 May 2006
on budgetary discipline and sound financial management
as regards the multiannual financial framework.â presented
by the Commission, COM (2007) 783 final, Brussels 5 Dec.
2007.
98
On 11 December 2007, the Council adopted the
amended version of EUâs financial framework for 2007-
2013.
adoption of the aforementioned amended
proposal by the European Parliament and
Council, the management structure of the
programme was modified with, among
others, the creation of a Galileo Inter-
institutional Panel (GIP) composed of seven
representatives (three from the Council,
three from the European Parliament and 1
from the Commission) scheduled to meet
four times per year to cooperate on decisions
on annual work programmes (Cf. Chapter 7).
Furthermore, while ESA is now the maĂŽtre
dâoeuvre and has the authority to issue the
contract, the EU rules will prevail over the
ESA geographic return policy, since Galileo is
being funded by EU funds. Altogether, the
developments of the last few months
illustrate that for various political
stakeholders in Europe, Galileo remains a
justifiable enterprise solely on the basis that
it will provide Europe with autonomy
regarding space-based global positioning,
naviation and timing rather than just for
economic motives. On 25 June 2008, the
Commission issued an Invitation to tender for
the six work packages of the Galileo satellite
navigation system, and on 1 July 2008, the
Commission and ESA launched the pro-
urement of the programme (Cf. Chapter 7).
At a technical level, major progress on
Galileo was also made in 2007/2008. The
U.S. and the EU âjoint compatibility and
interoperability working groupâ solved
technical challenges in July 2007 to ensure
that the Galileo and the GPS systems are
compatible for joint security issues and
commercial purposes.
99
However, because of
this agreement to make compatible signals
between the future GPS III and Galileo
satellites, GIOVE-Bâs launch was delayed
from March to April 2008 in order to modify
the Navigation Signal Generation Unit
(NGSU) and to wait for seasonal eclipse
phenomena to pass.
100
GIOVE-B was
successfully launched on 27 April 2008 on a
Starsem rocket from the Baikonur
Cosmodrome and since 7 May 2008, it has
been transmitting the GPS-Galileo common
signal.
Progress was also made on the other EU
flagship programme, GMES. In particular, the
European Commission approved new funding
to purchase a new family of space-based
99
âUS and EU Announce Final Design for GPS-Galileo
Common Civil Signal.â IP/07/1180 27
July 2007.
100
Coppinger, Rob. âGIOVE-B signal generator modified
as launch slips to April.â Spaceflight 16 Jan. 2008
<http://www.flightglobal.com/articles/2008/01/16/220838/gi
ove-b-signal-generator-modified-as-launch-slips-to-
april.html >.
42
Report 15, September 2008
platforms.
101
On 28 February 2008, ESA and
the European Commission signed an
agreement for transferring the management
of funds of a volume of 624 million euros of
the Commissionâs budget to ESA in order to
build GMES components. Funding will be
distributed into two stages: 419 million euros
for segment 1 and 295 million euros for
segment 2.
102
Another major development in European
space affairs is the proposal for the selection
and authorisation of systems providing MSS
that has been presented by the Commission
and agreed upon by the European Parliament
and the Council. This initiative aims to
promote a competitive internal market for
MSS to ensure that those transnational
services work at their best potential. On 22
August 2007, the Commission transmitted to
the European Parliament and the Council, a
proposal providing a legal framework for new
mechanisms on the selection and
authorisation of systems providing MSS (Cf.
Chapter 7). It lays down Community
procedure for the common selection at EU-
level of MSS operators; it also mentions
provisions for the coordinated authorisation
by national authorities of selected operators
to use the radio spectrum for the operation of
such systems in the EU.
103
The Commission proposal has been
subsequently examined by the Transport,
Telecommunications and Energy (TTE) Council
during the Portuguese and Slovenian
Presidencies (Cf. Chapter 7). Negotiations with
the European Parliament started under the
Slovenian Presidency, and on 18 April 2008, a
compromise was reached on the Commission
proposal. On 21 May 2008, the European
Parliament adopted on the basis of a first-
reading compromise the Commissionâs
proposal (652-16-10) with only one provision
stating that no more than 15 MHz from Earth
to space and 15 MHz from space to Earth can
be assigned to one applicant. Then, on 16
June 2008, a decision of the European
Parliament and the Council on the selection
and authorisation of systems providing MSS
was published. Finally, the Council (on
Agriculture and Fisheries) adopted a decision
taken by a qualified majority vote of the
101
de Selding, Peter. âEurope Makes Earth Observation a
Priority.â Space News 19.14 (7 Apr. 2008): 20.
102
âGMES secures European Commission funding.â Space
News, business report 15 Feb. 2008.
103
Under current EU communicationsâ rules, national
authorities licence operators of satellite communications
and, the existing regulations of the International
Telecommunication Union (ITU) only have procedures for
radio frequency coordination to avoid unacceptable
interference between satellites, but not for licensing those
systems.
European Parliament and the Council on 23
June 2008, establishing a common framework
for the selection and authorisation of systems
providing MSS. The target date for completing
the EU selection process is early 2009.
Space is increasingly being used as a tool for
foreign diplomacy by the EU and its
services.
104
The EU established a series of
bilateral dialogues with other space powers,
particularly the United States and Russia.
The most recent EU-US Dialogue on Civil
Space cooperation took place on 28 May
2008.
105
The agenda items of the meeting
were space policy updates, satellite
navigation, space exploration, regulatory
issues, Earth observation, United Nations
issues and security issues. The information
exchange was considered very positive by
both sides and specific areas of cooperation
have been identified in Earth observation by
the United Nations Committee on the
Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (UN-COPUOS)
regarding coordination and security issues.
The third meeting of the Steering Board of
the EU-Russia Dialogue on Space Cooperation
took place on 24 June 2008 in Paris (France).
Set up in March 2006, the dialogue covers
space applications (satellite navigation, Earth
observation and communications) access to
space (launchers and future space
transportation systems) space science and
space technology development. At the last
meeting, the three partners (EC, ESA and the
Russian Federal Space Agency) reported on
the progress in establishing a regular
dialogue at the working level in the
aforementioned fields. The Steering Board
identified priorities for the period 2008-2009
in each of the following sectors: Earth
observation, satellite navigation, satellite
communication, fundamental space science,
applied space science and technology, launch
systems and Crew Space Transportation
System.
While the EU already has existing relations
and cooperation with major space powers, it
is also extending its reach. In particular,
during the EU-Africa Summit, a âGMES for
Africaâ event was organised in December
2007.
106
Mutual commitments and strategic
partnerships have been reiterated and eight
104
Peter, Nicolas. âThe EUâs Emergent Space Diplomacy.â
Space Policy 23.2 (May 2007): 97-107.
105
This dialogue set up in 2006 aims to facilitate the
exchange of information and to foster mutual
understanding of policies, programmes, priorities and
structures.
106
Pisani, Pierre-Henri. â"GMES and Africa" A Hopeful
Case for Euro-African Cooperation in Space
Development.â ESPI Perspectives 6 Apr. 2008.
43
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
priority actions have been proposed,
including one action explicitly concerning
space activities (Cf. Chapter 7).
Within the EU, a âspace Code of Conductâ is
currently under development within the
European Councilâs Working Group on Global
Arms Control and Disarmament matters
(CODUN) that discusses small arms and other
disarmament issues including space (Cf.
Chapter 6).
107
Finally, following Vice-President for Justice,
Freedom and Security Marco Frattiniâs
resignation in April 2008, a series of
leadership changes occurred in the
Commission. Vice-president Jacques Barrot
previously in charge of Transport replaced Mr
Frattini as Vice President for Justice, Freedom
and Security for the rest of the mandate.
Consequently, on May 2008, Antonio Tajani
replaced Mr Barrot as Vice-President for
Transport.
3 . 4 E u m e t s a t
In 2007/2008, the European Organisation for
the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites
(Eumetsat) continued its evolution by
starting new activities. During its 63
rd
Council
meeting in December 2007, several decisions
were taken:
â˘
The green light was given for the
necessary activities to start in January
2008 for the Meteosat Third Generation
(MTG) preparatory programme;
â˘
A six-year contract for EUNETCast Europe
Service (2009-2014) was approved;
â˘
The EUMETCast South America service
was extended for an additional 2 years;
â˘
A cooperation with NOAA on the use of
the McMurdo station in Antarctica was
approved in order to receive data from
Metop-A;
â˘
A memorandum of understanding (MOU)
was approved with Canada to foster
cooperation regarding weather, climate
and environment monitoring activities.
108
107
The Working Group on Global Arms Control and
Disarmament (CODUN) is one of the two preparatory
bodies of the General Affairs and External Relations
Council (GAREC) which meets at ministerial level, the
other is the Working Group on Non-Proliferation. CODUN
meets once a month in Brussels and is attended by senior
disarmament and non-proliferation officials from the EU
member States. The Working Groups are served by
personnel from the non-proliferation and disarmament
sections of the Councilâs General Secretariat. Officials
from the EC participate in all meetings.
108
âEumetsat Agrees to provide Data for GMES.â
Eumersat Press Release 3 July 2008
Following the successful launch of the first
Metop polar-orbiting satellite (Metop-A) in
October 2006, Eumetsat continued to expand
its core mission of providing operational
meteorological observations in recent
months. In particular, it included ocean
surface topography in its portfolio, following
the successful launch of Jason-2 ocean
altimetry satellite on 20 June 2008. Jason-2âs
Ocean Surface Topography Mission is
expected to provide a vital contribution to the
monitoring of climate change, ocean
circulation and weather. It is the continuation
of the existing successful cooperation
between the United States (NASA, NOAA)
and Europe (CNES, Eumetsat). Eumetsat will
act as an interface for near-real-time product
distribution to European users. On 27 March
2007, Eumetsat and the European
Commissionâs Joint Research Centre (JRC)
also signed an agreement to initiate
collaboration in order to join their efforts
regarding environmental challenges created
by climate change, with an emphasis on
developing countries.
109
Completing Eumetsat's push into new
activities, the European meteorological
agency continues to broaden its geographical
presence. In addition to cooperation with the
United States on its Meteosat spacecraft
placed over the Indian Ocean Region,
Eumetsat will continue its involvement in
South America (see above), but also in
Africa. On 4 April 2008, Eumetsat and the
African Union Commission have signed a
MOU on how Eumetsat will contribute to the
African Monitoring of the Environment for
Sustainable Development (AMESD) project by
providing data from its satellites as well as
technical assistance and training.
110
Eumetsat
continued to reinforce its trans-Atlantic ties
as well. Besides the Jason-2 mission with the
United States, on 18 October 2007, as
aforementioned, it initiated a MOU with
Canada to advance cooperation in satellite
monitoring activities. In particular, under this
agreement, Europe and Canada will work
together to improve weather, climate and
environmental monitoring through the
observation of the atmosphere and oceans.
<http://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Media/Press_Releas
es/706470?l=en >.
109
The agreement signed foresees the provision of data
generated by the JRCâs African, Caribbean and Pacific
(ACP) Observatory for Sustainable Development to African
countries via EUMETCast, which is Eumetsatâs near-real-
time broadcast system for environmental data.
110
AMESD, is the follow-on initiative to Preparation for the
Use of Meteosat Second Generation in Africa (PUMA). It is
an international cooperation programme aimed at
providing all African countries with the resources required
to manage their environment more effectively and ensure
long-term sustainable development in the region.
44
Report 15, September 2008
Finally, Eumetsat also extended it member-
ship in 2007/2008, with Slovenia becoming
the latest full member of the organisation in
February 2008. It now has 21 member States
(Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy,
Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway,
Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland, Turkey and the United Kingdom)
and nine cooperating States (Bulgaria, the
Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Iceland,
Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania).
3.5 National governments
The major European space countries (France,
Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom)
were the most active in 2007/08 in terms of
policy and strategy development. However,
other European countries are also updating
their national guidelines. In particular,
Finland is currently in the process of
developing its sixth national strategy for
space research and development activities
covering all national public sectors activities.
3.5.1 France
A series of high-level policy documents were
released in France in the past months,
illustrating the sustained support of space at
a high political level.
On 11 February 2008, the French President,
Nicolas Sarkozy, gave a structuring policy
speech underlining that the highest French
authorities recognize space activities as
critical strategic assets. The tenets of this
speech can be analysed as follow: politicize
space issues through a dedicated Presidential
speech; indicate and frame the orientations
of the upcoming French EU Presidency and its
main objectives; recall the importance of the
European dimension of space activities as a
condition for the success of an ambitious
space policy; foster space cooperation for
building up the European Security and
Defence Policy (ESDP); build bridges between
civil space and defence; encourage a growing
involvement of the EU in space affairs by
bringing, among others, Galileo to a
successful outcome and by funding the
Guiana Space Centre (GSC); strengthen
Europeâs assets in space exploration and set
up a strong cooperation with the United
States; underline Arianeâs role as a
cornerstone of space policy and European
space autonomy.
One of the core messages was that the EU
should embrace more responsibilities in space
affairs. In his speech, the French President
mentioned four âprogrammesâ to reinforce
the EUâs role: navigation (Galileo), Earth
observation (GMES), climate change, and
space surveillance. He also expressed his
wish to significantly increase Franceâs
national space defence budget. President
Sarkozy also underlined the importance of
space in a national and European defence
policy context, Europeâs autonomous
decision-making capabilities and as a
significant building block of the ESDP (Cf.
Chapter 6). Finally, he called for the creation
of a stricter set of rules to regulate States
behaviour in space.
On 17 June 2008, the French White Paper on
defence and national security was presented.
The White Paper describes Franceâs defence
and security programme for the next 15
years. A modification of defence decision-
making processes, as well as a reorientation
of spending are described in order to address
new security threats (transnational terrorism,
etc.) and more traditional ones (ballistic
missile and nuclear, bacteriologic and
chemical threats, etc.). In particular, this
document underlined that Franceâs plans to
greatly expand its military space capabilities
is part of a move to reinforce its
reconnaissance/intelligence capabilities by
increasing public support for military space
and by developing and acquiring new
capabilities (Cf. Chapter 6).
Following the publication of the report issued
on 7 February 2007 by the French
Parliamentary Office for the Evaluation of
Scientific and Technological Choices on
Europeâs space policy (the so-called âCabal
Reportâ),
111 , 112
a new report led by Serge
Grouard and Odile Saugues was published by
the French Parliamentary Committee on
National Defence and Armed Forces on 5
February 2008 underlining the importance
attached to space affairs by the French
legislative branch. This report addresses the
strategic and industrial roles of the space
sector. Furthermore, a colloquium entitled
âSpace at the service of the European
citizensâ organised by the French
Parliamentary Group for Space (GPE) on 5
June 2008 was held in the French National
Assembly. Four main themes were con-
sidered: space and competitiveness, access
111
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 34.
112
For more information see Madders, Kevin. âThe Cabal
Report of the French Parliament on Space Policy- A
Blueprint for European Space Ambitions or Another Cry in
the Wilderness?â Yearbook on Space policy 2006/2007:
New Impetus for Europe. Eds. European Space Policy
Institute: Kai-Uwe Schrogl, Charlotte Mathieu and Nicolas
Peter. Wien: Springer, 2008: 128-135.
45
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
to space, space exploration, and the
governance of European space activities.
A French space law was adopted in spring
2008 after years of discussions.
113
This new
law provides France with a legal framework
for activities in space. It stresses that the
evolution of the space sector, with the role of
new actors from the private sector, highlights
the need for a national legal framework
regulating relations between the French
government and private operators.
Therefore, the main objective is to create a
safe national framework, while ensuring the
competitiveness of space activities. The Act
on space activities was adopted by the
French Parliament on 9 April 2008 and
entered into force
on 3 June 2008. The main
propositions focus on the creation of an
authorisation regime allowing French
authorities to have effective control over
space activities. This authorisation is
necessary in all the cases in which the French
State might be considered responsible and
liable. Moreover, the text establishes a
financial guarantee by the State above a
certain ceiling amount payable by the
operator in case of damages caused by its
activities. The Act also provides an insurance
coverage obligation for risks in orbit. There
are also more specific points like the
governance of the Guiana Space Centre,
Intellectual Property (IP) Rights (in particular
any discovery made on board of a satellite
registered in France will be considered made
on French territory and will be covered by the
French IP regime).
114
As a result of the recent policy changes,
CNES, the French space agency, is observing
a shift in its funding management and
distribution which should expand through the
2008-2013 period. Indeed, expenses are
redirected from âmutualised resourcesâ and
central directions to the benefit of
programmes such as launchers, space
science, and the preparation for the future of
defence and security.
115
3.5.2 Germany
Chancellor Angela Merkel expressed her
views on space matters on 14 February 2008
while discussing with the STS-122 crew and
113
France was one of the last countries in Europe involved
in space which still did not have a specific law regulating
space activities.
114
The reader can access the translated version of the Act
by looking at Schmidt-Tedd, Bernhard and Isabelle Arnold.
âThe French Act Relating to Space Activities. From
International Law Idealism to National Industrial
Pragmatism.â ESPI Perspectives 11 Aug. 2008.
115
Lardier, Christian. âLe Cnes fait le plein de
programmes.â Air & Cosmos (1 Feb. 2008) : 38-39.
particularly the European Astronauts Klaus
Schlegel and Leopold Eyharts during the
commissioning of the Columbus module.
116
Among other things, in her address,
Chancellor Merkel showed concern regarding
the necessity to address young people to
embrace engineering professions and
mentioned her willingness to create a
favourable environment to this effect.
117
The
cooperative nature of space activities was
also highlighted. On the programmatic side,
while she underlined the success of the
Columbus orbital module she gave a âgentle
warningâ on Galileo.
118
In reaction to Nicolas Sarkozyâs speech in
Kourou, DLR, the German space agency
expressed its agreement that more space
cooperation should be pursued with the
United States regarding Mars exploration and
that Europe should develop its own space
surveillance technology in order to be
autonomous in this area. However, it also
expressed its desire that space issues remain
with ESA and not be transferred to the EU,
arguing that space remains a different
priority depending on countries, thus
responding to President Sarkozyâs proposal
that the EU should ensure the maintenance
of the Kourou space centre.
119
In spring
2008, DLR underlined its willingness to
continue to lead scientific research in the
future regarding aviation and space
exploration. For such purposes, DLR will
promote relations between civilian and
defence applications and will develop cross-
sectional tasks, for example, business start-
up support and promotion of young
talents.
120
The astronaut Thomas Reiter, who has spent
almost a year conducting research in space,
joined the Executive Board of DLR with
responsibility for space research and
development (R&D).
121
116
STS-122 crew members included Schlegel, from
Germany, and NASA astronauts Stephen Frick, Rex
Walheim, Stanley Love, Alan Poindexter and Leland
Melvin.
117
Pisani, Pierre-Henri. âEuropean leaders charter course
for space.â ESPI Flash Report 4 Mar. 2008.
118
Ibid.
119
de Selding, Peter. âItalian, German Space Officials
Welcome Sarkozyâs Space Proposals.â Space News 19.7
(18 Feb. 2008): 5.
120
âResearch for the Future- shaping the future.â DLR
press release 28 May 2008
<http://www.dlr.de/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-
1/86_read-12602>.
121
Thomas Reiter is the European astronaut who has
acquired the longest experience of space.
46
Report 15, September 2008
3.5.3 Italy
In 2007, Italy held the chairmanship of the
ninth European Interparliamentary Space
Conference (EISC), a permanent forum to
foster cooperation on space policy issues
between European national parliaments. A
series of events were organised in the
course of the year by the VAST Committee
(Committee for the Evaluation of Scientific
and Technological Options) of the Chamber
of Deputies among which was the EISC
Plenary Meeting (Cf. Chapter 7).
In 2007, the first European-built module to
be permanently attached to ISS, the Node 2
module, or âHarmonyâ, was launched on 23
October 2007 onboard the STS-120 mission
along with Italian astronaut Paolo Nespoli.
Harmony was the first addition to the ISS
work and living space in six years. It was
developed for NASA under an ASI contract
with Thales Alenia Space as prime
contractor. On the programmatic level, the
board of the Italian Space Agency, ASI,
approved the funding of three new satellite
missions: PRISMA (Earth Observation),
MIOSAT (small optical mission) and
ATHENA-FIDUS
122
(ASI-CNES geostationary
satellite for communications).
123
3.5.4 The United Kingdom
The British space policy is in transition. The
House of Commonsâ Science and Technology
Committee started a âmajor and wide-
ranging inquiryâ in the fall of 2006.
124
As a
result, a report entitled â2007: A Space
Policyâ was released on 17 July 2007.
125
The
report underlined the fact that space is a
significant area of science and policy and
that it is necessary for the Government to
take a strategic approach to space activities
such as robotic exploration, satellite
navigation and Earth observation with a
longer-term vision. The report called for a
forthcoming civil space strategy to be able
to inspire and motivate the UK space sector.
122
âGreen Light for Three New Missions PRISMA,
MIOSAT and ATHENA-FIdus.â. ASI press release 21 Dec.
2007 <
http://www.asi.it/SiteEN/ContentSite.aspx?Area=Comunica
ti+Stampa >.
123
âASI and Defence Join Forces on ATHENA-FIDUS: a
Dual, Itlaian/French Telecommunication System.â ASI
Press Release 23
Jan. 2008.
124
For more information, see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 35.
125
United Kingdom, House of Commons. âHouse of
Commons Science and Technology Committee, 2007: A
space policy: government response to the Committeeâs
seventh Report of session 2006-2007.â HC 1042, ordered
by the House of Commons to be printed 9 October 2007,
London: The Stationary Office Limited, 23 Oct. 2007.
It also emphasised the UK Governmentâs
commitment to space and the need for the
British National Space Centre (BNSC) to
outline its vision and activities for space,
and called for more effective programme
management. In particular, the need to
strengthen the oversight of space
programmes was underlined. The report
called for new funding and mechanisms to
increase support for small and medium
enterprises (SMEs). It also considered UKâs
implication at the European level in ESA and
EUâs programmes. Finally, exploration and
space tourism issues were also addressed. A
memorandum from the Government which
contained responses to the report was
received on 26 September 2007.
On 14 February 2008, the British
Government, following its spring 2007
consultation and a stakeholder event in
summer 2007 as well as the aforementioned
report from the House of Commons Science
and Technology Committee, released its new
strategy and proposals for the UKâs future
involvement in the space sector, the so-
called âUK Civil Space Strategy: 2008 â
2012 and beyondâ. The main cornerstones
of this strategy are:
â˘
Continued UK involvement in Earth
observation, space science and
communications developments;
â˘
Continued close cooperation with ESA
and the establishment of an ESA facility
at Harwell (Oxfordshire), which will
focus on climate change, robotic space
exploration and applications;
â˘
Closer involvement in international
initiatives on the future shape of space
exploration to the moon, Mars and
beyond;
â˘
Setting up a National Space Technology
Programme to support the development
of new, innovative technologies and
services.
The strategy identifies space as a âstrategic
economic sectorâ and as such the British
government proposed a set of amendments
to lower the insurance costs for space
companies. This aims at the development of
space commercial activities on its territory.
Such changes target in particular launching
companies and space tourism.
126
Furthermore, while the UK had rejected the
idea of manned spaceflight since 1986, its
position changed at the beginning of 2008
when the âUK Civil Space Strategy: 2008-
2012 and Beyondâ stated that the UK is now
126
de Selding, Peter. âBritish Government May Ease
Regulations on Space Companies.â Space News 19.7 (18
Feb 2008): 5.
47
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
interested in astronaut-related programmes,
although neither deadlines nor budgetary
estimations were detailed.
127
3 . 6 T h e U n i t e d S t a t e s
Space is not usually mentioned during a U.S.
Presidential campaign, but it has been on
several occasions in the context of the 2008
U.S. campaign. The presidential candidates of
the two big parties, Senator Obama for the
Democrats and Senator McCain for the
Republicans, have both issued statements or
fact sheets concerning their positions on the
U.S. space agenda.
Senator Obama has indicated that he would
maintain a robust programme of human
space exploration and fulfil NASA mission,
reversing an earlier position in which he
planned to delay the Constellation
programme by five years and use up to five
billion U.S. dollars from the NASA budget for
education. Senator Obama announced it
would also endorse a congressional plan to
add another two billion U.S. dollars to NASAâs
budget and agreed to back at least one more
space shuttle mission and to ensure that
NASA has the necessary funding to support
climate change research. Senator McCain is
also a strong supporter of the U.S. space
programme including the U.S. Space
Exploration Policy (USSEP) and supports
going to the moon by 2020, but has also
called for a freeze of discretionary funding.
The Bill H.R. 6063 entitled âTo authorize the
programs of the National Aeronautics and
Space Administration, and for other purposeâ
was introduced on 15 May 2008.
128
This Act
would strengthen the exploration programme
as well as aeronautics R&D, science research
and applications. It represents a strong
message of the U.S. Congress ahead of the
next administration illustrating that NASA has
a strong support and constituency in the U.S.
Congress. However, the current
administration objects the document as
currently written and especially opposes the
127
Besides the House of Commons Science and
Technology Committee report, a British space policy
advisory group (the UK Space Exploration Working Group)
recommended in a 90-page report on 13 September 2007
that Britain should ends its long-stranding opposition to all
programmes involving astronauts.
128
The Bill was agreed upon by the Space and
Aeronautics Subcommittee on 20 May 2008, and the Full
House Science and Technology Committee on 4 June
2008. The Bill proposal was then fully voted by the House
of Representatives on 18 June 2008. It was then sent to
the Senate and read twice and referred to the Committee
on Commerce, Science and Transportation.
provision that would require NASA to fly an
extra shuttle flight to the ISS to deliver the
Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS).
In the United States, space security has
become a major agenda item in high-level
policy circles following the Chinese ASAT test
of January 2007
129
. This event forced the
United States to develop new strategies and
capabilities. In particular, the White House
issued a classified memorandum in the
summer 2007 on the importance of space
situational awareness (SSA) in order to
monitor and identify space objects in space
and determine whether they pose a threat.
130
A blue-ribbon panel, the so-called Allard
Commission, has also been set up to consider
major changes to the U.S. military space
management and particularly to procurement
and operational structures to improve
governance efficiency (Cf. Chapter 6). Finally,
an ASAT test was conducted by the United
States in February 2008 to destroy an old
reconnaissance satellite due to the risk it
would pose upon re-entry to Earth (Cf.
Chapter 6). However, confirming its
longstanding position in the domain of
international space security in international
fora, the United States rejected both the
annual Prevention of an Arms Race in Outer
Space (PAROS) resolution as well as the new
Russian and Chinese draft Treaty on the
Prevention of the Placement of Weapons in
Outer Space, the Threat or Use of Force
against Outer Space Objects (PPWT)
presented on February 2008 (Cf. Chapter 7)
arguing that cooperation, transparency and
discussion are the best ways to continue to
use space for peaceful purposes.
131
3.6.1 National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA)
President George W. Bush signed a budget
bill for the Fiscal Year 2008 for NASA on 26
December 2008. This delay in approving the
budget was due to conflicting views between
the U.S. executive and legislative branches.
The biggest change for NASA between the
request and the appropriation concerned the
amount it is foreseen to spend on science
mission and cross-agency support activities.
More funds were allocated for science and
129
For more information, see Neuneck, GĂśtz. âChinaâs
ASAT Test- A Warning Shot or the beginning of an Arms
Race in Space?â Yearbook on Space policy 2006/2007:
New Impetus for Europe. Eds. European Space Policy
Institute: Kai-Uwe Schrogl, Charlotte Mathieu and Nicolas
Peter. Wien: Springer, 2008: 211-224.
130
Butler, Amy and Michael Bruno. âWith Antisatellite
Threat to U.S. Military, War Planners Weigh Options.â
Aviation Week & Space Technology (7 Jan. 2008): 58.
131
âUS rejects Russian call for new space treaty.â Space
Daily 12 Feb. 2008.
48
Report 15, September 2008
aeronautics, and less than requested for
exploration, as well as cross-agency. The
NASA Fiscal Year 2008 budget is divided as
follow:
The request for the Fiscal Year 2009 by the
Government contains a modest rise for
NASA, to reach 17.614 billion U.S. dollars
(+1.8%), but about 500 million U.S. dollars
lower than the Vision for Space Explorationâs
initial request back in 2004. The Exploration
Systems Mission Directorate is planned to
record an 11% increase over the 2008
budget, but the rate of growth would slow in
2010 (Figure 16). The proposed budget
would keep the development of the space
transportation infrastructure on track. While
the Science Mission Directorate would see a
budget decrease (Table 5) additional funds
for Earth observation missions geared
towards studying climate change are
foreseen (+6.8%) as well as planetary
science (+7%), but not astrophysics (-13%).
The new budget proposal reflects a White
House push for greater emphasis on Earth
observation and climate change research.
The budget plans for the upcoming year show
a modest increase of 2.3% to 2.4% until
Fiscal Year 2013 (Figure 16).
The appropriation for the Fiscal Year 2009 to
fund government operations for October
2008-September 2009 has not yet been
concluded. Furthermore, it appears that the
Programme
FY 08 Enacted
In millions U.S.
dollars
FY 09 Request
In millions U.S.
dollars
Science 4706.2
4441.5
Exploration Systems
3143.1
3500.5
Aeronautics 511.7
446.5
Cross-Agency Support Programmes
3242.9
3299.9
Space Operations
5526.2
5774.7
Education 146.8
115.6
Inspector General
32.6
35.15
Total 17309.4
17614.2
Table 5 NASA enacted budget for Fiscal Year 2008 and 2009 budget request
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
B
udge
t
a
u
thor
it
y
in m
il
li
on
U
.S
. doll
a
rs
FY 2007
FY 2008
FY 2009
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013
Science
Aeronautics
Exploration
Space Operations
Education
Cross-Agency Support
Inspector General
Figure 16 Summary of NASA Fiscal Year 2009 Budget request
49
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Fiscal Year appropriations' cycle will only be
finished in spring next year. Consequently, at
least for part of 2009 budget year, NASA will
have to accept a continuing resolution
regarding its budget allocation. However, due
to growing inflation this might lead to a
smaller budget diminution. Consequently,
NASA finds itself facing difficult choices with
little room to manoeuvre to keep its
programmes on track.
As the Shuttle is set to retire in 2010, a gap
of several years is expected before the United
States will have its new human spaceflight
capabilities operational (most likely in March
2015). In this context, as the current
exemption of the Iran, North Korea, and
Syria Non-proliferation Act (INKSNA) is set to
expire in 2011, NASA is currently seeking the
U.S. Congressâ acceptance for its request to
amend the INKSNA (International Space
Station Payments Act (S. 3103)). This would
permit NASA to keep paying Russia to
transport U.S. astronauts to and from the ISS
beyond 2011.
132
However, NASA will not
request the right to make further
extraordinary payments to Russia in order to
purchase more Russian Progress re-supply
vehicles for the ISS after 2011.
133
Indeed,
NASA intends to use one of the commercial
vehicles from the Commercial Orbital
Transportation Services (COTS) programme
to provide ISS logistics starting in 2010.
In August 2006, NASA awarded two COTS
Space Act contracts.
134
Space Exploration
Technologies (SpaceX) completed a
preliminary design in February 2008 for its
Falcon 9 launch vehicle and Dragon
spacecraft which will be part of NASAâs COTS
programme.
135
SpaceX , however, has
renegotiated its COTS agreement with NASA
with the first three planned demonstration
flights deferred by nine months to June
2009; the second flight is now slated for
November 2009 and the final demonstration
flight is March 2010. SpaceX had to add new
132
Portions of that law (INKSA) adopted in 2005 prohibit
"extraordinary payments" both "in cash" and "in kind" from
the U.S. Government to the Russian government,
Roscosmos, and entities under Roscosmos' authority for
the ISS as long as Russia is viewed as a proliferation
threat for nuclear and missile technology.
133
Morring, Frank. âNASA Wants All-commercial ISS
Resupply.â Aviation Week & Space technology 17 Apr.
2008
<http://www.aviationweek.com/aw/generic/story.jsp?id=ne
ws/progress041708.xml&headline=NASA%20Wants%20Al
l-commercial%20ISS%20Resupply&channel=space >.
134
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007.
135
âSpace X Successfully Completes NASA Preliminary
Design Review for Dragon Spacecraft Mission to Approach
International Space Station.â Businesswire 12 Feb. 2008.
hardware development milestones as part of
the agreement renegotiation. Since
Rocketplane Kistler (RpK) failed to meet its
COTS fiscal objective to build, NASA issued a
new invitation to tender, and awarded Orbital
Science Corp (OSC) a new COTS contract
amounting to 171 million U.S. dollars. OSC
will use the leftovers from the RpK contract
as well as its own finances to develop a new
launch vehicle called Taurus II and a service
module named Cygnus. Taurus II is
scheduled to make its first flight in late 2010
from the Mid-Atlantic Regional Spaceport
located at NASAâs Wallops Space Flight
Facility in Virginia. The first hardware
milestone is slated for June 2009.
NASA is currently focusing its efforts on
developing a new launch infrastructure to
implement its USSEP. The programme
âProject Constellationâ is composed of:
â˘
The CEV, now renamed Orion, an
exploration vehicle for the transportation
of crew;
â˘
The CLV, renamed Ares I, a two-stage
launcher carrying the Orion vehicle;
â˘
The Cargo Launch Vehicle (CaLV), named
Ares V, a two-stage heavy-lift launch
vehicle carrying an Earth Departure
Stage together with the Altair vehicle
â˘
The Altair lunar lander that will eventually
be capable of landing four astronauts on
the moon, providing life support and a
base for week-long initial surface
exploration missions and returning the
crew to the Orion spacecraft that will
bring them back to Earth.
Boeing Space Exploration obtained two major
roles in NASAâs new launcher programme
Ares I in 2007/2008.
136
It won the contract
for the Ares I upper stage that could be
worth as much as 1.13 billion U.S. dollars. It
also won another contract potentially worth
up to 800 million U.S. dollars to build and
outfit an avionics ring which will control the
Ares launch vehicle in flight. This avionics
ring will be mounted on Ares 1 upper stage
and will be outfitted with all electronics
needed to provide guidance, navigation and
control for the entire Ares 1 rocket.
137
NASA is currently studying lunar surface
exploration architecture concepts to support
humans returning to the moon before 2020,
consistent with among others the principles
of the Global Exploration Strategy (GES). In
this context, during six months in 2008
representatives from NASA and ESA have
been engaged in a detailed assessment of the
136
Work on Ares V has not yet started.
137
Berger, Brian. âBoeing Wins Ares Avionics Contractâ
Space News, business report 13 Dec. 2007.
50
Report 15, September 2008
degree to which NASA and ESAâs lunar
exploration architecture concepts could
complement, augment, or enhance the
exploration plans of one another. On 20 June
2008, NASA also finished a study which will
allow technical parameters needed for the
preparation of vehicle requirements for
manned missions to the moon to be
established.
138
Finally, the launch of NASAâs
Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) and the
Lunar Crater Observation and Sensing
Satellite (LCROSS) will be delayed until
spring 2009 due to the payload shift onboard
an Atlas V with a DoD payload launched
instead of NASAâs spacecraft.
NASA has been actively involved in robotic
exploration of other planetary bodies in
2007/2008. On 24 September 2007, NASA
launched the Dawn mission, three months
later than previously planned. This mission
seeks to explore Vesta, a protoplanet and
Ceres. This mission should help the further
understanding of the âtransition from the
Solar Systemâs inner planetsâ.
139
However,
despite the progress on the lunar front, the
work on an updated Mars Design Reference
Mission has been halted as a result of the
language in the U.S. Appropriation Act of
2008 prohibiting funding of any research,
development or demonstration activities
related exclusively to the human exploration
of Mars. Nonetheless, one of the milestones
of NASAâs exploration activities in 2007/2008
was the successful landing of the Phoenix
mission near the North Pole of Mars on 25
May 2008. It has since performed a series of
soil chemistry tests and discovered that
Martian soil is remarkably Earth-like and
could support a wide array of plants and
organisms.
3.6.2 National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
NOAAâs Fiscal Year 2009 total budget request
is 4.109 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of
5.2% over the Agencyâs Fiscal Year 2008
budget. NOAAâs satellite programmes are run
by the National Environmental Satellite, Data,
and Information Service (NESDIS), which
would receive 1.2 billion U.S. dollars
compared to 983 million U.S. dollars in
2008.
140
The main space budget item is the
programme Geostationary Operational
Environmental Satellite-R (GOES-R)
138
Schierholz, Stephanie, Grey Hautaluoa, Lynette
Madison and Josh Byerly. âNASA Study Provides Next
Step to Establish Lunar Outpost.â NASA press release 23
June 2008.
139
United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs.
âHighlights in space 2007.â New York 2008: 58.
140
Springer, Jeremy. âGOES-R Weather Satellites Face
Delay.â Space News 4 Feb. 2008.
requesting 477 million U.S. dollars for Fiscal
Year 2009. However, as a result of last yearâs
appropriation and the reduction in the current
request for the GOES-R programme, the
launch of the first satellite in the series will
be delayed by five months to April 2015.
141
Another major space item in NOAAâs budget
request is the tri-agency (NOAA, NASA, DoD)
National Polar-Orbiting Operational
Environmental Satellite System (NPOESS)
programme at 288 million U.S. dollars.
NOAA took part in the quadripartite pro-
gramme Jason-2 along CNES, NASA and
Eumetsat launched on 20 June 2008 as a
follow-up to the Jason-1 mission launched in
December 2001. Finally, on 1 October 2007,
NOAAâs Space Environment Centre changed
its name to the Space Weather Prediction
Centre.
142
3.6.3 Department of Defense (DoD)
Following the upward trend of the overall
DoD budget, the funding for space
programmes continued to expand, however
only slightly. The U.S. Air Force that is the
executive agent for military space, requested
11.9 billion U.S. dollars for unclassified space
systems and operations for the Fiscal Year
2009 compared to 11.3 billion U.S. dollars in
Fiscal Year 2008, out of a total U.S. Air Force
Fiscal Year 2009 budget request of 143.9
billion U.S. dollars (+7%).
143
The spending plan of the Air Force budget
includes, among others, 2.3 billion U.S.
dollars for the Space-based Infrared System
(SBIRS) missile warning constellation, the
largest unclassified programme element. The
Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) is
another major budget item with 1.2 billion
U.S. dollars requested. For the GPS III, space
segment and GPS ground segment, a total of
1.182 billion U.S. dollars has been requested
and 843 million U.S. dollars for the
Transformational Satellite Communication
System (T-Sat).
144
3 . 7 R u s s i a
Russiaâs space policy is currently in
transition. While Russia is implementing
three major civil space programmes: the
141
NASA, acting on behalf of NOAA is expected to award
the prime contract for two GOES-R satellite late this year.
142
âNOAA Centreâs New Name Reflects New Era in Space
Weather.â NOAA press release 26 Sept. 2007.
143
Fabey, Michael. âUSAF boosts budget by about 7
percent, hikes procurement request.â Aerospace Daily (5
Feb.2008): 1.
144
Ibid.
51
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
2006-2015 Federal Space Programme, the
Federal Target Programme 2002-2011 on
GLONASS and the 2006-2015 Federal Target
Programme on the Development of Russiaâs
cosmodromes, on 11 April 2008, Russiaâs
Security Council approved a draft space
policy for the period until 2020 and
beyond.
145
The document determines
Russiaâs national interests, key objectives,
and priorities in the area of space research,
the utilisation of space and international
space cooperation. This policy thus aims at
retaining Russiaâs status as a leading space
power. Among the countryâs principal goals
are guaranteed access to space and
maintaining an independent space industry.
President Vladimir Putinâs speech given at
this occasion unfolded into five main themes:
guaranteed access to outer space; need for a
clear outline to build up Russiaâs possibilities
for orbiting constellations; increase Russian
presence on the world market for space
apparatus; modernise its technology and
build a more dynamic human resource
potential; need to make effective use of
scientific and resource potentials of related
scientific programmes.
146
In March 2008, the Ministry of Economic
Development and Trade also released the
new policy of long-term development of
Russia and the main space elements
considered are:
â˘
Development of the Glonass system;
â˘
Development of orbital constellations
(communications and meteorology etc.);
â˘
Increase of Russiaâs share in the global
space industry;
â˘
Reorganisation of the Russian space
industry in three or four holdings in
2015;
â˘
Modernisation of the terrestrial space
infrastructure and technological and
industrial equipment and of launch
pads.
147
This new political drive is leading to new
ambitions in space following its economic
recovery in recent years. The Russian space
industry is also in transition in order to
increase Russiaâs competitiveness by
145
The Security Council is a consultative body of the
Russian President that works out the President's decisions
on national security affairs. Composed of key ministers
and agency heads and chaired by the President of Russia.
It draws up crucial documents defining conceptual
approaches to national security.
146
Putin, Vladimir. âOpening Remarks at a Meeting with
the Security Council on Russiaâs Space Exploration Policy
for the Period through to 2020 and Beyond.â President of
Russia Official Web Portal, The Kremlin Moscow. 11 Apr.
2008.
147
CNES Bulletin 235. French Embassy in Moscow 25 Mar.
2008.
consolidating the industrial base in national
champions in each branch (Cf. Chapter 5).
Recent main issues for Russiaâs space
programme have been to reaffirm its role on
the global scene as a supplier of launch
vehicles, and to be recognised as a major
partner in the ISS programme and the GNSS
field.
Access to space has been one of the main
areas of activities of Russia in recent months.
The Federal Space Forces announced that
they will close the Svobody base and that all
military launches will be done from Plesetsk.
President Putin also signed a decree on 6
November 2007 for the creation of a new
launch site, the Vostochny Cosmodrome in
the Amur region. The new launch site is
expected to open in 2015 and will launch
manned spacecraft in 2018, and all manned
Russian space launches in 2020. In the
meantime, the construction of the Angara
launch pad will start in 2008 at Plesetsk.
Russiaâs historic emphasis on human
spaceflight has left a legacy of technical and
operational competence. While there are no
human spaceflight plans to the moon in the
new Federal Space Plan (2006-2015), the
long-term Russian space programme (until
2040) is considering a first human trip to the
moon in 2025, and setting up a base in the
2027-2032 timeframe. With increasing
funding, Russia is also reenergising its lunar
and planetary programmes.
Russia continues its work on its GNSS
constellation, the Glonass system that was
developed during Soviet times. The
Government promised to make Glonass fully
operational by the beginning of 2008 but this
was delayed by equipment and other
technical failures. The system was supposed
to have 24 satellites. This number dwindled
after the 1991 collapse of the U.S.S.R., but
the Russian government is currently
replenishing and expanding the constellation
(it is now planning a constellation of 30
satellites instead of 24 initially planned). Six
satellites will be launched in 2008 and nine in
2009. In 2008, Russia will also launch its first
meteorological satellite (Meteor-M1) since
1991. It has since been relying on foreign
assets and data.
The renewed space interest at the highest
political level in Russia combined with the
budgetary increase devoted to space
activities has led to the reinforcement of
several cooperation and partnerships,
particularly with India. Russia and India have
signed a cooperative agreement to jointly
develop a robotic orbiter and lander to be
launched in 2013. The director of the Russian
Space Agency, Anatoly Perminov and the
52
Report 15, September 2008
chairman of ISRO Gopalan Nadhavan Nair
signed the agreement on 12 November 2007.
Russia also continues to use manned access
to space as a foreign diplomacy tool. After
the launch of the first Brazilian astronaut in
space in early 2007, it helped both Malaysia
and South Korea to have their first nationals
in space in recent months.
3 . 8 J a p a n
In May 2008, Japanâs new space law was
finally endorsed by the Diet, the Japanese
parliament. It was passed by the Lower
House the week of 12 May 2008, and was
approved by the Upper House on 21 May
2008.
148
The expansion of the use of space
possibilities provided by the new law serves
national security purposes as well as
economic, and public safety aims.
149
Among
others, it commits Japan to a series of major
administrative and conceptual changes.
150
The new law pushes three main elements.
â˘
Firstly, it sets up a new Minister for
Space Development which will be
appointed by and reporting directly to the
Prime Minister and the creation of a
âSpace Development Headquartersâ (a
forum of user ministries with strong
authority) which would reside in the
Prime Ministerâs Cabinet Office to
coordinate space policies governing civil,
military and commercial activities of
different ministries. The new law places
all space-related projects into one unified
programme, allowing for better
coordination and strategy in space
development.
â˘
Secondly, the âBasic Law of Space
Activitiesâ reconsiders the assumption of
the âexclusively peaceful purposeâ clause
in the Diet resolution of 1969 to allow the
use of space assets by military
authorities (Cf. Chapter 6).
â˘
Thirdly, elements of the law concern
ways and means to increase the
competitiveness of the Japanese industry.
In particular, the Basic Law calls for the
148
Kallender-Umezu, Paul. âJapan Elevates Space
Management, Lifts 1969 Ban on Military Satellites.â Space
News 19.21 (26 May 2008): 1+.
149
âJapanâs Improved Space Policy.â Editorial. Space
News 19.22 (2 June 2008): 18.
150
For more information, see Suzuki, Kazuto. âBasic Law
for Space Activities: a New Space Policy for Japan for the
21rst Century.â Yearbook on Space policy 2006/2007: New
Impetus for Europe. Eds. European Space Policy Institute:
Kai-Uwe Schrogl, Charlotte Mathieu and Nicolas Peter.
Wien: Springer, 2008: 225.238.
strengthening of industrial capability and
autonomous business foundation from
the public budget to foster the effort of
Japanâs "industrialisation".
The first Space Development Minister Fumio
Kishida, former science policy Minister, was
appointed in June 2008.
151
Japan Aerospace Exploration Agencyâs (JAXA)
second mid-term plan (April 2008 â March
2013) has two main objectives: to contribute
to a secure and prosperous society and to
expand human frontiers. For the first
objective, JAXA contributes by dealing with
environmental issues and disasters on the
global scale by focusing on three areas:
global environment observation, disaster
monitoring and communication, and satellite
positioning. For the second objective, JAXA
will make the most use of the Japanese
Experiment Module (JEM), Kibo (hope), and
will strive to produce world class results in
selected scientific domains (e.g. X-ray
astronomy etc.). JAXA will concentrate its
resources on selected fields where Japan
possesses technical advantage, or is thought
to present societal benefits, or contribute to
comprehensive security. JAXA has also
transformed itself into a mission-oriented
organisation by creating mission directorates
in order to implement this mid-term plan.
Human spaceflight is one of JAXAâs largest
budget lines outside the general budget.
Japanâs participation to the ISS focuses on
the development and exploitation of the JEM,
along with the H-II Transfer Vehicle (HTV).
The first two elements of JEM were launched
on space shuttle missions STS-123 for the
Experiment Logistics Module Pressurised
Section (ELM-PS) (11 March 2008) and STS-
124 (31 May 2008) for the Pressurised
Module (PM). The third element is scheduled
for launch on STS-127 in April 2009. The first
HTV launch is foreseen in 2009. In spring
2008, a new call for recruiting astronauts was
also opened for the first time in nearly a
decade. Up to three applicants will be chosen
for two-year training with NASA. JAXA will
announce its selection in February 2009.
In 2007/2008 the country has also been
actively pursuing robotic exploration. In
particular, in 2007 Japan outpaced its Asian
rivals by launching its lunar probe more than
a month before China deployed its lunar
mission and several months before Indiaâs
lunar mission. The Selenological and
151
âJapan Appoints First Space Development Minister
Officials.â Space Daily 17
June 2008
<http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Japan_appoints_first_
space_development_minister_officials_999.html>
53
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Engineering Explorer (SELENE) renamed as
âKaguyaâ was launched on an H-IIA launch
vehicle flight on 14 September 2007. Kaguya
is JAXAâs first large lunar explorer mission.
152
Furthermore, illustrating its commitment to
space exploration on 1 April 2007, JAXA
established a new branch for space
exploration activities which is called JAXAâs
Space Exploration Center (JSPEC). The core
tasks of the JSPEC are both robotics and
human lunar and other planetary exploration
activities.
On 23 February 2008, JAXA also launched the
Wideband InterNetworking engineering test
and Demonstration Satellite (WINDS)
renamed Kizuna onboard a H-IIA launcher.
Kizuna is part of the e-Japan Priority Policy
Programme to establish the worldâs most
advanced information technology network.
JAXA is continuing its effort to reinvigorate
the Asia-Pacific Regional Space Agency
Forum (APRSAF) by supporting Asian
countries in various application programmes,
and in particular, in Earth observation and
education programmes. The last APR-SAF
annual meeting was held in Bangalore (India)
on 21-23 November 2007. The main theme
of this 14
th
session was âSpace for Human
Empowermentâ. This event was co-organised
by ISRO, the Japanese Ministry of Education,
Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of
Japan (MEXT), and JAXA. More than 130
participants from 19 countries and five
regional and international organisations
attended the event. The 15
th
APRSAF will be
held in December 2008 in Hanoi (Vietnam)
and will be jointly organised and co-
sponsored by the Vietnamese Academy of
Science and Technology (VAST), the
Vietnamese Ministry of Science and
Technology (MOST), MEXT and JAXA.
3 . 9 C h i n a
China has emerged in recent years as a
major space power with ambitious goals
backed by heavy investments and strong
political support as illustrated by the release
of the October 2006 Chinese White Paper on
space activities and the 11
th
five-year space
development plan in February 2007.
153
In this
context, in order to implement those
guidelines and to streamline and reorganise
Chineseâs institutional structure, at the
152
Japan had previously launched Hiten in 1990,
delivering the small lunar orbiter Hagomoro.
153
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 41.
beginning of March 2008, the COSTIND
(Commission of Science Technology and
Industry for National Defence), which was in
charge of the military industrial complex, was
merged into a new super Ministry called the
Ministry of Industry and Informatisation (MII)
and renamed as the State Administration for
Science, Technology and Industry for
National Defence (SASTIND).
154
The stated
goals of the new organisation (MII) are to
promote coordinated development between
traditional industrial sectors and high
technology and the information and
communications technology industries, to
play a leading role in the indigenous
nurturing of key strategic industries and
support civil-military integration.
2007/2008 was a symbolic year for Chinaâs
space exploration activities, as it successfully
launched its first lunar orbiter, Changâe 1 on
24 October 2007 onboard a Chinese Long
March 3A from the Xichang launch site.
Changâe 1 is part of the first phase of the
China Lunar Exploration Programme (CLEP).
This reflects Chinaâs ambitions to master all
space activities and displays a major
accomplishment in Chinaâs space efforts,
which echoes its first human spaceflight
launch. Chinese President Hu Jintao considers
this successful mission to place China among
countries with a real capacity for space
exploration. He expressed his will that
Chinaâs space technology development be
based upon economic development and
called on the Chinese scientific community to
concentrate on âbuilding an innovation-
oriented countryâ, recognising âindependent
innovationâ as the key to âbuilding up
comprehensive national strengthâ.
155
Besides the aforementioned Chang'e-1
mission, China is also getting more and more
involved in robotic space exploration activities.
It aims to land a rover on the moon and
eventually safely return lunar soil samples
back to Earth. China also continues to work on
its new launch vehicle the Long March 5.
Initial tests were passed in spring 2008. The
new launcher is intended to go into service in
2014 from the Wenchang launch base on the
Hainan Island that will be ready by 2012. The
Long March 5 is expected to be able to put 25
tons in LEO and 14 tons in GTO.
154
Other government agencies merged into the MII along
with SASTIND include the Ministry of Information
Industries, State Council Informatisation Office, portions of
the National Development and Reform Commission
responsible for industrial and trade issues and the State
Tobacco Monopoly Administration.
155
âPresident Hu: China Joins Nations with Capability of
Deep Space Exploration.â Xinhuanet 12 Dec. 2007
<http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-
12/12/content_7233971.htm >.
54
Report 15, September 2008
The third manned Shenzhou mission
(Shenzhou-7), which had been foreseen to
take place in late 2007, will carry three
astronauts in late 2008 one of whom is to
perform an extravehicular activity (EVA).
156
In preparation for this upcoming EVA, China
launched two new space tracking ships
(Yuanwang) and its first data relay satellite
(Tianlian I).
On 5 January 2008, China also launched a
major project to monitor the space
environment. The so-called Meridian Chain of
Comprehensive Ground-Based Space
Environment Monitors in the Eastern
Hemisphere (the Meridian Project) will create
a network of ground-based observations to
monitor and forecast the space environment
including space weather and SSA in general.
This network of 15 stations will be completed
within three years. It is coordinated by the
Chinese Academy of Scienceâs Space Science
and Applied Research (CSSAR). The Meridian
project will use 2 lines of observatories, one
North-South running along the 120
th
East
longitude with observatories in Mohe, Beijing,
Wuhan, Hainan and the Zhongshan Antarctic
station, and the other line of observatories
being East-West along the 30
th
parallel of
Latitude North with observatories located in
Shanghai, Wuhan, Chengdu and Lasa.
157
Chinese space activities are planned to
ensure self-reliance, but the country remains
open for international cooperation. For China,
gaining prestige through space activities is an
important motivation, particularly through
cooperation with space powers to
demonstrate its status, but also with less
competent space actors to use space as an
international diplomacy tool. ESA is a major
partner of China with its support of the
Changâe-1 mission and the joint programmes
Dragon-1 and Dragon-2. China is seeking
cooperation with the âNorthâ, while at the
same time entering in cooperative activities
with countries from the âSouthâ like Brazil in
the context of the China-Brazil Earth
Resources Satellite (CBERS) programme with
the third CBERS satellite, CBERS 2B launched
in September 2007. China will also design,
manufacture, test and launch by the end of
2008, the Venesat-1 satellite also called the
âSimon Bolivar Satelliteâ for Venezuela and
Uruguay.
158
The Asia-Pacific Cooperation
Organization (APSCO) is another element of
156
Shenzhou-5 carried one taikonaut Yang Liwei in 2003,
Shenzhou-6 carried two taikonauts in 2005 Fei Junlong
and Nie Haisheng.
157
âChina launches major project to monitor space with
network of observatories.â CCTV.com 6 Jan. 2008.
158
Uruguay later joined the 241 million U.S. dollars project,
funding 10% of its costs.
Chinaâs portfolio to reach out to countries
from the âSouthâ. It is a regional space
organisation under Chinese leadership whose
Convention entered into force on 12 October
2006. The first meeting of the Ad Hoc
Committee for Programme Planning for
APSCO was organised in Beijing (China) on
24-26 September 2007. About 40
participants from the nine signatory States to
the APSCO Convention attended this
meeting.
159
3 . 1 0 I n d i a
Indiaâs space policy is currently in transition
and shifting trajectory. Since its inception,
the Indian space programme has been
dominated by a pragmatic approach
consisting of space activities being
dominantly used to support the development
of the country. Space applications have
therefore been the main priorities of the
Indian space programme as well as ensuring
autonomy in access to space. However this is
evolving. In a buoyant regional context, its
space agency, the Indian Space Research
Organisation (ISRO) is eager to start a
human spaceflight programme.
160
A manned
spaceflight programme would mark a very
big step for India.
In spring 2008, ISRO submitted its project on
the proposed first manned space mission in
the 2014-2015 timeframe to the Indian
government with a decision expected by the
end of 2008. ISRO has carried out studies for
about four years examining the technological
challenges of a manned space mission and
the Indian capability to undertake it. ISRO
estimated the project leading to a first
manned flight to cost 2.5 billion U.S.
dollars.
161
The decision of the development of
a man-rated GSLV has been taken and
actions have been initiated. ISRO already
validated its re-entry technology in January
2007 with the successful recovery of its
space capsule, the Space-capsule Recovery
Experiment (SRE-1). In the mean time, India
is also considering sending one of its citizens
into space on-board a Russian spacecraft to
acquire the skills necessary for future
manned space missions with a potential trip
to ISS onboard a Soyuz by 2012.
162
159
States which signed the APSCO Convention are:
Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, Iran, Mongolia, Pakistan,
Peru, Thailand and Turkey.
160
India has had only one astronaut to date, Maj Rakesh
Sharma, flying with Russia under the Soviet Intercosmos
programme in April 1984 for a seven-day mission.
161
Jayaraman K.S. âISRO Seeks Government Approval for
Manned Spaceflight Program.â Space News 13 Nov. 2006.
162
Ibid.
55
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
ISRO is also showing greater interest to
space science and exploration as illustrated
by the development of new programmes and
particularly Chandrayaan-1, the first Indian
planetary mission, foreseen to orbit the moon
in the second half of 2008.
163
India is also
working towards the establishment of a Deep
Space Network (DSN) required for
communication with the spacecraft. In order
to improve space and scientific education, an
Indian Institute of Space and Technology has
also been created and inaugurated on 24
September 2007. This institute will be used
to foster better education in these areas to
meet Indiaâs space ambitions.
164
However, the Indian programme remains
application-driven with an emphasis on the
policy of self-reliance. In this context, in
2007/2008 India continued the development
of space applications. It launched its latest
Earth observation, Cartosat-2A on 28 April
2008 along with nine other satellites (eight
foreign ones). Cartosat-2A has a spatial
resolution of less than one metre and
complements Cartosat-2 launched on 10
January 2007. Cartosat-2A is widely
speculated as the first satellite of a
constellation dedicated to military use (Cf.
Chapter 6). India also continued its work on
developing more reliable and powerful launch
vehicles. In this context, it has developed an
Indian cryogenic engine to power the
Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle
(GSLV). In spring 2008, India also confirmed
its entry into the commercial launch market.
Following the successful launch in April 2007
of the Italian astronomical satellite AGILE
onboard a PSLV, in early 2008, Israelâs
TechSAR spy satellite was successfully
launched onboard a PSLV. These two
launches signal Indiaâs intent to be a solid
actor in the launch services market in the
near future.
Indian leadership has continually supported
its space programme politically and
financially and in recent years, the growth in
Indiaâs space budget has been unparalleled
by any other country in the world. The
increasing level of funding thus illustrates the
priority status awarded by the Indian
government to the national space
programme, and the countryâs ambition in
space. Furthermore, the 11
th
Five Year plan
(1 April 2007 - 31 March 2012), approved by
the National Development Council on 19
December 2007, announced Indiaâs will to
undertake 70 space missions compared to
163
Chandrayaan-1 was initially planned for launch on 9
April 2008.
164
âIndia Space Institute of Technology Inaugurated.â
ISRO press release 24 Sept. 2007
about 26 missions since the 10
th
plan period
as well as take measures to develop new
technologies for future needs.
165
Its main
direction and goal is to promote economic
and social development through the
expansion and improvements of space
activities. Five main objectives were settled:
â˘
Improve capacities of space
communication and navigation (through
R&D, use of high power Ka band satellites
etc.)
â˘
Become leaders in Earth observation
(improvement of imaging capacity and
data processing and applications relative
to agriculture, land and water resource
management, infrastructures etc.)
â˘
Develop space transportation systems
â˘
Develop the space science enterprise
â˘
Promoting spin-offs
166
India is also increasing its presence on the
international scene with new international
cooperation agreements with countries from
the âSouthâ, as well as with countries from
the âNorthâ adding themselves to numerous
existing ones. India has in recent months
reinforced its historical cooperation with
France in the domain of Earth observation
and the United States in the domain of space
exploration. However, India is also expanding
its cooperation with Israel and Russia.
Regarding Indiaâs cooperation with Israel,
following the aforementioned successful
launch of TechSAR on 21 January 2008, ISRO
plans to launch more Israeli spy satellites
onboard Indian rockets.
167
India
is
cooperating with Russia on updating Russia's
Global Navigation Satellite System (Glonass)
as part of a broad space cooperation plan.
The Russo-Indian cooperation has also been
extended to space sciences and exploration
with an Indian instrument set to fly onboard
the Russian Coronas-Photon satellite, Russia
and India signed an agreement for
Chandrayaan-2 mission on the 12 November
2007. This project includes a lunar lander and
a rover, as well as the collection of
samples.
168
165
âIndia Plans 70 Space Missions in Five Years.â The
Hindu 4
Apr. 2008.
166
Indian 11
th
Five Year plan presentation
<http://www.cdi.org/pdfs/11th-plan.pdf>.
167
Raghuvanshi, Vivek. âIndian agency plans more Israeli
spy sat launches.â Defence News Feb. 2008
<http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?i=3366868&c=M
ID&s=AIR >.
168
Bagchi, Indrani. âIndian Study on Manned Moon
Mission in 2008.â The Times of India 14 Nov. 2007
<http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/India/Indian_study_on_
manned_moon_mission_in_2008/articleshow/2539048.cm
s >.
56
Report 15, September 2008
3 . 1 1 E m e r g i n g s p a c e
p o w e r s
Besides the traditional space powers a variety
of new actors have increased their
involvement in space in the last months and
have put forth new strategies and plans.
3.11.1 Africa
In Africa various multilateral projects on
satellite applications are gaining momentum
in Earth observation and communications.
Progress on the African Resource and
Environment Management Constellation
(AMC) are on-going with the participation of
Algeria, Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa. The
first African communications satellite entirely
dedicated to Africa covering the whole
continent, RASCOM-QAF1, was launched on
21 December 2007 for the pan-African
operator RASCOM (Regional African Satellite
Communication Organisation)
169
and marks a
great step forward for the continent.
RASCOM-QAF1 aims to provide
communications services to rural areas, as
well as intercity and international phone
lines, direct TV broadcast and internet access
services. This project has been financed
mainly by Libyan funds coming through GTPC
(communications services provider) and LAIP
(Libyan African Investment Portfolio),
170
a
society created in 2006 to stimulate
investments in Africa. RASCOM-QAF1 is
operated by the private society RascomStar-
QAF created to operate the satellite
(shareholders include LAIP (33%), Rascom
(26%), GPTC (29%) and Thales Alenia Space
(12%)). However, due to a helium leak once
Rascom-QAF 1 was in orbit, its lifespan has
been estimated at 2 years compared to the
15 years originally planned.
171
National developments are also on-going. For
instance, in summer 2008 Angola announced
that it will procure, launch and operate its
first satellite with the help of Russia; the
satellite is a communications satellite dubbed
"Angosat". Other countries are also
developing their strategies and plans,
particularly South Africa.
169
RASCOM, established in 1993, is an intergovernmental
treaty-based organisation which has as its prime objective
the provision, on a commercial basis, of the satellite
capacity required for national and international public
communications services, including sound and television
broadcasting in Africa.
170
Lardier, Christian and ThĂŠo Pirard. âLâAfrique Ă lâHeure
du Spatial.â Air & Cosmos 21 Dec. 2007.
171
de Selding, Peter. âPan-African Comsat Ready, but
Service Might Last Only a Few Years.â Space News,
Business report 5 Feb. 2008.
While the involvement of South Africa in
space affairs has been modest until now, it is
developing new strategies and capabilities.
Despite the fact that spending on space
programmes remained low, more recently,
the national space programme has been
receiving greater support from the
government. In 2005, South Africa embarked
on a three year capacity-building and satellite
development programme. As a result, a new
satellite named SumbandilaSat is currently
being prepared to be launched in LEO. On 5
December 2007, the Cabinet also approved
the establishment of a national space agency.
This agency will be tasked with coordinating
the use of space technology and local science
research. However the Bill entitled âSouth
African National Space Agency Billâ is still
being debated in the South African
Parliament as of the end of June 2008. A
draft of the first South African policy is also
currently under development by the
Department of Trade and Industry (DTI). The
recently approved âDepartment of Science
and Technology (DST) Ten Year Innovation
Planâ includes space science and technology
as one of the five grand challenges and
consequently, a âNational Space Science and
Technology Strategyâ has been drafted. It
has been developed with a vision calling âfor
South Africa to be among the leading nations
in the innovation utilisation of space science
and technology that enhances economic
growth and sustainable development in order
to improve the quality of life for allâ.
172
3.11.2 Asia
In a buoyant regional context, major plans
and activities were proposed by emerging
space actors in Asia in 2007/2008.
South Korea, though it started later than its
Asian counterparts in space activities, is
making notable investments and progress in
developing its indigenous space capability
and it has significantly ramped up its space
programme in recent years. Korea's first
astronaut, Yi So-yeon went to the ISS
onboard the Russian spacecraft Soyouz-TMA-
12 in April 2008.
173
This astronaut project
started on 16 November 2005 and is of very
important technical and social significance for
Korea with more leaps expected in the years
to come. In line with Koreaâs hope of
becoming a major space-faring country, its
172
Republic of South Africa. Department of Science and
Technology. âNational Space Science and Technology
Strategy .â <http://www.dst.gov.za/Draft%20National%20S
pace%20Science%20and%20Technology%20Strategy.pdf
>.
173
Yi So-yeon replaced Ko San one month prior the
mission on Russiaâs Federal Space Agency request
because Mr Ko broke training centre rules.
57
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
programme has received increasing funding
in recent years. Budget-wise, the
government plans to invest 316 billion wons
(or 336 million U.S. dollars) in 2008 to boost
the countryâs space industry.
174
Furthermore,
according to Korean authorities, the amount
spent on space programmes in the next ten
years will double relative to the last decade
(from 1.7 trillion wons from 1996-2007, to
3.6 trillion wons).
175
Two-thirds of the space
budget should be spent to build and launch
satellites.
176
Korea has also laid out a long-term plan for
its space programme and released in 2007 its
âLong-Term Plan for National Space
Development Promotionâ according to the
Space Development Promotion Act of 2005.
The long-term plan provides a vision and
direction for national space policy through
2016. The objectives of the next decade as
laid out in the long-term plan include the
development of a reliable indigenous launch
vehicle, more capable Earth observation
systems but also exploration activities.
Koreaâs strategic plan is to transform the
country into a regional space leader. The
plan, in particular, changes the focus from a
programmatic-oriented approach to the
acquisition of an independent core space
technology and establishes milestones and
strategies for the independent development
of satellites and launch vehicles based on
implemented space programmes. Korea is
developing a launch vehicle: the Korea Space
Launch Vehicle-1 (KSLV-1). However, due to
a delay in the delivery by Russia of the
ground test vehicle (GTV) used for testing
the rocket engine and liquid-fuelled
propulsion system, the maiden launch has
been moved from 21 December 2008 to the
second quarter of 2009.
177
Earth observation
and acquiring autonomous launch capabilities
are the centrepieces of Korean space
activities, but space science and exploration
activities have been limited thus far.
However, this is evolving. In recent months,
ambitious exploration aspirations have been
proposed, particularly lunar robotic
exploration activities, to demonstrate world
class capabilities commensurate with
economic growth. Korea plans to send
several spacecraft to the moon including a
lunar lander.
174
âKorea to invest W316 billion in space research.â The
Chosun Ilbo Jan. 2008.
175
de Selding, Peter. âSouth Korea Outlines Space
Spending Plan.â Space News 16 Jan. 2008.
176
Jin-seo, Cho. âBudget for Space Projects Remains
Flat.â Korea Times. 16 Jan. 2008.
177
Korea also intends to develop another launch vehicle
KSLV-2 for testing in 2017.
Another emerging space actor, Malaysia sent
its first national into space in 2007/2008. On
10 October 2007, Sheikh Muszaphar
Shukhuor was the first Malaysian astronaut
or âAngkasawanâ in space. However, six
months after sending its first âAngkasawanâ
into space, the plan to send a second
astronaut to space had to be put on hold due
to lack of public funds. Nonetheless, the
training of Dr. Faiz, the next âAngkasawan"
should continue.
Vietnam was the latest Asian actor in the
period 2007/2008 to launch its dedicated
communications satellites on 18 April 2008.
Vinasat-1 is the first satellite ever procured
by Vietnam, illustrating the growing interest
of the Vietnamese government in space
activities.
3.11.3 The Middle East
In the Middle East, plans of the Gulf
Cooperation Council (GCC)
178
to launch a
joint remote-sensing satellite have been
reported.
179
Furthermore, the United Arab
Emiratesâ (UAE) first satellite DubaiSat-1, an
Earth observation satellite will be launched by
the end of 2008. UAEâs communications
company Thuraya has also completed the
launch of its third communications satellite
on 15 January 2008, aiming at improving
communication capacities in the Asia-Pacific
region.
In 2007/2008, Israel launched two satellites:
a reconnaissance synthetic aperture radar
satellite (TechSAR) in January 2008 by India
(Cf. Chapter 6), and a communications
satellite (Amos-3) on 28 April 2008 as the
maiden launch of Land Launch (this satellite
has been renamed Amos-60 since).
Iranian President Ahmadinejad has made
Iranâs scientific development one of the main
themes of his presidency, and particularly
nuclear and space activities. Iran has long
declared a goal of developing a space
programme. Following the launch of a
sounding rocket on 25 February 2007, on 4
February 2008, a new suborbital test flight
was successfully conducted using the two-
stage rocket, Safir (Envoy in English). In
summer 2008, Iran recorded its first orbital
launch as a step towards the countryâs
attempt to launch its first indigenous LEO
research satellite called Omid (Hope in
178
The GCC established in 1981 is a regional political and
economic bloc that consists of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
179
âUAE to launch joint remote-sensing satellite with GCC
countries.â Xinhuanet 29 Apr. 2008.
58
Report 15, September 2008
English).
180
Iran is also collaborating on the
Small Multi-Mission Satellite (SMMS) with
China and Thailand
181
and is working on three
other missions: Sina-2, Sepher and ZS4. In
addition to the space segment, Iran has also
been developing the ground segment for
telemetry, tracking and command (TT&C)
and data acquisition. Regardless of the
technical characteristics of the launchers and
payloads, the level of activities of the last
months and the plans for the next years
demonstrate Iranâs continued intent to
further advance and develop its space
capabilities.
3.11.4 Oceania
While Australia was the fourth country to
launch a satellite (WRESAT) from its territory
on November 1967, its activities in space
have been modest since the 1970s. However
this situation is evolving due to greater
interest in Australian space activities at the
political level in the country. In particular, a
bipartisan investigation was approved by the
Australian Senate to review the capability
and potential of Australiaâs space sector. This
enquiry follows the release in October 2007
of a plan developed by the Australian space
science community under the leadership of
the Australian Academy of Scienceâs National
Committee for Space Science.
182
This overall
inquiry is led by the Australian Senate
Standing Committee on Economics and aims
to look at ways to strengthen and expand
Australiaâs position in space science, industry
and education. Moreover, arguments for and
against the expansion of Australian activity in
space science and industry, and policy
options providing solution for cross-sectoral
technological and organisational challenges
are sought. The preliminary findings of the
Senate investigation were released on 23
June 2008 in order to be taken into account
on time for the upcoming Green Paper on
National Innovation System Review. The final
report is due by October 2008.
3.11.5 South America
In 2007/2008, Brazil continued its
involvement in space activities and, in
particular, in the development of the VeĂculo
Lançador de SatÊlite (VLS) and its successors
by increasing the participation of the
industrial sector and promoting the
180
Omid will be Iranâs second satellite. The first was the
Russian-made Sina-1 launched on 27 October 2005. Omid
will fly in near polar orbit at an altitude of 650 kilometres.
181
Iran is also a member of the Asia-Pacific Cooperation
Organisation (APSCO)
182
Dayton, Leigh. âBoost for space program.â The
Australian 25 Mar. 2008.
development of the Alcântara Launch Center
including its commercial exploitation. Brazil is
also developing the scientific satellite (Lattes)
designed to observe atmospheric phenomena
in the equatorial region such as
luminescence, electric discharges etc. It
continues its involvement in space
applications within the scope of the âSouth-
Southâ cooperation in Earth observation with
the successful launch of CBERS 2B in
September 2007 in cooperation with China.
Brazil is also making preliminary studies on
the development of a Brazilian geostationary
satellite in order to meet the needs of the
Brazilian government in the areas of secure
communication, meteorology and air traffic
management.
In recent months, the main policy directive
was to promote the commercialisation of
means of access to space. In this context,
space activities were added to the PAC (Plan
for Growth Acceleration) 2007-2011 intended
to stimulate private and public investments.
In the infrastructure section of the PAC, the
implementation of the full infrastructure of
the Alcântara Launch Center, including the
commercial launch site is covered.
3 . 1 2 I n t e r n a t i o n a l
s e c t o r a l c o m p a r i s o n s
In order to appraise the strategies, plans and
activities of the different space powers, a
focus on key space activities such as the
ability to launch missions as well as the
number and type of missions launched is
necessary.
3.12.1 Launch sector
Launch infrastructure and systems are key
elements demonstrating a countryâs
independence in space activities. The number
of launches conducted as well as the level of
activities of its bases indicates the dynamism
of a country in the space sector and its
position in the âspace hierarchyâ.
In 2007, six countries plus Europe and the
multinational private consortium, Sea Launch
(referred to as multinational in the following
figures) conducted 68 launches. When
comparing the level of activity by actor,
Russia was again the worldâs leader according
to the launch rate criterion followed by the
United States and China (Figure 17). The
âspace hierarchyâ in this domain is very
stable, as can be observed when looking at
the same podium of last year.
59
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Those 68 launches were distributed over 24
different launch systems (Figure 18). Russia
used eight different launch systems followed
by the United States which used seven
different launch systems. China used three
different launch systems and India two, while
Europe, Japan, Israel and Sea Launch used
only one launch system (Figure 18). Delta 2
was the most used launch system (eight
launches) followed by the Soyuz-U, Proton M,
Long March 3 and Ariane 5 all with six
launches. Those five launch systems
represented 47% of all launches performed in
2007 (Figure 18).
The number and degree to which space
transportation infrastructures are used are
also indicators of national capabilities and
reflect the importance given to independent
access to space by a country. In 2007, 15
launch sites were used to perform at least
one orbital launch (Figure 19) including one
mobile platform (Sea Launch Odyssey
platform).
26
19
10
6
3
2
1
1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
N
u
m
b
e
r o
f or
bit
a
l la
u
n
c
h
e
s
Russia
USA
China
Europe
India
Japan Multinational
Israel
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
N
u
m
b
e
r of
or
bi
ta
l l
a
un
c
h
e
s
De
lta
2
So
yu
z-
U
Pr
oto
n-M
Long
M
ar
ch 3
Ar
ia
ne 5
So
yu
z-
FG
Atl
as 5
D
nepr
-1
Ko
sm
os 3
M
Sh
ut
tle
Long
Ma
rc
h 2
Long
M
ar
ch
4
PS
LV
H
2 A
Ze
ni
t 2
Mo
ln
yia
M
Pr
ot
on K
Fal
con 1
M
inot
aur
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Pe
ga
su
s
XL
De
lta
4
GS
LV
Zeni
t 3S
L
Sha
vi
t 2
Figure 17 Total worldwide orbital launches per entity in 2007
Figure 18 Worldwide orbital launches per launch system in 2007
60
Report 15, September 2008
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
N
u
m
b
e
r
of
or
bit
a
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unc
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s
Ba
ik
onu
r (
Ka
)
Ca
pe
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nav
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(US
A)
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ng
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h)
Kou
ro
u
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U
)
Pl
es
et
sk
(R
u)
Van
de
nb
er
g
(U
SA
)
Ta
i Yu
an
(Ch
)
Sri
ha
riko
ta
(In
d)
Ta
ne
gas
hi
m
a (
Ja)
Kw
aj
al
ei
n (
U
SA
)
Wa
llo
ps
Isl
an
d (U
S
A)
Ya
sn
y (
R
u)
Ji
quan
(Ch
)
Pa
lm
ach
im
(I
sr
)
SL
P
la
tfo
rm
(M
ob)
Figure 19 Launches performed by launch site in 2007
Baikonur in Kazakhstan (but operated by
Russia) was the busiest launch site in 2007
with 20 launches (three more launches than
in 2006) conducted from its different launch
pads followed by Cape Canaveral in the
United States with 13 launches (Figure 19)
three more than in 2006 (ten launches).
Xichang in China and Kourou in Europe
completed this podium both with six launches
performed in 2007 (Figure 19).
In 2007, the United States used four different
launch sites (Cape Canaveral, Vandenberg,
Kwajalelin and Wallops Island), while Russia
used three different launch sites in 2007
(Baikonur, Plesetsk and Yasny) like China
(Xichang, Tai Yuan and Jiquan). Europe,
India, Japan, Israel and Sea Launch used
only one launch site to perform their
launches (Figure 19).
3.12.2 Missions launched
Completing the analysis of the activities
linked to access to space, the variety of
missions launched needs to be considered as
well in order to comprehensively appraise the
ability of a country to implement its space
policy.
In 2007, 20 countries and five bilateral and
multinational actors like ESA launched at
least one spacecraft into space (Figure 20).
When looking at the performance of
individual countries, the United States was
the worldâs leader according to the number of
missions launched in space (almost 40% of
the total of missions launched) followed by
Russia (15%), China (8%) and Japan (6%).
Compared to last year, China has overtaken
Japan on the podium behind the United
States and Russia (Figure 20). Europe, when
agglomerated for 2007 launched about 10%
of all payloads (Figure 20). In 2007, 14
actors launched only one payload (Figure
20).
Like in the case of the launch sector, the
number of missions launched per year is
highly concentrated among a small number
of actors with the same top three actors
(United States, Russia and China)
concentrating 60% of all payloads launched
and 80% of all launches performed in 2007.
Moreover, when looking at the scope of the
missions launched, only a handful of
countries launched several types of missions
(Figure 21). In 2007, the United States had
the most diverse set of missions launched
(Figure 21) followed by Russia and China
(Figure 21).
61
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Figure 21 Types of missions launched into orbit in 2007 per country/institution
Figure 20 Number of missions launched into space in 2007 per country/institution
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
N
u
mb
er
o
f p
a
y
lao
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U
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A
R
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Com m unications
Com m unications Military
Early Warning
Earth Obs ervation
Earth Obs ervation Military
Electronic s urveillance
Tech Dem ons tration
Navigation
Science
ISS Hardware
ISS Hum an
ISS Res upply
0
5
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15
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N
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A
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ul
tinat
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ria
Sw
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en
U
S
A
/It
al
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62
Report 15, September 2008
USA
Russia
China
Europe
Japan
India
Launches
Missions
48
18
11
12
7
5
19
26
10
6
2
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
N
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r of
la
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d
s
a
te
ll
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s
a
nd
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c
ket
s
3.12.3 Overall assessment
When appraising the combination of activities
of major space-faring countries (launch and
satellites activities) in 2007, an evolution of
the âspace hierarchyâ can be ascertained.
While the United States and Russia continue
to be the dominant space actors, China is
now the third space actor both in the number
of launches performed and in the number of
missions launched (Figure 22). The United
States is the leader in terms of the number of
missions launched and Russia when using the
launch rate criterion (Figure 22).
Europe confirmed its fourth position in 2007
in the âspace hierarchyâ with six launches
performed and 12 missions launched. Japan
which held the third position in this ranking in
2006 has now fallen to the fifth position. It
launched seven missions and two launches
compared to 14 missions and six launches in
2006. Finally, the buoyant regional context in
Asia has again been demonstrated by the
solid performance of not only China, but also
Japan and India (Figure 22).
Figure 22 Assessment of major space powersâ activities in 2007
63
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Chapter 4 - European institutional market
The main purpose of the data on European
institutional space expenditure is to provide
an easily identifiable estimate of the scale of
institutional resources spent on space in
Europe and by proxy the volume absorbed by
the European space sector in order to put it
in perspective with other institutional
markets, in particular, the United States.
4 . 1 E u r o p e a n
i n s t i t u t i o n a l m a r k e t
European institutional space activities are
characterised by a multi-layer structure. It
combines national programmes as well as
programmes within the framework of the
European Space Agency (ESA), the European
Organisation for the Exploitation of
Meteorological Satellites (Eumetsat) and the
European Union (EU). When considering
consolidated European public space
expenditure Europe is the second largest
player in space (when referring to known
space-related institutional budgets) (Cf.
Chapter 2). Although Europe invests in
defence programmes through several
countries, the main institutional investments
are overwhelmingly focused on civil space
activities. Only a small number of countries
invest in military/intelligence programmes
and the share of the overall European space
expenditure allocated to national or
multinational defence programmes is modest,
especially when compared to the United
States. The total size of European
institutional investments in 2007 was
estimated at about 6.6 billion euros, with an
estimated 83% being civilian funding and
17% military funding.
4 . 2 C i v i l i a n s p a c e
e x p e n d i t u r e
In 2007, overall civilian institutional
expenditures were estimated to be about
5.497 billion euros, up by 267 million euros
compared to 2006. While there is relative
stagnation in the ESA budget and the
national space programmes and Eumetsat
budgets are shrinking, the funds devoted to
space affairs by the European Commission
increased in 2007 following the start of the
new Framework Programme (FP7) (Figure
23).
ESA in 2007 concentrated about 54% of total
civilian institutional resources followed by
national space programmes (29%). As
opposed to 2006, EU funding is now on the
European podium for the first time,
2,975
1,616
0,7
0,205
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
B
illi
on e
u
ro
s
ESA
National
programmes
EU
Eumetsat
Figure 23 Estimated European civil public expenditures in 2007
64
Report 15, September 2008
representing about 13% of all European
civilian institutional budgets followed
distantly by Eumetsat (about 4%) (Figure
23).
4 . 3 E u r o p e a n S p a c e
A g e n c y
ESA accounted for the largest share of
European civilian space expenditure in 2007
with about 2.975 billions euros devoted to
space activities (Figure 23), a similar level to
2006. The activities of ESA are financed via
its 17 member States and Canada as an
associate member State. ESA activities are
also financed by third parties for specific
programmes such as Eumetsat.
The ESA budget for 2007 is split into ten
major areas of activity covering the ESA
Mandatory Programme and the Optional
Programmes. Reflecting programme decisions
taken in December 2005 and before, the
biggest activity on ESAâs budget is the
launcher programme that represents 21% of
ESAâs budget (Figure 24). It is followed by
Earth observation, science, Human
spaceflight with about 13-15% each (Figure
24). Navigation and Telecommunications
cover another 17.5% when added up (Figure
24).
183
âEuropean Space Technology Master Plan.â ESA
ESTMP Issue 5 Dec. 2007.
Member Statesâ contributions to ESA
accounted for 2944.2 billion euros in 2007.
France contributed to one-fourth of ESAâs
total budget, followed by Germany (19%),
Italy (12%) and the United Kingdom (8%).
The contributions of those four countries
amounted to 64% of ESAâs budget in 2007
(Figure 25).
4 . 4 E u m e t s a t
The European Meteorological Satellite
Organisation, Eumetsat,
184
derives most of its
budget from the contribution of its 21
member States (the same as ESA plus
Croatia, Slovakia, Slovenia and Turkey) and
nine cooperating States (Bulgaria, the Czech
Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Iceland, Latvia,
Lithuania, Poland and Romania). Their
contributions are based on their Gross
National Income (GNI). As illustrated by
Figure 26, Germany, the United Kingdom,
France and Italy represent 66% of the total
member States contributions in 2007.
184
Eumetsat is in charge of providing satellite data and
products to its member States for operational meteorology,
climate monitoring and ocean surface topography.
Figure 24 ESA programmatic budget allocations for 2007 (Source ESTMP)
183
21,1%
14,7%
13,0%
12,9%
9,4%
8,1%
6,7%
5,3%
3,2%
3,1%
1,5%
1,0%
0,1%
Launchers
Earth Obs ervation
Science
Hum an Spaceflight
Navigation
Telecom m unications
General Budget
As s ociated to General Budget
Technology
Microgravity
Exploration
Financed by third parties
ECSA
65
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
185
Ibid.
Figure 25 Member States contribution to ESA budget for 2007 (Source ESTMP)
185
Figure 26 Member States contributions to Eumetsat for 2007 in percentage
(* joined in 2007 to be included in 2008 budget)
21,40
16,64
15,70
12,64
7,28
4,42
3,06
2,70 2,59
2,20 1,98 1,92 1,82
1,44
1,41
1,26 1,07
0,26 0,22 0,21
0
5
10
15
20
25
Pe
rc
e
n
ta
g
e
G
erm
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U
K
Fra
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Sp
ai
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Th
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eth
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ree
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C
ro
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a*
Lux
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753,2
578,3
370
243,2
145,3
141,4
92,9
74,9
52
43,3 33,3
26,2
22
17,3
12,9 12,1
11,2
9,2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
M
ill
io
n
e
u
ro
s
Fr
anc
e
G
er
m
an
y
Ita
ly
U
K
B
elg
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S
pa
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Sw
itz
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Th
e
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the
rlan
ds
S
w
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No
rwa
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Au
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De
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k
Ca
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da
Fi
nl
and
P
or
tug
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Ire
la
nd
G
re
ec
e
Lu
xe
m
bo
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g
66
Report 15, September 2008
The Eumetsat budget for 2007 covered total
expenditures of 205 million euros compared
to 251.9 million euros in 2006, largely
financed by its membersâ contributions as
well as by limited additional income from
licensed users of particular services. It had
175.91 million euros dedicated to
programme-related activities down from
222.93 million euros in 2006. Similar to
2006, the biggest amount earmarked was for
the Eumetsat Polar System (EPS) followed by
the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG)
programme (Figure 27).
4 . 5 N a t i o n a l a g e n c i e s
In addition to contributions to ESA, a
majority of its 17-member States
186
and
other EU-27 countries have a dedicated space
agency, space office, or funds allocated to a
domestic space programme. However, the
institutional funding of space activities in
Europe varies considerably among European
countries depending on their national
priorities and most European countries still
funnel the majority of their investments to
ESA (Figure 28).
186
Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany,
Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,
Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the
United Kingdom.
There is an important heterogeneity of public
support devoted to space activities in Europe.
A trio of countries â France, Germany and
Italy â concentrated the majority of European
civilian expenditures in 2007. Consequently,
the national agencies of those three
countries: the Centre National d'Etudes
spatiales (CNES) from France, the Deutsches
Zentrum fĂźr Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) from
Germany and the Agenzia Spaziale Italiana
(ASI) from Italy garnered an overwhelming
majority of European national civil
expenditures (about 83% of all European
civilian expenditure devoted to national
civilian programmes) (Figure 29).
4.5.1 France
France has the largest national civilian
budget in Europe with about 1466.2 million
euros devoted to civilian space activities. In
2007, the CNES had a budget estimated at
713 million euros allocated to its national
programme and the French contribution to
ESA was about 753.2 million euros.
187
187
Ibid
Eum
et
sat
Po
lar
Sy
st
em
M
et
eo
sa
t Se
co
nd
G
en
er
ati
on
Ja
son-
2
M
et
eo
sa
t Th
ird
G
ene
rat
ion
Co
re
and
Pr
os
pec
tiv
e A
ct
vit
ies
2007
2006
125,71
85,28
3,67
8,27
28,97
102,36
61,62
3,82
8,11
29,09
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
M
illio
n
e
u
ro
s
Figure 27 Major programmatic allocations of Eumetsat in 2006 and 2007
67
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
713,0
349,3
290,0
75,0
42,0
34,0 30,0
28,6
12,0 11,8
8,2
7,6
5,0
4,5
2,0
1,4
1,0
0,8
0,7
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
B
u
d
g
e
t in
m
il
lio
n
e
u
ro
s
Fr
anc
e
Ita
ly
Ge
rma
ny
UK
Fi
nl
and
S
w
ede
n
The N
et
her
la
nds Sp
ai
n
R
oma
nia
Au
str
ia
No
rw
ay
D
enm
ar
k
Be
lg
ium
Po
la
nd
Sw
itze
rla
nd
C
ze
ch R
ep
ubl
ic
Hu
ng
ar
y
Lu
xem
bo
ur
g
Po
rtu
ga
l
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Aus
tri
a
Be
lg
iu
m
De
nma
rk
Fi
nl
an
d
Fr
an
ce
Ge
rm
any
Gr
ee
ce
Hu
ng
ar
y
Ire
la
nd Ita
ly
Lux
emb
ou
rg
Th
e
Ne
th
er
la
nds
N
or
w
ay
Pol
and
Por
tug
al
R
oma
ni
a
Spa
in
Swe
de
n
Swi
tz
erl
and
U
K
Cz
ech
Re
pu
bl
ic
National programmes
ESA
4.5.2 Germany
In 2007, Germany allocated an estimated
912.17 million euros to civilian space
activities. It hence represents the second-
188
âEuropean Space Technology Master Plan.â ESA
ESTMP Issue 5 Dec. 2007.
189
Ibid.
biggest institutional space spender in Europe.
An estimated 290 million euros were spent by
DLR, and the German contribution to ESA
was an estimated 578.2 million euros in
2007.
190
190
Ibid.
Figure 28 Estimated shares of national institutional investment in civilian space in 2007 (Source ESTMP)
188
Figure 29 Estimation of the European national space budgets in 2007 (Source ESTMP)
189
68
Report 15, September 2008
4.5.3 Italy
Italy is the third European space power
budget-wise. It is estimated that Italy spent
about 744 million euros in 2007 devoted to
civilian space activities with 369.9 million
euros going to ESA and about 349.3 million
euros allocated to its national programme
managed by ASI.
191
4 . 6 E u r o p e a n U n i o n
The current EU expenditure spent by the
European Commission on space-related
activities is mostly concentrated in the
context of the Framework Programme (FP)
192
rather than on operational programmes.
193
However, this is evolving with the extra
budgetary allocation to the Galileo
programme approved in April 2008 (Cf.
Chapter 7).
The FP7 is organised in four specific
programmes (cooperation, ideas, people and
capacities) to create European poles of
excellence. The largest programme is
cooperation. It is organised in ten themes
with one devoted to space activities. The
objective of the FP7 space work programme
is to contribute to fulfil the overall objectives
of the European space policy, complementing
the efforts of member States as well as ESA
and other actors. EU member States
earmarked 1.43 billion euros to fund them in
the 2007-2013 timeframe. Thus, throughout
the term of the FP7, an average of 205
million euros is planned to be allocated to
space through the space theme alone.
However, the amount of EC funds directly or
indirectly dedicated to space varies from one
year to another depending of the number of
calls for proposals issued, the quality of
projects presented and their costs. Two main
clusters of activities are covered by the
current space theme: space-based
applications and R&D support to the
foundations of space science, exploration,
space transportation and space technology.
About 85% of the funds of the FP7 are
allocated to GMES and 15% to the rest. For
2007, a total of 88.7 million euros is to be
committed through the FP focusing almost
exclusively on GMES-related services (Fast
Tracks Services and access to Earth
observation data).
191
Ibid.
192
Since 1984, the Framework Programme has been the
EUâs main instrument for funding research and
development
193
Peter, Nicolas. âThe EUâs Emergent Space Diplomacy.â
Space Policy 23.2 (May 2007): 97-107.
The first open call for proposals (FP7-SPACE-
2007-1) closed on 19 June 2007 and had a
budget of 34.5 million euros. The publication
of the second call is scheduled for the second
half of 2008. Besides the dedicated space
thematic, other themes in the FP7 can
provide additional sources of finances for the
space sector, such as the theme Information
and Communication Technologies, Security,
Transport, etc. For instance, the call for
proposals (FP7-GALILEO-2007-GSA-1), which
closed on 29 February 2008 had a budget of
25 million euros.
Apart from the FP, part of the Trans-
European Networks funds is also dedicated to
space activities, specifically to the Galileo
programme. With the budget agreed by the
European Parliament on 23 April 2008, EU
funds will finance a total of 3.4 billion euros
over seven years for the Galileo deployment,
or an average of 485 million euros per year.
Another 70 million euros are allocated to
space activities through the Competitiveness
and Innovation Framework Programme
(CIP).
194
Over the 2007-13 period, it is
therefore estimated that the EC will spend on
average about 700 million euros per year on
space activities.
4 . 7 S e c u r i t y - r e l a t e d
s p a c e e x p e n d i t u r e s
European space activities focus principally on
civilian space activities, and consequently,
European investments on space security-
related activities are limited in size and
scope. Europeâs efforts in this domain rest
mainly on member States with limited bi-
national or multinational cooperation.
However, with a greater involvement of the
European Defence Agency (EDA) in space
activities, this could change in the near future
(Cf. Chapter 6).
Only eight European countries are
substantially involved in security-related
space activities (Belgium, France, Germany,
Greece, Italy, Spain, Sweden and the United
Kingdom). While sizing the global military
space sector is difficult (Cf. Chapters 2 and
6), accessing European data is also difficult.
It is estimated that the defence-related space
investments in Europe in 2007 were about
1.103 billion euros. The volume of security-
194
The Competitiveness and Innovation Framework
Programme addresses both technological and non-
technological aspects of innovation, focusing on the
downstream parts of the research and innovation process.
One sub-programme, the Entrepreneurship and Innovation
Programme (EIP), can be of support to space activities.
69
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
M
ill
io
n
e
u
ro
s
related investments is therefore significantly
less than the U.S. space investment in this
domain (Cf. Chapter 2). However, the volume
of European institutional investments in this
domain have been steadily increasing since
2002/2003 as illustrated by Figure 30 that
depicts the size of the military contracts
awarded to the European space industry in
the 1996-2007 period.
France is Europeâs major investor in defence-
related space activities with an estimated
195
ASD-Eurospace. âThe European Space Industry in
2007 facts & figures.â 12th edition June 2008.
public effort of 460 million euros in 2007.
However, while France has seen its budget
stagnating in recent years, more modest
historical contributors like the United
Kingdom, Italy, Germany and Spain have seen
their investments in security-related space
activities increase, as they have been
developing or procuring new national
capabilities in Earth observation or communi-
cations (Cf. Chapter 6). In 2007, the United
Kingdom spent an estimated 300 million euros
on space military activities principally on
Figure 30 Evolution of the size of the military space contracts awarded
for the European space industry (Adapted from Eurospace)
195
Figure 31 Estimated shares of military space investments in Europe in 2007
41,7%
15,8%
10,4%
4,5%
27,2%
0,4%
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
Others
70
Report 15, September 2008
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
M
il
lio
n e
u
ro
s
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Institutional market
Commercial & exports
Other/unidentified
communications systems, Germany spent 174
million euros mainly on reconnaissance
systems, Italy spent 115 million euros also
primarily on reconnaissance systems, and
Spain spent about 50 million euros mostly on
communications systems. In 2007, those five
countries concentrated 99% of the total
European investments in the domain (Figure
31). Other countries (Belgium, Sweden etc.)
invested modestly in space military activities,
as they continue to rely on cooperative pro-
grammes to reap the benefits of third-party
military space assets through cooperation
agreements. Other resources are also allo-
cated by the European Union Satellite Centre
(EUSC), for instance.
196
In 2007, the EUSC
had an estimated budget of about 12 million
euros.
4 . 8 T h e i n s t i t u t i o n a l
m a r k e t a n d i t s i m p a c t
o n t h e i n d u s t r i a l b a s e
In Europe, the institutional market has
historically constituted the main source of
funding of the European space industry.
However European companies have to com-
pete on the global market to increase their
revenues due to the flat trend of the
institutional market (Figure 32).
196
The EUSC is an Agency of the Council of the European
Union that aims to support the decision-making of the EU
by providing analysis of satellite imagery and collateral
data.
Therefore, the health of the communications
sector is of particular importance, as it drives
both the satellite manufacturing sector and
the launch services sector (Cf. Chapter 5).
However, the commercial sector is cyclical
and is becoming increasingly competitive (Cf.
Chapter 5). Hence, the institutional market
constitutes a base for European activities
allowing commitments in R&D activities to
support European competitiveness.
However, it is not large enough to counter-
balance the dependence of the European
space industry on the commercial space
market. Increasing international competition
is also threatening Europeâs position on the
global commercial market, as many countries
are rationalising their industrial base to
increase their international competitiveness
(Cf. Chapter 5).
The competitiveness of the European industry
is also dependent on exchange rates, as most
transactions are in U.S. dollars, but assets and
services are produced in the euro zone.
Therefore, a firmer EUR versus USD reduces
the margins of European companies and
lowers the price competitiveness of their
products and services. Consequently, this
could lead to a reduction of Europeâs overall
market share (Cf. Chapter 5).
197
ASD-Eurospace. âThe European Space Industry in
2007 facts & figures.â 12th edition June 2008.
Figure 32 Evolution of the European industrial turnover per customer since 1996 (Adapted from Eurospace)
197
71
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Chapter 5 - Space industry evolutions
The space industry is currently in transition
with the number of consolidations, mergers
and formation of strategic alliances increasing
rapidly. This trend started a few years ago
and is linked to the willingness to improve
global competitiveness of the different
stakeholders of the space sector.
5 . 1 I n d u s t r i a l e v o l u t i o n s
i n E u r o p e
In recent months, the shareholdings of major
European communications satellite operators
continued to evolve as major takeovers
occurred.
On 20 August 2007, the European
Commission approved the acquisition of
Telenor Satellite Services from the Norwegian
communications group Telenor by the
investment fund management Apax Partners
for an amount of 400 million U.S. dollars.
198
Spainâs Abertis telecom that acquired 32% of
the share capital of Eutelsat
Communications
199
in January 2007 for 1.070
billion euros reached an agreement on 31
October 2008 with ENSAFECA Holding
Empresarial and BBVA to acquire a 28.4%
stake in the Spanish satellite operator
Hispast for 199 million euros. This latest
transaction was authorised on 15 February
2008 by the Spanish Cabinet, making Abertis
the largest shareholder in Hispasat.
200
Abertis
telecomâs entry into Hispasat consolidates the
strategy initiated by the acquisition of
Eutelsat shares (also a Hispasat
shareholder
201
) intended to complement
Abertis telecomâs position and to expand its
geographic business base.
198
Lawsky,
,
David. âEU approves Apax buy of Telenor
Satellite Services.â Reuters 20 Aug. 2007.
http://www.reuters.com/article/technology-media-telco-
SP/idUSBRU00590120070820
199
Abertis telecom acquired the share from the investment
funds Texas Pacific Group, Spectrum, Cinven and
Goldman Sachs making it the companyâs largest
shareholder.
200
Now that the Spanish government has authorised the
deal, it must however be cleared by the anti-trust
authorities.
201
Eutelsat owns a 27.7% stake in Hispasat.
Lehman Brothers International, which re-
duced its share in the Mobile Satellite
Services (MSS) operator Inmarsat by 50%
from 9.6% to 4.8% in mid-January 2008, has
since raised its stake in the company to
15%.
202
In the meantime, Harbinger Capital
has become the largest shareholder with
about 28.8% of Inmarsat, thus illustrating its
interest in acquiring control of the MSS
operator.
On 31 January 2008, Swedish Space Corp
(SSC) exercised an option (âput optionâ)
under an existing agreement to sell an
additional 15% of the satellite-fleet operator
SES Sirius to the Luxembourg-based SES.
This transaction increases SESâs ownership of
the Swedish operator from 75% to 90%. SSC
will, however, retain a 10% stake in SES
Sirius and will continue to provide tracking
and control services for the three-satellite
fleet.
In February 2008, in an effort to reinforce its
presence over the Middle East, SES tried to
purchase the rights for the upcoming Amos-3
satellite plus the Amos-2 satellite as well as
the customers now using the Amos satellites
from Spacecom of Israel. Shortly after this
announcement Spacecom rejected the
takeover bid arguing that the bid was
underestimating the value of Spacecomâs
business and proposed to leave Spacecom
with a single satellite (upcoming Amos-4)
that would generate insufficient revenues to
guarantee the future of the company.
A joint venture called Solaris Mobile (formed
by Eutelsat and SES Astra) that provides
services in the S-band selected Dublin
(Ireland) as the companyâs headquarters on
18 June 2008. Solaris Mobile will provide MSS
such as TV, video, and radio plus two-way
communications to a variety of mobile
devices.
In the domain of space manufacturing and
services, a series of merger, takeovers and
strategic alliances occurred in 2007/2008.
Following the recent investments in EADS by
Dubai International Capital, a sovereign
wealth fund from Dubai, and of Vnesh-
202
de Selding, Peter. âLehman Brothers Reinvests in
Inmarsat Shares.â Space News 13 Feb. 2008.
72
Report 15, September 2008
econombank (VEB) a state-controlled Russian
bank,
203
France and Germany are discussing
changes to EADSâs corporate by-laws to
prevent foreign investors building significant
stakes in the company. Several options are
considered, but the use of âgolden sharesâ is
the option currently favoured by Paris and
Berlin as it will enable them to block stakes
above 15% and would justify their privilege
as vital to national security.
On 7 April 2008, EADS Astrium announced
that it had acquired about 99% of Surrey
Satellite Technology Limited (SSTL) from the
University of Surrey.
204
This transaction was
accepted by the University only after Astrium
gave detailed assurance about SSTLâs future
independence. The all-cash sale is valued at
about 89.7 million U.S. dollars in which
Astrium will be purchasing 99% of SSTLâs
equity, with the University of Surrey retaining
1%.
205
Astrium also bought the 10% SSTL
stake held by SpaceX and the 5% owned by
SSTL employees under the same terms and
conditions.
206
It is expected that SSTL will
complement Astriumâs existing space
capabilities in the design and manufacture of
small and micro satellites.
Following a cooperation agreement between
EADS Astrium and Indiaâs Antrix, EADS
signed an agreement in March 2008 to jointly
supply with Khrunichev Centre (FGUP
M.V.Khrunichev GKNPTs) with a new
generation of high power spacecraft to the
Russian Satellite Communications Co
(RSCC).
207
Thales Alenia Space concluded a wide-
ranging cooperation agreement with NPO PM
(Academician M.F. Reshetnyov Scientific and
Production Association of Applied Mechanics)
on 6 December 2007. They agreed to jointly
develop a new low-cost high-power 8-12
kilowatt communications satellite bus,
Express 400, based on Thales Alenia Spaceâs
Spacebus 4000, but also explore ways to
supply both satellite lines with the same
Russian-built equipment and subsystems.
208
203
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 62.
204
The University of Surrey put its company, SSTL, on the
auction block in November 2007.
205
de Selding, Peter. âAstrium Assurance of SSTL
Independence Helped Seal Deal.â Space News 7 Apr.
2008.
206
Ibid.
207
Taverna, Michael and Alex Komarov. âKhrunichev-
Astrium Deal Changes Balance in Russian Satellite
Market.â Aviation Week & Space Technology (24 Mar.
2008): 35.
208
Ibid.
Telespazio announced on 31 October 2007,
the takeover of 85% of Fileas, the software
solutions editor and international operator for
data broadcasting services by satellite and
other networks. This operation aims to allow
Telespazio to extend its range of satellite
data broadcasting services and to intensify its
efforts for developing its other service
activities.
209
On 11 December 2007, Saab AB announced
that Saab Space Corp. (the Swedish space-
hardware builder specialised in satellite
payload electronics and in systems used to
release satellites from launch vehicles) was
for sale.
210
In summer 2008, the Swiss
Company RUAG, concluded a share purchase
agreement with Saab AB to buy Saab Space
and its subsidiary Austrian Aerospace for an
estimated amount of 56.3 million U.S.
dollars. The closing of the transaction is
expected to take place in September 2008.
On 30 January 2008, OHB Technology of
Germany purchased a 50% stake in RST
Raumfahrt Systemtechnik, a small German
company specialising in airborne and space-
borne radar technologies. OHB and RST have
worked together on the German military five-
satellite SAR-Lupe reconnaissance satellites
system.
With navigation being a fast-growing
business and with location-based services
expanding rapidly into mobile
communications devices, several major
acquisitions occurred in recent months.
Nokia and NAVTEQ announced, on 1 October
2007, a definitive agreement for Nokia to
acquire NAVTEQ for an aggregate purchase
price of approximately 8.1 billion U.S.
dollars.
211
NAVTEQ is a leading provider of
digital map information for, among others,
automotive navigation systems, mobile
navigation devices and Internet-based
mapping applications.
On 18 November 2007, the worldâs largest
navigation solution provider TomTom
acquired Tele Atlas; the transactionâs
aggregate value is about 2.7 million euros.
212
Tele Atlas delivers the digital maps and
209
The remaining 15% is still held by Agence France
Presse.
210
Saab Space Corp. is Swedenâs largest space contractor.
211
âNokia to Acquire NAVTEQ.â PRNewswire 1 Oct. 2007
<http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-
bin/stories.pl?ACCT=ind_focus.story&STORY=/www/story/
10-01-
2007/0004673032&EDATE=MON+Oct+01+2007,+08:35+
AM >.
212
TomTom âAnnual Report and Accounts 2007.â <
http://ar2007.tomtom.com/pdf/tomtom_Ar07.pdf >.
73
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
dynamic content for location-based services
(LBS), particularly for Portable Navigation
Devices (PNDs). The European Commission,
however, opened an investigation into
TomTom's proposed purchase of Tele Atlas,
claiming that consumers could be hurt by a
GPS hardware maker owning one of the two
major digital map providers. Finally, in mid-
May 2008, TomTom was able to buy Tele
Atlas after the Commission concluded that
the transaction would not have any
significant effect on effective competition.
213
5 . 2 I n d u s t r i a l e v o l u t i o n s
i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s
Several cross mergers and acquisitions
involving U.S. entities occurred in recent
months, as well as legislative initiatives to
protect and promote the U.S. industrial
base.
MacDonald, Detwiller and Associate (MDA)
from Canada purchased Alliance
Spacesystems LLC on 5 December 2007.
Alliance Spacesystems LLC is a provider for
the U.S. government and an aerospace
customer of advanced technology solutions;
it is also a leader in robotic and mechanical
structures applied on a variety of space
missions as well as terrestrial applications.
Alliance Spacesystems became part of MDA
Federal, the MDA subsidiary which includes
all of the U.S. businesses of the MDA
Information Systems Group.
Alliant Techsystems (ATK), which
completed the acquisition of Swales
Aerospace on 8 June 2007, announced on 8
January 2008 that it agreed to buy
Canadaâs largest space hardware
manufacturer (MDA) for 1.3 billion U.S.
dollars. The acquisition of MDA Information
Systems and Geospatial Information
Services business would give ATK, among
other things, superior capabilities in space-
based radar systems and space robotics.
This would also give ATK greater access to
non-U.S. markets, and would allow ATK to
market MDAâs space-based radar
capabilities to U.S. national security
customers. However, while 99.9% of voting
shareholders approved the deal, Industry
Canada rejected the takeover on 10 April
2008 on the grounds that it is a bad deal
for Canada. Moreover, Canadian Industry
Minister Jim Prentice also indicated the
importance of Radarsat-2, which MDA
213
Lawsky, David. âTomTom Wins EU Permission to Buy
Tele Atlas.â Reuters 14 May 2008.
manufactures to safeguard Canadaâs
sovereignty in the Artic region.
214
On 7 February 2008, the start-up MSS
operator, TerreStar, announced that EchoStar
Corp. and private-equity investor Harbinger
Capital as well as other unnamed investors
agreed to invest 300 million U.S. dollars in
the company, with two-thirds of the funds
being available immediately. Harbinger
Capital and EchoStar Corp. each were given
seats on the TerreStar board in exchange for
their cash investments.
215
The cash influx
would allow TerreStar to complete the
development and launch of TerreStar-1, but
also to begin work on the TerreStar-2
satellite.
216
TerreStar is developing an S-band
mobile two-way communication network for
the United States.
On 4 February 2008, Intelsat, announced the
successful closing of the acquisition of all the
primary equity ownership of Intelsat Holdings
valued at approximately five billion U.S.
dollars by Serafina Holdings (an entity
formed by funds advised by BC Partners,
Silver Lake and other equity investors).
Serafina Holdings bought the interests in
Intelsat to the funds advised by or associated
with Apax Partners Worldwide LLP, Apax
Partners L.P., Apollo Management V, L.P.,
Madison Dearborn Partners, LLC and Permina
Advisers LLC.
The Canadian firm Telesat was acquired on
31 October 2007 by Loral Space &
Communications and the Public Sector
Pension Investment Board (PSP) of Canada
(a pension fund) through the joint venture
company Acquireco for 3.25 billion Canadian
dollars (about 2.79 billion U.S. dollars). Loral
now owns 64% of the company and PSP
owns the remaining 36%. However, to
comply with Canadian laws (requiring
Canadian ownership of communications
carriers) Loral has 33.3% voting rights and
the Canadian investors 66.7%.
217
214
Galt, Virginia. âPrentice defends takeover veto.â Globe
and Mail 11 Apr. 2008
<http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/Page/document/
v5/content/subscribe?user_URL=http://www.theglobeand
mail.com%2Fservlet%2Fstory%2FRTGAM.20080411.wpre
ntice_space0411%2FBNStory%2FrobNews%2F&ord=895
24609&brand=theglobeandmail&force_login=true >.
215
The U.S. hedge fund Harbinger Capital has taken in
recent months sizeable positions in several MSS
companies. In addition of its involvement in TerreStar it
owns as aforementioned 28% of Inmarsat, but it is also a
major shareholder in Mobile Satellite Ventures (MSV).
216
Having a backup satellite completed within a year of
TerreStarâs commercial debut is a requirement of the
companyâs U.S. Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) license.
217
de Selding P. âAt Dealâs Close, Telesat, Loral Begin
Merging Satellite Fleets.â Space News 5 Nov 2007.
74
Report 15, September 2008
The U.S. Department of Justice issued an
outright approval on 24 March 2008 for the
merger of satellite-radio companies Sirius
Satellite Radio and XM Satellite Radio. The
review concluded that âevidence does not
establish that combination of satellite radio
providers would substantially reduce
competitionâ.
218
The decision of the
Department of Justice was motivated by
three factors: a lack of existing competition
between Sirius and XM in important market
segments, the prospect of alternative
services which could become increasingly
attractive to consumers, and finally,
efficiencies from the merger which could
benefit consumers. The proposed 4.5 billion
U.S. dollars-merger was then approved by
the U.S. Federal Communications Com-
mission (FCC) in summer 2008.
Universal Space Network Inc. (USN), a
leading provider of space operations and
ground control and communications services
purchased the satellite tracking and control
assets of Honeywell Technology Solutionsâ
Datalynx in February 2008. The transaction
includes Datalynx assets such as the tracking
and control antennas in Alaska and the
control centre in Maryland (USA). As part of
this transaction, USN also received a contract
to provide tracking services for over 20 NASA
orbiting satellites.
219
Space Adventures (the firm selling trips
aboard Russian Soyuz vehicles to the
International Space Station) announced on
19 March 2008 its 1 January 2008 purchase
of Zero Gravity Corp (also know as Zero-G)
which provides commercial parabolic flights
using a modified Boeing 727 aircraft known
as G-Force One.
220
In the United States, the State Departmentâs
export licensing programme is under scrutiny
as it has been recognised as under stress and
hurting the U.S. space industrial
competitiveness due to underlying
bureaucratic inefficiencies and problems.
Furthermore, the U.S. Congress introduced
wording in the Fiscal Year 2009 House
Defence Authorization Bill that raises the
218
U.S Department of Justice âStatement of the
Department of Justice Antitrust Division on its Decision to
Close its Investigation of XM Satellite Radio Holdings
Inc.âs Merger with Sirius Satellite Radio
Inc.â <http://www.usdoj.gov/opa/pr/2008/March/08_at_226.
html>.
219
âUSN to expand global reach and TT&C service
offerings with significant acquisition.â Reuters Press
Release 19 February 2008
<http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS205304
+19-Feb-2008+PRN20080219 >.
220
Space Adventures was already a substantial investor in
Zero-G.
possibility of punitive action against âa
foreign-owned company that is engaged with
the Peopleâs Republic of China in the
development, manufacture or launch of
certain satellitesâ. The Bill calls for a review
by the Defence Security that could prohibit
the Pentagon from doing business for
classified work with such companies in the
future.
221
It also states that Pentagon funds
could be denied to any business working with
China on satellite technology, particularly
those not covered by ITAR.
222
Such
legislation would principally target the
European Thales Alenia Space that has been
marketing communications satellites that
have no major U.S. components and
therefore not subject to the International
Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR). The Bill
was received by the Senate on 3 June 2008
and was subsequently placed on the Senate
Legislative Calendar.
Following a joint investigation by the Federal
Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and NASA, U.S.
federal authorities arrested a former Boeing
engineer on 11 February for allegedly giving
trade secrets related to several space
programmes, including the space shuttle and
Delta 4 rocket to China. The same day
another espionage case was unveiled with a
weapons systems policy analyst at the
Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA)
and two Chinese citizens were arrested.
5 . 3 I n d u s t r i a l e v o l u t i o n s
i n R u s s i a
In line with the adoption by the Russian
government of a new Federal Space
Programme (2006-2015) attempting to halt
the decline of the country's industrial base
and ending years of under-funding in October
2005 and the subsequent release in January
2006 of the âStrategy for Development of the
Space Industry up to 2015â, on 11 April
2008, Russiaâs President Vladimir Putin made
a speech regarding space issues. He declared
that Russia should not only be involved in
orbiting foreign-made satellites and payloads,
but should also promote its hi-tech
developments and services, as an effective
space programme is seen as having a
significant factor in innovative economic
development.
223
Furthermore, Vitaly Lopota,
221
Douglas, Barrie, MichelTaverna and Amy Butler.
âMeasure Would Thwart Efforts by Satcom Operators to
Broaden Launcher Choice.â Aviation Week and Space
Technology (6 Aug. 2008): 36.
222
Ibid.
223
âRussia should promote hi-tech, not just space services
- Putin.â RIA Novosti 11 Apr. 2008.
75
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
the president of S.P. Korolev Rocket and
Space Corporation Energia (also know as
Energia), also on 11 April 2008, stated that
he believes that space tourism is a forced
measure to compensate for insufficient
financing of the Russian space programme.
224
Following the aforementioned policy
documents, and particularly, the space
industry strategy, several changes are
expected for the near future. First, the
formation of ten to eleven horizontally and
vertically integrated structures by 2010;
second, these integrated structures will be
reorganised into three to four space
corporations which would encompass most of
the main enterprises of the field before 2015.
The consolidation of the Russian industry into
major holdings that started in 2006 has
continued in recent months following the
Presidential decrees.
A new holding company was created in fall
2007 around the Russian Scientific Research
Institute for Space Instrument Engineering,
known as RNII KP. This new entity focuses on
Glonass and COSPAS-SARSAT-related
activities and is the result of the merger of
RNII KP with the Scientific Research Institute
for Precision Instruments (NII TP), the
Scientific Research Institute for Physical
Measurements (NII FI), the Research and
Production Association for Measurement
Technology (NPO IT), the Scientific-Research
Institute of Space Instrumentation (NII KP),
the Orion Scientific and Production
Organisation (NPO Orion) and the Special
Design Bureau of the Moscow Institute of
Power Engineering (OKB MEI).
On 29 February 2008, the Scientific and
Research Institute of Chemical Engineering
and the Scientific and Research Institute of
Chemical and Construction Machine
Manufacturing were reorganised into the
Rocket and Space Industry Research and
Test Centre.
225
On 3 March 2008, further shifts were ordered
for the ex-NPO PM (Academician M. F.
Reshetnev Research and Development
Association of Applied Mechanics). The
Company underwent a State Registration at
that time to become a joint-stock company
named Academician M. F. Reshetnev
Information Satellite System. It will be made
up of a total of nine subsidiaries: the JSC
Research & Production Enterprise (Geofizika-
Cosmos), the JSC Research and Production
224
âRussia will not need space tourism when programs
well financed â analysts.â Interfax 11 Apr. 2008.
225
âPutin Signs Decree to Set up Rocket-And-Space
Research Centre.â Space Daily 6 Mar. 2008.
Centre âPolyusâ, the Research & Production
Entreprise âKvantâ, the JSC Research &
Production Enterprise of Space Instrument-
Making, the JSC Siberian Devices and
Systems, the JSC Testing Technical centre-
NPO PM, the JSC NPO PM Small Design
Bureau, the JSC NPO PM- Razvitie and the
JSC Sibpromproekt.
226
Finally, in May 2008, the State Rocket Centre
Academician V.P. Makeyev Design Bureau
was reorganised into the Makeyev State
Rocket Centre (MSRC) and integrates four
subsidiaries including, among others, the
Zlatoust Machine-Building Factory, the Miass
Machine-Building Factory, and the
âKrasnoiarsk Machine-Building Factory.
227
Russian space industries are also cooperating
with international partners, particularly
Europeans, in the domain of satellite
manufacturing. Khrunichev Centre (FGUP
M.V.Khrunichev GKNPTs) signed an
agreement with EADS in March 2008 to
jointly supply the Russian Satellite
Communications Co (RSCC) with a new
generation of high power spacecraft. NPO PM
(Academician M.F. Reshetnyov Scientific and
Production Association of Applied Mechanics)
also concluded on 6 December 2007 a wide-
ranging cooperation agreement with Thales
Alenia Space to jointly develop a new low-
cost high-power communications satellite
bus.
Finally, in the launch sector the
announcement was made on 29 May 2008
that Khrunichev State Research and
Production Space Centre acquired the shares
of ILS (International Launch Services) owned
by majority shareholder, Space Transport
Inc.
228
Financial details were not disclosed.
ILS holds the exclusive worldwide rights to
market and sell commercial launch services
on the Proton launch vehicle, built by
Khrunichev, as well as the Angara vehicle
under development. ILS will remain a U.S.-
based corporation, marketing commercial
launches of the Proton vehicle.
226
âEstablishing a New Joint-Stock Company
âAcademician M.F. Reshetnevâ Information Satellite
Systems.â 3 Mar. 2008 <http://www.npopm.com>.
227
CNES, Moscow Office French Embassy, 19 May 2008.
228
Space Transport Inc. is a British Virgin Islands-based
company that was formed in 2006 for the sole purpose of
holding an interest in ILS. Space Transport Inc. purchased
ILS shares in October 2006 from Lockheed Martin.
76
Report 15, September 2008
5 . 4 I n d u s t r i a l e v o l u t i o n s
i n J a p a n
Japanese space policy is in transition (Cf.
Chapter 3) and is endeavouring to increase
the competitiveness of its industrial base.
229
In this context, SkyPerfect JSAT Corp.
announced the purchase of Space
Communications Corp. (SSC) on 13 February
2008 for about 270 million U.S. dollars, and
as of October, SSC will be a division of
SkyPerfect JSAT Corp. This acquisition
consolidates JSATâs position as the worldâs
fifth-largest satellite fleet operator. JSAT and
SSC will combine ground operations as well
as on-orbit operations, and expects to secure
satellite launches and insurance contracts
under better conditions. The aim of this
transaction is to secure the competitive
advantage in the satellite industry in order to
promote expansion strategies in the
âsubscription multi-channel pay TV
marketâ.
230
The first Japanese-built commercial satellite
was also under development in 2007/2008
and launched in summer 2008. The
Mitsubishi Electric Corp. (Melco) built
Superbird-7 satellite for SCC, but it will be
used by SkyPerfect JSAT Corp. following the
aforementioned acquisition. Superbird 7 is
the first made-in-Japan commercial
spacecraft ordered by a Japanese fleet
operator. This event illustrates Melcoâs
interest in establishing a position in the
commercial satellite manufacturing market as
a competitive and reliable actor.
5 . 5 I n d u s t r i a l e v o l u t i o n s
i n C h i n a
As China is entering the international markets
for commercial satellite manufacturing and
launch services, it continues its efforts to
develop and improve its space industry as
well in order to have a mature space industry
on par with its global aspirations (Cf. Chapter
3). The Chinese Aerospace Science and
Technology Corporation (CASTC) unveiled a
plan in summer 2008 to set up four more
229
For more information, see Suzuki, Kazuto. âBasic Law
for Space Activities: a New Space Policy for Japan for the
21rst Century.â Yearbook on Space policy 2006/2007: New
Impetus for Europe. Eds. European Space Policy Institute:
Kai-Uwe Schrogl, Charlotte Mathieu and Nicolas Peter.
Wien: Springer, 2008: 225.238.
230
âAcquisition of Space Communication Corporation
Shares.â SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation News Release 13
Feb. 2008.
scientific and research and production bases
in Chinaâs Bohai region, South Chinaâs Pearl
River Delta and Chinaâs western area with a
total of eight space industry centres in the
coming years. CASTC ambitions are also to
acquire up to 10% of the international
commercial satellite market and 15% of the
world commercial space launch services
market by 2015.
5 . 6 T r a n s - A t l a n t i c
i n d u s t r i a l c o m p a r i s o n
Europe and the United States are the two
major space actors investing the most in
space activities (Cf. Chapter 2). They also
have the most diverse and competitive
industrial bases. An overview of their
respective dynamism and capabilities is
therefore necessary to assess the health and
competitiveness of their respective industrial
base. When compared to the United States,
the European space sector receives far less
institutional support and thus needs to be
highly competitive on the open commercial
market. On the other hand, the U.S.
industrial base relies almost exclusively on
contracts from the U.S. Government.
5.6.1 State of the European space
industry
According to the results of the European
space industry association (ASD-Eurospace),
the consolidated turnover of the European
manufacturing sector grew from 4.98 billion
euros in 2006 to reach about 5.36 billion
euros in 2007 (Figure 33). This revenue
growth was mainly supported by an increase
in commercial satellite and national
programmes while the contribution of
Eumetsat and the launch sector declined from
the previous year.
In 2007, the revenues of the European space
industry were dominated by institutional
customers with almost 60% of its total
consolidated turnover (or 3.19 billion euros)
generated by the institutional market while
commercial and exports markets generated
2.07 billion euros in 2007. ESA was again, in
2007, the main institutional customer for the
European space industry with about 50% of
the overall turnover (Figure 34). The
European military programme represented
the second sources of revenues followed by
national civil programmes both in progression
from 2006. The share of Eumetsat diminished
while ECâs remained stable at 13 million
euros (Figure 34). Europeâs civil institutional
77
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
M
il
lio
n e
u
ro
s
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
programmes represent 68% of all space
institutional revenues for the industrial
sector. The rest comes from European
military programmes (Figure 34).
The commercial turnover in 2007 of the
European space industry was dominated by
the commercial satellite sector, followed by
operational launch system, an evolution
from 2006 (Figure 35). GEO commercial
systems were the main customers for the
European space industry, generating almost
half of the commercial turnover.
Arianespace was the second-biggest
European customer (Figure 35).
231
âThe European Space Industry in 2007 facts & figures.â
ASD-Eurospace 12th edition June 2008.
When looking at the distribution by activity,
satellite applications and communications are
the main activities generating revenues for
the European industry (Figure 36). Satellite
applications are followed by launcher
activities (including both development and
operational activities) and scientific as well as
support activities (Figure 36).
In 2007, like in 2006, the main space
industry turnover was generated by France,
followed distantly by Germany, Italy and the
United Kingdom (Figure 37).
232
Ibid.
Figure 33 Estimated consolidated turnover of the European space sector for 2002/2007 (Adapted from Eurospace)
231
Figure 34 Estimated share of the European space industry consolidated turnover
per institutional customer since 2002 (Adapted from Eurospace)
232
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
ESA
European Commission
Eumetsat
National Civil Programmes
Civil Multilateral Programmes
European Military Programmes
78
Report 15, September 2008
When looking at the consolidated turnover by
customer and country in 2007, only France
and Norway generated more revenues from
commercial customers than from institutional
ones (Figure 38).
233
Ibid.
234
Ibid.
There is also a relative specialisation of
different countries, with applications being
important in the United Kingdom, Spain,
Norway, Portugal, Luxembourg, Germany,
France, Finland and Austria while launch
system activities are important in Switzerland
and Ireland. Scientific activities are important
in Denmark and the Netherlands (Figure 39).
Figure 36 Estimated share of the European industry consolidated turnover per sector (Adapted from Eurospace)
233
Figure 35 Estimated European space industry consolidated turnover per commercial customer
since 2002 (Adapted from Eurospace)
234
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
GEO Commercial Systems
Other commercial systems & parts
Arianespace
Other launch systems
Other/unidentified
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
M
ill
io
n
e
u
ro
s
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Satellite applications
Launcher activities
Scientific activities
Support activities
Other/unidentified
79
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Fr
an
ce
Ge
rm
an
y
Ital
y
UK
Sp
ai
n
B
el
giu
m
Sw
ed
en
Sw
itz
er
la
nd
Th
e N
eth
erl
an
ds
No
rw
ay
A
us
tri
a
D
enm
ar
k
Fi
nl
an
d
Ire
la
nd
Po
rtu
ga
l
Lux
emb
ou
rg
2006
2007
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
2250
2500
M
ill
io
n
e
u
ro
s
The space sector is a significant source of
highly qualified European employment. The
total direct employment of the European
space industry grew from 30 938 in 2006 to
33 049 in 2007, including 3 412 external
employees working on site, confirming the
increase witnessed since 2005. Six European
countries concentrate 90% of the total direct
235
Ibid.
employment by the space industry (Figure
40). France leads with 38% of the overall
total, followed distantly by a cluster
composed by Germany, Italy, the United
Kingdom, Spain and Belgium (Figure 40).
236
Ibid.
Figure 38 European consolidated turnover per customer and per country in 2007 (adapted from Eurospace)
235
Figure 37 Estimated European industry consolidated turnover in 2006 and 2007 per country (Adapted from Eurospace)
236
A
us
tr
ia
B
el
gi
u
m
D
en
m
a
rk
F
in
la
nd
F
ra
nc
e
G
er
m
an
y
Ir
el
an
d
Ita
ly
Lu
xe
m
bo
ur
g
T
he
N
et
he
rl
an
ds
N
or
w
ay
P
or
tu
ga
l
S
pa
in
S
w
ed
en
S
w
itz
er
la
nd
U
K
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
M
illi
o
n
e
u
ro
s
Civil Institutional programmes
Military institutional programmes
Commercial satellites and parts
Operational launchers and parts
Other
80
Report 15, September 2008
Fr
an
ce
Ge
rm
an
y
Ita
ly
UK
Sp
ain
Be
lgi
um
Sw
itz
er
la
nd
Sw
ed
en
Th
e
Ne
th
er
lan
ds
No
rw
ay
Au
str
ia
De
nm
ar
k
Fi
nla
nd
Po
rtu
ga
l
Ire
lan
d
2006
2007
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
D
ir
ect
em
p
lo
y
m
e
n
t
5.6.2 State of the United Statesâ
space industry
According to the latest results of the U.S.
Aerospace Industry Association (AIA), the
total sales of the U.S. Aerospace Industry
were approximately 199 billion U.S. dollars in
2007 (up by 8% from 2006), with 108 billion
237
Ibid.
238
Ibid.
U.S. dollars coming from aircrafts sales (53.3
billion U.S. dollars for civilian aircrafts and
54.8 billion U.S. dollars for military aircrafts).
The major sources of sales for the U.S.
aerospace industry in 2007 were in direct
aerospace products and sales with about
165.018 billion U.S. dollars compared to 33.7
billion U.S. dollars in related products and
services. The total space-related sales reached
an estimated 39.1 billion U.S. dollars in 2007,
up from 38.5 billion U.S. dollars in 2006.
Figure 39 European consolidated turnover per applications and per country in 2007 (adapted from Eurospace)
237
Figure 40 Space industry direct employment in 2006 and 2007 (adapted from Eurospace)
238
Au
st
ria
Bel
gi
um
D
en
ma
rk
Fi
nl
and
Fr
an
ce
Ge
rm
any
Irel
an
d
Ital
y
Lux
em
bo
urg
Th
e N
et
her
la
nd
s
N
orw
ay
Po
rtu
ga
l
Spa
in
Sw
ed
en
Sw
itz
er
la
nd
UK
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
M
ill
io
n
e
u
ro
s
Satellite applications
Launch system activities
Scientific activities
Support & test activities
Other activities
81
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
3,5
0,8 1,7 1,2
6,8
4,9
3,5
4,8
24
37,9
31,7
38,6
25,8
49,6
56,5
88,4
0,2 0,6 0,7
1,3
0,9 1,2
4,2 5,1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
B
il
lio
n
U
.S
. d
o
lla
rs
Launch vehicle
manuf acturing
Satellite
manuf acturing
Ground equipment
manuf acturing
Satellite services
Remote sensing
Distribution
industries
1999
2002
2004
2006
Space-related sales therefore represented
about 20% of the overall U.S. aerospace
industry sales in 2007. The main U.S. space
industry customers in 2007 were, like in
2006, institutional customers (DoD, NASA
and other agencies). While the aerospace
balance of trade estimated by the AIA was
positive in 2007 (+ 56.465 billion U.S.
dollars), most of the sales of the U.S. space
industry are limited to the United States and
only a fraction of its space sales are
generated by exports.
Based on the latest results of the Federal
Aviation Administration (FAA) study on âThe
economic impact of commercial space
transportation on the U.S. economyâ released
in April 2008, commercial space
transportation and enabled industries
(including all other space sector activities)
were responsible for a total of about 139.3
239
Federal Aviation Administration. âThe economic impact
of commercial space transportation on the U.S. economy.â
Apr. 2008.
billion U.S. dollars in economic activity in
2006. They represented also about 35.7
billion U.S. dollars in earnings (salary and
wages) and supported 729 240 jobs
throughout the U.S. economy. All three
impact measures increased in 2006
compared to 2004 (Table 6). During the
1999-2006 period, the total economic activity
impact of commercial space transportation
and enabled industries increased by 127%,
earnings by 117% and the number of jobs
supported rose by about 47% (Table 6).
Of the 139.3 billion U.S. dollars in economic
activity generated by commercial space
transportation and enabled industries, 88.4
billion U.S. dollars were generated by satellite
services and 38.6 billion U.S. dollars by the
ground equipment manufacturing sector in
2006 (Figure 41). The top two revenues
contributors represented 91% of all revenues.
240
Federal Aviation Administration. âThe economic impact
of commercial space transportation on the U.S. economy.â
Apr. 2008.
Table 6 Total impacts on the U.S. economy generated by commercial space transportation and
enabled industries in 1999, 2002, 2004 and 2006 (source FAA)
239
1999
2002
2004
2006
Economic activity
(in millions U.S. dollars)
61 313.711
95 025.746
98 086.960
13 962.027
Earnings
(in millions U.S. dollars)
16 431.192
23 527.745
25 045.888
35 659.935
Jobs
497 350
576 450
551 350
729 240
Figure 41 Total economic activity impacts on the U.S. economy of commercial space transportation
and enabled industries in 1999, 2002, 2004 and 2006 (adapted from FAA)
240
82
Report 15, September 2008
Launch vehicle manufacturing and services
generated 1.2 billion U.S. dollars and the
satellite manufacturing sector about 4.8
billion U.S. dollars of economic activity in
2006 (Figure 41). When comparing with
previous years, some industry segments
have performed better than others. In
particular, the satellite services generated
most of the growth in economic impact and
increased the most, while the economic
impact of the launch manufacturing sector
diminished from 2004 to 2006 (Figure 41).
Satellite services have been the largest space
industry segment since 1999 and have
demonstrated a steady growth over the
seven-year period.
241
Its share in economic
activity impacts grew from 42.1% to 63.5%
from 1999 to 2006 (Figure 41). In the
meantime the manufacturing component of
the U.S. industry (launch vehicle, satellites
and ground equipment) diminished from an
agglomerated level of 56.1% in 1999 to 32%
in 2006 (Figure 41).
As aforementioned, in 2006, a total impact
on the U.S. economy of 139.3 billion U.S.
dollars was generated by commercial space
transportation and enabled industries. An
estimated 23.24 billion U.S. dollars in direct
impacts of economic activity was generated,
65.03 billion U.S. dollars of indirect impacts,
and 50.99 billion U.S. dollars of induced
impacts (Figure 42).
242
When comparing the total employment
impacts on the U.S. economy resulting from
space activities between 1999 and 2006, a
significant increase in impacts is revealed.
In particular, there was an increase from
497 350 in 1999 to 729 000 jobs in 2006
(those numbers cover not only the space
industry but all affected industries). Satellite
services are the main job providers (65%)
followed by ground equipment
manufacturing (25%) (Figure 43). In 2006,
the other four segments only represented an
impact on the U.S. economy of 71 000 jobs
(10% of all jobs supported within all
industries). The only sector that witnessed a
decline in employment impact from 2004 to
241
Most satellite services revenues growth is due to DTH
(Cf. Chapter 2).
242
According to the FAA, direct impacts are the
expenditures on inputs and labor involved in providing any
final good or service relating to the industries analyzed.
Indirect impacts involve the purchases (e.g., metals,
composite materials, processors) made by and labor
supplied by the industries providing inputs to the launch
and enabled industries. Induced impacts are the
successive rounds of increased household spending
resulting from the direct and indirect impacts (e.g., a
spacecraft solar array design engineerâs spending on food,
clothes dry-cleaning, or any other household good and
service).
2006 is the launch vehicle manufacturing
industry (Figure 43).
When looking at the employment of the
satellite industry, according to SIA/Futron
there were 268 411 direct space-related jobs
in the United States in 2006 (Table 7).
Ground equipment was the largest
contributor (46%) followed by the launch
industry (29%).
Table 7 Estimated U.S. personnel in 2006
(source SIA/Futron)
5 . 7 S e c t o r a l o v e r v i e w
A sectoral analysis allows the appraisal of the
latest developments of the main segments
and markets of the space sector. Because of
the strong link between the launch sector and
satellite industries, neither can prosper
without the other, and consequently, each
must take the otherâs overall business health
into consideration. The launch sector requires
a steady stream of payloads and both
satellite manufacturers and satellite
operators need consistent access to launch
services. In this context, to assess the overall
state of the space industry three segments
need to be appraised: the launch sector, the
satellite manufacturing segment and satellite
operators.
5.7.1 Launch sector
The launch sector is an enabler of other
industries rather than a significant economic
activity (Cf. Chapter 2). However, reliable
access to space and affordable commercial
launches are essential for maintaining
existing satellites services markets.
The following definitions apply to the launch
sector analysis.
243
A commercial orbital
launch is defined as a primary payload for
which the contract was internationally
competed (the launch opportunity was
available in principle to any capable launch
243
Several differences can be observed when comparing
the following results with other studies due to
methodological discrepancies.
Satellite industry
sector
Estimated U.S.
Personnel
Satellite services
49 423
Satellite manufacturing
16 184
Launch industry
78 762
Ground equipment
124 042
Total estimated U.S.
Employees
268 411
83
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
services provider) and/or the launch is
privately financed without government
support. Finally, launches are attributed to
the country in which the main vehicle
manufacturer is based, except in the case of
Sea Launch which is designed as
multinational.
244
However, no distinction has
been made between the Ukrainian and
Russian launch systems as major
shareholders in most Ukrainian launch
providers, as well as launch manufacturers,
are Russian.
2007 results
2007 was a particularly active year for the
launch sector. Launch providers from Russia,
the United States, China, Europe, India,
Japan, Israel and the multinational
consortium Sea Launch, conducted a total of
68 launches compared to 66 launches from
six countries plus Sea Launch in 2006. Three
of those 68 worldwide orbital launches failed,
two commercial launches and one non-
commercial launch.
When comparing the level of activity country-
by-country, Russia was, like in 2006, the
world leader according to the launch rate
criterion with a share of about 39% of all
launches (26 launches). It was followed by
the United States (about 28%) (Figure 44).
China completed the podium with an about
15% market share of all launches conducted
in 2007.
245
Europe followed with
244
Boeing is the majority shareholder (40%) of Sea
Launch. Other partners include S. P. Korolev Rocket and
Space Corporation Energia of Russia (25%), Aker ASA of
Norway (20%), and SDO Yuzhnoye/NPO Yuzhmash of
Ukraine (15%).
approximately 9% of market shares, India
with about 4%, Japan 3% and finally Sea
Launch and Israel both had a 1.5% share of
all launches conducted last year (Figure 44).
When added up, Europe had six launches
compared to 15 for Asia.
246
Twenty six Russian vehicles were launched in
2007 using eight different systems (Table 8).
American launch vehicles carried 19 launches
using seven different launchers. China used
three launch vehicle systems to perform its
ten launches. Europe conducted six launches
in 2007, all with Ariane 5. India used two
systems (PSLV and GSLV) for its three
launches. All the other actors used only one
system (Table 8).
Four actors launched the overwhelming
majority of mass in orbit in 2007. Russia
launched an estimated 34% of the total mass
launched, followed by the United States with
almost 32% (Figure 45). Europe completed
the podium, with about 18% of the total
mass in orbit being launched by European
launchers (Ariane 5) (Figure 45). China
conducted ten launches in 2007 (15%), but
this represented only 10.3% of the total
payload mass launched worldwide (Figure
45). The four other actors launched an
agglomerated 6% of the mass launched
worldwide last year compared to a combined
10.3% of all launches performed (Figure 45).
245
China conducted ten launches without including the
ASAT test in 2007.
246
In 2008, South Korea should launch its first indigenous
rocket (KSLV-1) from the Naro Space Centre.
Figure 44 Worldwide launches by country/entity in 2007
38,2%
27,9%
14,7%
8,8%
4,4%
2,9%
1,5%
1,5%
Russia
USA
China
Europe
India
Japan
Multinational
Israel
84
Report 15, September 2008
1,6%
10,3%
31,7%
17,7%
2,0%
2,3%
0,1%
34,3%
Russia
USA
China
Europe
India
Japan
Multinational
Israel
About 255 metric-tons were launched in
space in 2007 with 66% being non-
commercial and 34% commercial. Russia, in
2007, launched an estimated 89 tons into
orbit including 30 tons of commercial
payloads. The United States followed with
about 80 tons launched, including six tons of
commercial payloads (Figure 46). Europe led
the amount of commercial mass launched
with 44 tons, more than all the other
commercial launches in 2007 (41 tons)
(Figure 46). China launched 25 tons into
orbit. Finally, regarding Sea Launch, Japan,
India and Israel launched an aggregated
15.26 tons into orbit in 2007 (Figure 46).
Only five actors performed commercial
launches in 2007, while six actors performed
non-commercial launches, illustrating the
different strategies among actors in the
domain. Commercial launches are particularly
important for Russia, Europe and Sea Launch
(Table 9). By contrast, U.S. launch service
providers continued to focus heavily on the
lucrative governmental market which
provides them with a robust source of
income. Finally, China, Japan and Israel
focused only on non-commercial launches
(Table 9). However, a new trend emerged
last year: the entry of India in the
commercial launch sector when it performed
its first commercial launch in 2007
successfully putting the Italian satellite,
Agile, into orbit.
247
The 23 commercial orbital launches which
occurred in 2007 represented about 33% of
total launches of the year, similar to last
yearâs level (21 commercial launches out of a
total of 66 launches). Russian-built vehicles
247
U.S. export regulations are an issue for launching more
international commercial payloads with Indian launchers,
as India has not signed the nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty. However, the relationship between the two
countries is improving.
Number of launch systems used
Total number of launches
Russia 8
26
USA 7
19
China 3
10
Europe 1
6
India 2
3
Japan 1
2
Multinational 1
1
Israel 1
1
Total 24
68
Figure 45 Total mass of payloads launched per country/entity in 2007
Table 8 Worldwide launches per country/entity and launch systems in 2007
85
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Figure 46 Estimate of the mass launched per country/entity and commercial status in 2007
conducted 12 commercial launches in 2007,
accounting for an estimated 53% of the
market (Figure 47). Europe conducted six
commercial launches capturing 26% of the
worldwide commercial market share (Figure
47). The United States conducted only three
commercial launches, representing 13% of
the global commercial launch market (Figure
47). Finally, both Sea Launch and India had
one commercial launch (4% market share
each).
When looking at the performance of
commercial launch services providers, Europe
posted solid results in 2007. In the same
year, 22 payloads to be launched were
accessible to Arianespace.
248
Those payloads
were mainly devoted to communications (17
payloads), Earth observation and technology
(four payloads), and science and exploration
248
The market accessible to Arianespace as defined by
ESA regroups the payloads for which the launch was
competed and the European payloads for which the launch
was not competed.
(1 payload). Ariane 5 launched 55% of the
total accessible number of payloads and 71%
of the total of number of payloads launched
to GEO, followed by ILS with 24% of the
payload launched to GEO and Sea Launch
with 6%. However, when looking at payloads
accessible to Arianespace in non-
geostationary orbit, none of the five payloads
accessible were launched with an Ariane 5.
One payload was launched with a Soyuz, one
with a PSL, one with a Delta-2, and 2
payloads were launched with Dnepr rockets.
When looking at the commercial mass
launched per launch service provider,
Arianespace dominated with 64% of the total
commercial mass launched to Geostationary
transfer orbit (GTO) in 2007. ILS launched
about 27% of the total commercial mass
launched to GTO and Sea Launch 9% (Figure
48). For non-GTO, Boeing launched 35% of
the total commercial mass launched followed
by Starsem (34%) or about six metric tons
each. Kosmotras and AKO Polyot launched
Launchers
Commercial
Non-Commercial
Number of Launches
Russia 12 14
26
USA 3
16
19
China 0 10
10
Europe 6 0
6
India 1 2
3
Japan 0 2
2
Multinational 1
0
1
Israel 0 1
1
Total 23 45
68
Table 9 Worldwide orbital events per country/entity in 2007
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
La
unc
he
d
m
a
s
s
i
n
K
g
Ru
ssi
a
US
A
Eu
ro
pe
C
hin
a
Mu
lti
nat
io
nal
Jap
an
Indi
a
Is
rael
Commercial mass
Non-commecial mass
86
Report 15, September 2008
19% and 9% respectively of the commercial
mass to non-GTO (Figure 48).
Launch contracts awarded in 2007
An estimated 37 contracts for geostationary
communications satellites were signed in
2007.
249
The main actors in this domain were
Arianespace, International Launch Services
(ILS) and Sea Launch (Figure 49).
250
249
This total includes the two 5-satellite framework
contract signed by both Arianespace and ILS with SES.
250
Boeing is the majority shareholder (40%) of Sea
Launch. Other partners include S. P. Korolev Rocket and
Space Corporation Energia of Russia (25%), Aker ASA of
In 2007, Arianespace confirmed its position
as the dominant commercial launch service
provider. Six successful Ariane 5 launches
were performed from Kourou as well as three
Soyuz launches from the Baikonur
Cosmodrome. In total, 21 payloads were put
into orbit by Arianespace in 2007. In
particular, Arianespace launched 12 of the 15
commercial communications satellites
launched into GEO; it orbited three satellites
originally planned for competitorâs launchers
as well. Its subsidiary, Starsem, conducted
Norway (20%), and SDO Yuzhnoye/NPO Yuzhmash of
Ukraine (15%).
53%
26%
13%
4%
4%
Russia
Europe
USA
Multinational
India
Figure 47 Worldwide commercial market shares per country/entity in 2007
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
L
a
u
n
c
h
ed
m
ass i
n
K
g
A rianespace
Starsem
ILS
Boeing
A KO Polyot
Kosmotras Sea Launch
ISRO
Mass in GTO
Mass in non-GTO
Figure 48 Estimate of the commercial mass launched per launch services providers per orbits in 2007
87
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
three successful launches orbiting nine
satellites (eight satellites for the Globalstar
constellation as well as the Radarsat-2
satellite).
In 2007, Arianespace won 13 new âService
and Solutionsâ contracts for launches into
geostationary orbit and two contracts to orbit
24 satellites for the Globalstar constellation
for four Soyuz launches, as well as four Elisa
(ELectronic Intelligence by SAtellite) satellites
which will be launched as auxiliary
passengers on the launch of the first Pleiades
satellite in late 2009. Due to its dense launch
order book, seven to eight Ariane 5 are
planned to be launched in 2008, including the
first Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV) âJules
Verneâ launched on 9 March 2008. The same
launch rate is expected for 2009 by which
time Soyuz and Vega will start commercial
services from the CSG.
251
In June 2008,
Ariane 5 recorded its 25
th
straight launch
success.
While ILS planned to launch up to six satellites
in 2007 pending satellite delivery schedules, it
only launched three satellites successfully last
year (Anik F3, Direct TV and SIRIUS-4). This
limited number of launches was due to the
fact that ILS suffered a launch failure on 6
September 2007 (JCSAT-11) due to damaged
wiring harness. ILSâs launcher, the Proton
launch vehicle, was consequently grounded for
almost two months in the fall of 2007.
251
Arianespace will act as launch services operator of the
Vega launcher for five consecutive launches following the
qualification flight within the framework of the Vega
Research and Technology Accompaniment (VERTA)
programme decided at the 2005 ESA Council Meeting at
Ministerial Level.
In its first year as an independent company
marketing to commercial satellite operators
the Proton Breeze M vehicle from the
Baikonur Cosmodrome,
252
ILS signed 17
launches including a five-launch agreement
with SES.
253
ILS reportedly received 1.5
billion U.S dollars in new launch orders in
2007 and was expected to conduct seven to
eight missions in 2008 and in 2009. However,
an anomaly on 15 March 2008 left an SES
Americom AMC-14 spacecraft in an incorrect
orbit when the Proton's Breeze M upper stage
shut down prematurely.
254
This incident
might hurt ILS business in 2008 as the
Proton was grounded again for an extensive
amount of time, barely three months after its
return to service.
In 2007, Sea Launch conducted only one
launch. This launch was unsuccessful and
resulted in the loss of the NSS-8 satellite for
SES New Skies on 30 January 2007.
Consequently, the 25
th
mission of Sea Launch
was delayed for almost a year until 15
January 2008 due also to satellite delays, as
well as difficult conditions in the Pacific
Ocean. As a result of this accident, Sea
Launch entered into an agreement with the
satellite operator SES which owns SES New
252
ILS expects to inaugurate a second commercial Proton-
M launch pad at the Baikonur Cosmodrome in 2008.
253
Arianespace that has been awarded the same type of
contract by SES put only 2 satellites of its contract in its
2007 order book.
254
After studying potential options to raise the satellite's
orbit and get some useful life out of the spacecraft, SES
Americom declared the satellite a total loss and filed a
claim with insurers. AMC-14 will not be replaced and the
contract between SES and EchoStar for the satellite has
been cancelled. The satellite was subsequently sold to the
U.S. Department of Defence.
43%
46%
5%
3%
3%
Arianespace
International Launch Services
Sea Launch
China Great W all Industry Corporation
SpaceX
Figure 49 Worldwide shares of GEO orders signed per launch services providers in 2007
88
Report 15, September 2008
Skies to use the land launch (using a Zenit-
3SLB vehicle) initially slated to launch the
AMC-21 commercial satellite for the launch of
another satellite for the SES group.
255
Land
Launch, which is a joint venture of Boeing-led
Sea Launch and Space International Services
entered into service on 28 April 2008 with the
successful launch of Amos 3.
Sea Launch signed two contracts in 2007
compared to five satellites orders in 2006,
and expects to conduct five missions in
2008.
256
A newcomer in the commercial launch
services provider market is China Great Wall
Industry Corporation (CGWIC) which signed
one contract to launch communications
satellite to GEO in 2007. The Palapa-D
communications satellites for PT Indosat, to
be built by Thales Alenia Space, will be
launched in late 2009 aboard a Chinese Long
March 3 B rocket.
257
Chinaâs Long March is
currently barred from launching satellites
with critical U.S. components. It can only
launch a limited number of payloads.
However, a continuing supply shortage may
help it to gain market share in the open
market.
Finally, Space Exploration Technologies
Corporation (SpaceX) which is developing the
Falcon series of launch vehicles (Falcon 1, 5
and 9) signed a contract with the UK-based
Avanti Communications Group (Avanti) in
2007 for the launch of Avantiâs HYLAS
satellite to GTO on board a SpaceX Falcon
9.
258
Up to three additional satellite launches
are included in the contract signed on 14
September 2007.
Despite the successful year in terms of
orders, with launch failures occurring at two
of the three principal commercial launch
services providers in 2007 (Sea Launch and
ILS), there is now more pressure on the
launch services providers with respect to
their agenda for 2008, as there are no
alternative near-term launch options.
Moreover, in a tight market, the recent
failure of Proton M breeze (the third in two
years), as well as the Zenit 3SL failure in
early 2007 are raising questions about
255
AMC-21 is now planned to be launched by Arianespace
onboard an Ariane 5.
256
Due to logistical constraints linked to the length of the
voyage of the Pacific Ocean floating platform, Sea Launch
is limited to 6 launches in a given year.
257
Thales Alenia Space has developed a product line
(Spacebus 4000) that is devoid of U.S. parts that require
U.S. State Department export approval (so-called ITAR-
free platform).
258
Of the seven Falcon 9 launches this is the first
commercial geostationary order.
systemic problems affecting Russian-
Ukrainian launchers. Those difficulties for Sea
Launch and ILS have consequently led
Arianespace to take the lionâs share of the
orders of launch contracts for commercial
geostationary-orbit satellites in 2007. It is,
however, of vital importance to ensure the
reliability of Arianespaceâs fleet to secure
continued commercial success as new players
are entering the market.
In this context of shortage of reliable access
to space, 2007 saw a continuing trend of
price increases in the launch sector, partially
due to higher costs of raw materials and
production (particularly in Russia and
Ukraine). A spike in helium prices is also
hitting the launch systems industry due to an
increase in gas prices as the users of helium
increase, particularly, for scientific research
to make, for instance, semiconductors, flat-
panel displays, fibre optics etc. Consequently,
prices for launch providers have now almost
returned to the level similar to the one prior
to the satellite market collapse a decade ago.
Furthermore, with the satellite orders
expected to remain strong in the immediate
future, there might be a shortage of available
launch slots which could lead to higher
prices. However, a continuing supply
shortage could help Chinaâs Long March to
return to the open commercial market as well
as Boeingâs Delta 4 and Lockheed Martinâs
Atlas V. Japanâs Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
(MHI) that markets the H-2A rocket also
expects to win its first commercial satellite to
be launched by 2009,
259
and India is
confirming its entry in the sector.
A new emerging trend in the commercial
launch sector is the framework contract
signed in June 2007 by SES separately with
both ILS and Arianespace for a batch of five
slots to launch SES satellites on ILSâ Proton
Breeze M vehicles, and Arianespaceâs Ariane
5 and Soyuz launchers between 2009 and
2013. The flights will be available to SES
operating companies (SES Americom, SES
Astra, SES New Skies and SES Sirius). This
innovative multi-buy contract gives SES
flexibility in terms of matching payloads and
launch periods to meet its future deployment
needs. These multi-launch agreements
ensure, in particular, that each SES satellite
will have a primary as well as a back-up
vehicle each with two launch slots. Those
agreements reportedly grant attractive terms
and conditions for SES
260
but represent the
259
MHI was chosen by the Japanese government in 2002
to operate the H-2 fleet following the privatisation of the
project. H-2A launches have all been institutional ones
260
Financial details were not disclosed by SES, ILS or
Arianespace.
89
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Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
USA
37%
Others
11%
Germany
3%
Russia
15%
Japan
6%
Canada
2%
Italy
2%
India
4%
Saudi A rabia
5%
Multinational
5%
United Kingdom
2%
China
8%
largest single launch services contract for
both Arianespace and ILS, however, with
lower price for each launch.
5.7.2 Satellite manufacturing sector
Space-based communications is the most
mature market of all space applications and
constitutes the core business for the satellite
manufacturers (Cf. Chapter 2). The health of
the commercial satellite communications
market thus determines to a great extent the
sustainability of the space industry. However,
the definition of what constitutes a
commercial satellite, or even what
constitutes a new satellite remain subject to
debate and can lead to major differences in
the results obtained by different studies.
Nonetheless, a look at the satellite
manufacturing market share of the
geostationary communications satellites
ordered for a particular year is a good proxy
to assess the vitality of a domestic space
industry, as it reflects its competitiveness in
the most lucrative segment of the satellite
manufacturing market.
2007 results
A total of 115 payloads were launched in
2007,
261
(compared to 101 in 2006) with 27%
being commercial (compared to 23% in 2006).
261
When including human spaceflight payloads and the
failures, a total of 123 payloads were launched in 2007.
262
The âothers categoryâ is made of Argentina, Australia,
China/Brazil, Colombia, Egypt, ESA, Indonesia, Israel,
Luxembourg, Nigeria, Sweden and USA/Italy. Each
launched one spacecraft into space in 2007.
The United States was the leader in the
number of payloads manufactured and
launched in 2007, with about 38% of all
payloads launched (Figure 50). Russia
manufactured about 15% of all payloads
launched, followed by Europe which
manufactured 12 payloads launched in 2007
(Figure 50). China had an 8% share of
payloads launched (Figure 50).
Out of the 27 commercial payloads launched
in 2007, 14 aimed at geostationary orbit and
13 at other orbits. When looking at the
performances per satellite manufacturer,
Space Systems/Loral (SS/L) was particularly
active in 2007 as well as Lockheed Martin
with eight and seven payloads respectively
manufactured launched in 2007 (Figure 51).
They were followed by Boeing with six
payloads (Figure 51).
In the domain of commercial satellite
manufactured, the United States was the
leader with nine U.S.-built satellites launched
into geostationary orbit (64% of market
shares). Europe had about 29% market
shares of all commercial satellites
manufactured with three satellites built by
Thales Alenia Space and one by EADS
Astrium. In 2007, China manufactured a
commercial satellite confirming its increasing
involvement in the domain.
Figure 50 Estimated shares of missions launched in 2007 per country/entity
262
90
Report 15, September 2008
Satellite contracts awarded in 2007
2007 was a solid year in terms of orders.
High-definition television and satellite mobile
communications continued to drive the core
of the new orders. According to company
announcements and industry officials, 25 firm
geostationary-orbiting communications
satellites were ordered in 2007.
The U.S. manufacturers won, in 2007, 14
contracts for geostationary communications
satellites, 11 being commercial (Table 10).
Europe followed with eight contracts, all
commercial ones. China won two contracts
and Israel one (Table 10).
In 2007, 20 commercial GEO communications
satellites were ordered. Orbital Sciences Corp
(OSC) was the leader with five orders, four
being domestic (Figure 52). SS/L had four
firm orders, 75% being domestic. The
European âprimesâ (EADS Astrium, Thales
Alenia Space) together had eight firm orders
with five orders coming from outside Europe
demonstrating the competitiveness of their
products and services (Figure 52). Despite
the entry of new actors from the âSouthâ in
this market, European and U.S. companies
are still the leaders of the commercial
satellite manufacturing market.
Last year, five GEO non-commercial
communications satellites were ordered, with
three orders from the United States and two
from China (Figure 53). Like in 2006, no
single manufacturer was able to win a non-
commercial GEO communications satellite
outside its captive domestic market.
In 2007, OSC was the overall world leader in
terms of GEO communications satellites
orders with five orders; it was followed by
SS/L and Boeing both with four orders
(Figure 54). Thales Alenia Space had seven
orders, but this total includes five satellites to
Companies from countries having
won contracts
Commercial
Non-commercial
USA 11
3
Europe 8
0
Israel 1
0
China 0
2
Total 20
5
0
5
10
15
20
25
N
u
m
b
er
o
f m
a
n
u
fa
c
tu
red
sa
te
ll
it
e
s
la
unc
he
d
Ba
ll A
er
os
pac
e
Bo
ein
g
EA
D
S
As
tri
um
IA
I
IS
R
O
Loc
kh
ee
d
Ma
rti
n
M
its
ubi
sh
i
N
or
thr
op G
rum
m
an
Or
bi
ta
l S
C
Spe
ct
ru
m
A
st
ro
SS
/L
Su
rre
y
Tha
le
s A
leni
a
Spa
ce
O
ther
A
m
er
ic
as
O
ther
A
si
a/M
E
O
ther
E
ur
op
e
O
ther
R
us
si
a
Ot
her
U
S
Commercial
Non-commercial
Figure 51 Satellites launched in 2007 per manufacturer and commercial status
(Source Futron)
Table 10 Total firm GEO communication satellite orders in 2007 per country/entity
91
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
be developed by EADS as co-prime. EADS
had six orders (including five satellites to be
developed jointly with Thales Alenia Space)
(Figure 54). Finally, Lockheed Martin, CAST
and IAI had four orders in total last year. In
2007, the continuing trend witnessed in
recent years continued as the two-largest
space hardware manufacturer Boeing and
Lockheed Martin were not very active in the
commercial market (only one order each),
focusing their efforts on the U.S.
governmental market.
It is expected that strong demand for Mobile
Satellite Services (MSS) applications as well
as broadband and broadcasting services will
drive the market in the coming years.
However, unlike satellite operators and
launch providers, satellite manufacturers
have continued to be hurt from downward
price pressure. The satellite manufacturing
industry has suffered from substantial
overcapacity worldwide for a number of
years, resulting not only in extreme
competitive pressure on pricing terms and
0
1
2
3
4
5
N
u
m
b
e
r of
o
rde
rs
EA
D
S
As
tri
um
Th
al
es
A
le
ni
a S
pac
e
EA
D
S/T
hal
es
Bo
ein
g
Loc
kh
eed M
ar
tin
O
SC
SS
L/
L
CA
S
T
IA
I
Domestic order
Non-domestic order
Figure 52 Commercial GEO satellite orders in 2007 per manufacturers
0
1
2
3
N
u
m
b
e
r of
or
de
rs
EA
D
S
As
tri
um
Th
al
es
A
le
ni
a
Sp
ace
EA
D
S/
Th
al
es
Boe
ing
Loc
kh
ee
d
Ma
rtin
OS
C
SS
/L
CA
S
T
IAI
Domestic order
Non-domestic order
Figure 53 Non-commercial GEO satellite orders in 2007 per manufacturers
92
Report 15, September 2008
other material contractual terms, but also on
the allocation of risks between the
manufacturer and its customers. Buyers, as a
result, have had the advantage over suppliers
in negotiating prices, terms and condition
resulting in reduced margins. The recent
trend of industry consolidation has resulted in
the formation of satellite operators with
greater satellite resources and increased
coverage consequently leading to reduced
demand for new satellite construction due to
a rationalisation of the capacity available in
certain geographic regions. Furthermore, it
has also resulted in the increasing
âbargaining powerâ in the hand of large
customers which could increase pressure on
pricing and other contractual terms.
263
In this overall context, EADS and Thales
Alenia Space were particularly successful in
2007 in gaining orders outside the European
market, demonstrating the competitiveness
of Europeâs industry. However, the
performance of European manufacturers is
dependent on their abilities to generate a
sustainable order rate and to continue to
increase their backlog. Moreover, the
increasingly unfavourable dollar-euro
exchange rate may erode the future market
share of European manufacturers, as most
prices are fixed in U.S. dollars and the costs
263
For instance, the satellite-fleet operator SES Global
signed an agreement in May 2007 with OSC that calls for
four or five communications satellites to be delivered at a
rate of one per year starting in late 2009 as part of SES
fleet expansion.
are in euros. A potential solution for
European manufacturers is therefore to
increase purchases in the dollar zone and
low-cost countries, and expand cooperation
with manufacturers in emerging markets.
However, while European manufacturers
benefit from current U.S. legislation (as U.S.
satellite manufacturers must contend with
export control regulations which put them at
a relative disadvantage when competing on
the open commercial market), increasing
competition from emerging low-cost
competitors from India, Russia and China is
expected in the near future.
5.7.3 Satellite operators
Space-based communications in 2007
continued to be a major source of revenues
for the space industry (Cf. Chapter 2). The
economic activity generated by satellite
services goes well beyond the segment
considered. The most established sector of
the satellite industry is the Fixed Satellite
Services (FSS) sector made up of operators
which lease the capacity of their GEO
satellites for voice and data communications
to commercial and governmental
customers.
264
The FSS segment is therefore
one of the main drivers of the space industry,
both for the satellite manufacturing segment
and for launch services.
264
Television is the principal driver for growth in this
segment.
0
1
2
3
4
5
N
u
m
b
e
r of
or
de
rs
EA
DS
A
st
riu
m
Th
ale
s A
le
ni
a
Sp
ac
e
EA
DS
/T
ha
les
Bo
ei
ng
Lo
ck
he
ed
M
ar
tin
O
SC
SS
/L
CA
ST
IA
I
Commercial
Non-commercial
Figure 54 GEO commercial and non-commercial satellite orders won in 2006 per satellite manufacturers
93
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
In 2007, according to Space News, the
hierarchy of the Top FSS operators evolved
with SES taking the first place in front of
Intelsat and Eutelsat (Table 11). Behind this
trio, there is an important quantitative gap
with other FSS operators having only
between three and twelve satellites in orbit
compared to 37 for SES, 54 for Intelsat and
24 for Eutelsat (Table 11). With the purchase
by Loral Skynet of Telesat Canada, Telesat
has now confirmed its position as the worldâs
fourth-largest satellite fleet owner (Table 11).
The Top 3 FSS operators generated 64% of
all revenues generated by the FSS operators
in 2007 (5.81 billion U.S. dollars), 52% of all
satellites in orbits and 38% of the satellites
on order (Table 11).
265
âTop Fixed Satellite Service Operators.â Space News
19.26 (30 June 2008): 12.
Asia now has ten operators in the Top 25,
followed by Europe with seven operators and
North America with three. With the mergers
and consolidations which occurred in spring
2008, the hierarchy is expected to change
next year. The strong performance of
European actors in this sector has however to
be stressed and demonstrates the
competitiveness of the European space
industry.
Table 11 Top 10 FSS operators in 2007 (adapted from Space News)
265
* Includes co-owned satellites
Rank
Company
Country
2007 revenue in
million U.S.
dollars
Satellites in
orbit
Satellites
on Order
1
SES Luxembourg
2370
37*
9*
2
Intelsat Bermuda/USA
2200
54*
4*
3
Eutelsat France
1240
24*
6
4
Telesat Canada
Canada
684.7
12
3
5
JSAT Corp.
Japan
347.4
8*
3*
6
Star One
Brazil
207.4
7*
0
7
Hispasat Spain
188.6
3
1
8
Singtel Optus
Australia
172.2
4
1
9
Russian Satellite
Communications Co.
Russia 161 11 3
10
Space
Communications
Corp.
Japan 151.4 4 1
94
Report 15, September 2008
Chapter 6 â The defence perspective
Space assets are increasingly being
recognised as a central element of modern
armed forces.
266
In 2007/2008, the
militarisation of outer space broadened, as a
growing number of countries, and not only
the six space powers (Cf. Chapter 3), are
committing efforts to obtain dedicated
military systems (be it reconnaissance and
communications satellites), or âmulti-purpose
assetsâ particularly in the field of Earth
observation. Furthermore, civilian capacities
are increasingly being used by military
stakeholders, particularly civilian
communications bandwidths or commercial
imagery.
Any analysis of governmental activities in the
space security field is limited by the public
information available. The classified nature of
many of the existing systems and the
absence of details for some of the known
programmes complicates attempts to provide
accurate depictions of the level of efforts
made by various stakeholders. The data and
analysis presented in this section should
therefore be regarded as descriptive of
general trends.
6 . 1 R e c e n t t r e n d s i n
m i l i t a r y e x p e n d i t u r e
According to the Stockholm International
Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) global
military spending reached an estimated 1339
billion U.S. dollars in 2007, which is a 135
billion U.S. dollars increase compared to
2006, and a 45% increase since 1998.
267
The
combination of rising world market prices of
natural resources and particularly of minerals
and fossil fuels aided the upward military
spending trend. Other factors like countriesâ
foreign policy objectives, participation in
multilateral peacekeeping operations and
existing threats explain this increase.
266
The terms âmilitaryâ and âsecurityâ are used
interchangeably in the text as beyond semantic differences
the use of space assets for military or security purposes
overlap considerably.
267
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.
âYearbook 2008: Armaments, Disarmament and
International Securityâ Executive Summary. 9 June 2008:
11.
World military expenditures, like the space
sector, are unevenly distributed between
regions and countries, with the Top 15
countries having the highest military
spending accounting to about 83% of the
world total in 2007 (Table 12). The Americas
is the region having the biggest military
expenditure followed distantly by Europe,
Asia and Oceania. The United States is the
biggest spender on military items and
accounts for 45% of the world total, followed
by the United Kingdom, China, France and
Japan with 4 to 5% each (Table 12). Despite
the overall stability compared to 2006,
certain modifications to the Top 15 from
previous years need to be underlined. While
the United States is still, by far, the biggest
spender, China has now overtaken France in
the third position; Saudi Arabia has done the
same with Italy in the eighth position. Brazil
also climbed in the hierarchy from the 14
th
to
the 12
th
position overtaking Australia and
Canada. Brazil is now the second-ranking
military spender in the Americas (Table 12)
Rank
Country
World Spending
Share (%)
1 USA
45
2 UK
5
3 China
5
4 France
4
5 Japan
4
6 Germany
3
7 Russia
3
8 Saudi
Arabia
3
9 Italy
3
10 India
2
11 South
Korea
2
12 Brazil
1
13 Canada
1
14 Australia
1
15 Spain
1
Other countries
17
Table 12 World defence expenditure per country in 2007
(Source SIPRI)
6 . 2 G l o b a l s p a c e
m i l i t a r y c o n t e x t
Like the world military expenditures,
spending on military space activities are very
unevenly distributed between countries. Only
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European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
Russia
USA
China
Germany
Italy
UK
Japan
Israel
Re
co
nn
ais
sa
nc
e
El
ec
tro
nic
S
ur
ve
illa
nc
e
Co
m
mu
nic
at
ion
s
Oc
ea
n s
ur
ve
illa
nc
e
Ea
rly
W
ar
nin
g
Na
vig
at
ion
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
N
u
m
b
e
r of
pa
y
loa
ds
la
unc
he
d
a limited number of countries invest a
substantial amount of money in military
space activities.
268
The United States is the
clear leader in this domain in terms of public
funding allocated to security-related space
activities (Cf. Chapter 2) and despite the
increasing number of space military actors,
the leadership of the United States according
to the military space budget criterion is
unlikely to be challenged in the near future.
While Russia and China are modernising and
upgrading their military space assets, their
capabilities as well as financial support are no
match to the United States.
269
Other
countries investing significantly in space-
security activities include Canada in North
America; Argentina and Brazil in South
America; China, India, Japan, South Korea
and Russia in Asia; Iran, Israel and Turkey in
the Middle East and Belgium, France,
Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain, Sweden and
the United Kingdom in Europe.
In 2007, 32 dedicated military spacecraft or
explicitly recognised âdual-useâ satellites
have been launched in space representing
26% of all payloads launched in space that
year. This is an increase from 2006 where
only 18 military-related payloads were
268
Tracking space military-related budget is difficult due to
the absence of distinct budget items in the various national
budgets or the fact that large portion of those budgets are
classified.
269
Analysing however the size of the overall
military/intelligence activities for Russia and China is
extremely difficult.
launched in space. Like in 2006, eight
countries launched dedicated space military
assets. However, from one year to the next
only China, Germany, Japan, Russia and the
United States launched at least one military
spacecraft in 2006 and 2007. Moreover, no
new country launched dedicated military
space assets in orbit in 2007.
When comparing the levels of activity country
by country in 2007, Russia was again the
worldâs leader in military space activities
according to the number of payloads
launched with 11 satellites (Figure 55). It
was followed by the United States with eight
spacecraft, Europe with six satellites and
China with four military satellites. Japan
launched two security-related satellites and
Israel one (Figure 55).
Russia and the United States were the actors
having the biggest variety of different assets
launched in space (Figure 55). China was the
only other actor having different types of
military assets launched to space
(reconnaissance and navigation satellites)
(Figure 55). Europe when taken has a whole
(Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom)
launched two types of military assets as well
Figure 55 Military spacecraft launched in 2007 per country
96
Report 15, September 2008
(reconnaissance satellites and communi-
cations satellites) (Figure 55).
Military navigation satellites were the most-
frequently launched type of spacecraft in
space in 2007 (11 spacecraft), but only by
three countries (Russia, the United States
and China), while ten reconnaissance
spacecraft were launched from six countries
(Russia, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Israel)
(Figure 55). Five dedicated military
communications satellites were launched
from three countries (Russia, the United
States and the United Kingdom). The United
States and Russia were the only space actors
launching early warning satellites, Russia the
only one launching an electronic surveillance
satellite, and the United States two Ocean
surveillance satellites (Figure 55).
6 . 3 E u r o p e a n s p a c e
m i l i t a r y c o n t e x t
The positioning of Europe vis-Ă -vis military
space has been changing in recent months.
An increasing number of European countries
are acknowledging the strategic character of
space for military and security activities. The
importance of space in the European security
arena is therefore increasingly being
recognised by policymakers, as illustrated by
the inclusion in the May 2007 European
Space Policy of a chapter dedicated to
âsecurity and defenceâ. However, while this
document was backed by 29 European
countries, only a limited number of European
countries are involved in military space, far
less than in civilian space activities.
6.3.1 National initiatives
European national space projects related to
security are limited in size (only eight
countries are involved substantially in
military space: Belgium, France, Germany,
Greece, Italy, Spain, Sweden and the United
Kingdom) and scope (European activities do
not focus on tactical applications). The
amount of public funding spent on military
space activities in Europe are rather modest
and only represent about 17% of the total
European spending on space affairs in 2007
with an estimated 1.103 billion euro (Cf.
Chapter 4), about 20 times less than the U.S.
investment in military space.
270
270
According to the latest data from the European Defence
Agency (EDA) the total expenditure of its 26 member
Sates in the complete spectrum of defence activities were
201 billion euros or 412 euros per capita in 2006 compared
to 491 billion euros and 1640 euros per capita in the
United States.
Consequently, due to their limited investment
in military space infrastructure, European
actors depend heavily on civilian and
commercial space systems to support their
military and security activities for technical
and historical reasons.
271
France has been the historical European
leader of military space activities. However, it
has in recent years reduced its efforts and
financial support to this type of space
activities (Cf. Chapter 4). Nonetheless, while
France did not launch dedicated military
space assets in 2007/2008, on 11 February
2008, the French President, Nicolas Sarkozy,
gave a structuring policy speech in which he
stressed that the highest French authorities
recognise space assets as critical and
strategic. He expressed his wish to
significantly increase Franceâs national space
defence budget (Cf. Chapter 3). President
Sarkozy underlined the importance of space
in a national and European defence policy
context, but also to support Europeâs
autonomous decision-making capabilities and
as a significant building block of the European
Security and Defence Policy (ESDP). The
main programmatic elements highlighted in
his speech were the establishment of MUSIS
(six member states cooperating for the
common development of a future space-
based reconnaissance satellite system) and
space surveillance activities. President
Sarkozy also mentioned the principles of self-
defence and the importance of access to
space and satellite integrity.
Subsequently, the French White Paper on
defence and national security presented on
17 June 2008, underlined Franceâs plans to
greatly expand its military space capabilities
as part of a move to reinforce its
reconnaissance/intelligence capabilities over
the next 15 years (Cf. Chapter 3).
272
Annual
space spending is prognosticated to double
from the current level out of a total of 377
billion euro earmarked to be spent on
defence from 2009 until 2020.
273
A Joint
Space Command for military oversight to be
implemented and managed by the French Air
Force and placed under the authority of the
Chairman of the Joint Defence Staff has been
created. The main focus of the space effort as
outlined in the White Paper will be to develop
new operational capabilities to fill existing
gaps and ensure the continuity and
271
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007.
272
This in-depth review of the French defence policy
supersedes the last exercise from 1994.
273
The White Paper recommendations are expected to be
transformed into a new five year spending plan for 2009-13
in fall 2008.
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modernisation of observation and
communications satellites. One of the new
projects is Ceres, a signal intelligence
(SIGNIT) constellation drawing on the
experience from Elint. Another project is an
early warning satellite system to protect
against intermediate ballistic missiles,
building upon the forthcoming Spirale
system. Space situational awareness (SSA) is
also a major new programmatic develop-
ment. Furthermore, despite these plans, it
was underlined that like all its EU partners,
France opposes the weaponisation of space
and will continue its diplomatic efforts in
favour of the demilitarisation of space (see
below).
In Germany, the increasing interest in mili-
tary space activities over recent years is
illustrated by the growing budget allocated to
security-related space activities (cf. Chapter
4). Germany launched two reconnaissance
synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellites
(SAR-Lupe 2 and 3) in 2007 (Figure 55).
274
In
March 2008, the fourth SAR-Lupe satellite
was also launched onboard a Kosmos-3M.
Finally, the last satellite in this constellation
(SAR-Lupe 5) was launched in July 2008.
German military authorities have also
ordered study contracts on a next-generation
reconnaissance system. Furthermore,
SATCOMBW 2a and 2b, two military
communication satellites (SHF/UHF bands)
will be launched onboard an Ariane 5 in the
coming months. The developments of these
dedicated military capabilities underline the
recent paradigm change in military and
political circles, reversing the longstanding
German position.
In 2007, the United Kingdom launched two
dedicated communications satellites (Skynet
5A and 5B) and a third one in 2008 (Skynet
5C). Skynet 5 is the programme used to
update the British Ministry of Defenceâs
satellite communication capability. The
operator for the programme is Paradigm
Secure Communications (a company entirely
owned by EADS) through a Private Financing
Initiative (PFI) model.
275
Britain has up-to-
now preferred to rely on privileged access to
U.S. assets for intelligence purposes with the
notable exception of communications.
274
OHB System, the satellite manufacturer, signed a
contract with Germanyâs Federal Office of Defence
Technology and Procurement (BWB) for about 350 million
euros for the construction, launch and operation of the
constellation. It also features an obligation by OHB to
provide imagery within? 24 hours of the order for a 10-year
duration.
275
Astrium Services is free to sell un-used capacity on the
Skynet 5 satellites to other customers. For instance it has
booked orders from among others Canada, NATO, the
Netherlands and Portugal.
However, the increasing realisation of the
importance of space is causing military
planners to reassess UKâs position with the
consideration to procure a satellite
technology SAR demonstrator drawing on the
experience of the demonstration satellite
TopSat. Furthermore, the revision of the
Defence Industrial Strategy (DSI), referred to
as DIS 2.0, is expected to include a chapter
on space.
276
Italy launched two dual-use X-band radar
satellites COSMO-SkyMed on 7 June and 6
December 2007 (Figure 55). Italy is also
planning to launch its new military
communications satellite (SICRAL 1B) in the
second half of 2008. Furthermore,
demonstrating the increasing cooperation
with France, a Letter of Intent (LOI) for the
Ka-band French-Italian dual-use satellite,
ATHENA-FIDUS was signed during the
Franco-Italian summit in Nice (France) on 30
November 2007. The joint programme would
be used for two-way military and non-military
broadband communications. The Italian
Space Agency (ASI) and the Defence Ministry
also started to define a second generation of
Italian Earth observation which would be
lighter, but possess the same radar
performance capacity.
While Spain already has its own dedicated
military communications satellites (Spainsat
launched in March 2006) and uses backup
capability with XTAR-EUR (launched in 2005),
the Spanish government is also considering
the development of dedicated reconnaissance
satellites. Spain is already involved in the
French-led Helios 2 satellite, but it has
decided to build its own high resolution radar
(Paz) and medium resolution optical satellite
(Ingenio) for military and civil security
applications. Both are scheduled to be
launched in 2012.
Despite these national developments, as no
single European country can afford to
independently develop a wide range of space
assets like the United States and Russia,
European countries are realising that they
need to pool resources and rationalise
investments. However, while Europe has
significant assets in security-related space
activities, its current generation of military or
dual-use satellites has been designed
independently with limited operability.
276
The first DIS was adopted in 2005 and provided for the
first time a policy framework for how government and
industry should meet the needs of the frontline and
provided a strategic view of each sector of the defence
industry. The soon-to-be released DIS 2.0 will emphasise
flexibility, agility and responsiveness to the needs of the
Armed Forces.
98
Report 15, September 2008
Nonetheless, efforts of coordination, har-
monisation and consolidation are currently
on-going. As aforementioned, Italy and
France are cooperating to develop a dual-use
communications satellite called ATHENA-
FIDUS. Furthermore, MUSIS, or MUltinational
Space-based Imagery System, is intended to
ensure that the next generation of European
reconnaissance satellites is designed to have
a common ground segment. Six countries are
cooperating on this project. Current efforts
are also on-going to coordinate SSA.
6.3.2 European Union level
At the EU-level initiatives, space is now
increasingly recognised to be an âenablerâ,
which can support EUâs Common Foreign and
Security Policy (CFSP) and European Security
and Defence Policy (ESDP).
277
In particular,
GMES and Galileo are the two programmes
having a clear mandate to support these
overarching policies. The EU also has two
dedicated agencies carrying out tasks in the
context of space and security: the European
Union Satellite Centre (EUSC) and the
European Defence Agency (EDA).
278
The EU Satellite Centre based in Torrejon
(Spain) aims to support the decision-making
of the EU in the domains of the CFSP and
ESDP by providing products and services
resulting from Earth observation imagery,
among others. It gives supports to EU
deployed operations and humanitarian aid
missions, as well as peacekeeping missions,
but is also involved in contingency planning
and periodical monitoring tasks. The EUSC is
involved in reflections on GMES security
domains. Moreover, as stated in its 2008
annual work programme, the specific short-
term objectives of the EUSC are to improve
access to new sources for both commercial
and non-commercial data and foster
workforce development, but also develop new
services and products like 3D maps. It will
also seek to strengthen working relations
with the Commission and others institutions
such as EDA, ESA, UN, NATO, etc.
279
277
Peter, Nicolas. âThe EUâs Emergent Space Diplomacy.â
Space Policy 23.2 (May 2007): 97-107.
278
Other EU agencies are involved in security issues and
rely on space-based info such as FRONTEX (European
Agency for the Management of Operational Cooperation at
the External Borders of the Member States of the
European Union) and the EMSA (European Maritime
Safety Agency) or on policy studies (EU-ISS).
279
A long term work programme 2009-2010 has also been
detailed. It unfolds several areas of activities and
development: products and services, stakeholder
engagement, processes and procedures, personnel and
organisation, information technology systems, training and
infrastructure.
The EDA based in Brussels (Belgium) is
designed to support the Council as well as the
EU member States in their efforts to improve
European defence capabilities in the field of
crisis management and to sustain the ESDP.
It is in charge of defence capability
development, armaments cooperation,
research and technology (R&T), as well as
defence technology and industrial base.
280
The EDA has also been progressively
encroaching more and more space activities,
in particular, satellite communications
(SATCOM), maritime surveillance and
intelligence surveillance-reconnaissance (ISR)
activities. This has been followed by the
endorsement of the 2007 European Space
Policy by all EU member States calling, in
particular, for increasing cooperation between
ESA and EDA in the field of space and
security. Consequently, the first official
meeting between the heads of these agencies
occurred in January 2008. Moreover, on
EDAâs 2008 work programme, several topics
are related to space such as SATCOM, which
aims to establish a pilot EU commercial
satcom cell in the short term, and draft
Common Staff Requirements for the next
generation of military communications
satellites in the long-term. The TIES (Tactical
Imagery Exploitation Station) is another
project in EDAâs work plan linked to space. It
is a workstation for imagery analysis, capable
of receiving imagery data in different formats
and fusing them into usable and workable
intelligence product. TIES is intended to
support EU operations and deployment in the
future. The EDA is also getting involved in
space surveillance activities, with the aim to
develop a plan to assess the requirements
and options for space surveillance by early
2009. In this context, a dedicated workshop
was held in June 2008.
Illustrating the fact that space security in
Europe has become an issue of growing
interest, a series of high-level conferences
and reports have been taking place or
released in recent months. Furthermore, EUâs
member States are pursuing an initiative on
the elaboration of a Space Code of Conduct
on Outer Space Activities (hereinafter
referred to as Space CoC) (Cf. Chapter 3).
The Space CoC is the EUâs âconcrete
proposalâ reply to the United Nations General
Assembly (UNGA) Resolution 61/75 on
280
In recent months the EDA made progress in developing
and implementing long-term strategies and in particular the
Capability Development Plan (CDP), as well as the
implementation of the European Defence Technological
and Industrial Base Strategy, the development of a
European Defence Research and Technology Strategy
and a European Armaments Strategy.
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âTransparency and Confidence Building
Measures in Outer Space Activitiesâ.
281
It is
expected that the Space CoC could
strengthen existing agreements and codify
new best practices for a safe and secure use
of space. The discussions on a Space CoC
were initiated by Italy and further developed
during the German Presidency of the Council
of the European Union (first half of 2007) in
order to build consensus about an instrument
below treaty-level. The idea was generated
as an item of arms control.
282
However, the
concrete issues identified in the E-Task Force
under the Portuguese Presidency (second half
of 2007)
283
had a number of overlaps with
the civil use of outer space. The âEU Food for
Thought Document on a Comprehensive Code
of Conduct for Space Objectsâ initially put
forth was subsequently iterated from the end
of 2007 in COREU (CORespondance
EUropĂŠenne).
284
The General Principles of this
document are defined as follows:
â˘
Commitment to make progress towards
adherence to and full implementation of
the relevant existing treaties, Codes of
Conducts and guidelines regarding the
peaceful use of space;
â˘
Commitment to prevent space from
becoming an area of conflict, namely by
harmfully using space objects towards
other space objects;
â˘
Recognition that satellites and use of
space in general are essential to
safeguard national security and strategic
stability;
â˘
Commitment to resolve, by peaceful
means, through the formulation of
concrete proposals and in compliance
with the United Nations Charter, any
conflict created by actions in space.
The aim of this initiative is therefore to lower
the risks of misinterpretation of incidents
occurring in space, to avoid collisions and
deliberate explosions and to provide
reassurance through improved information
exchanges, transparency and notification
measures. From the very beginning, the EU
intended to elaborate an instrument open for
281
Resolution 61/75 invites all member States to submit to
the Secretary-General before its sixty-second session
concrete proposals on international outer space
transparency and confidence-building measures in the
interest of maintaining international peace and security and
promoting international cooperation and the prevention of
an arms race in outer space.
282
Paper of the Council Working Group on Global Arms
Control and Disarmament CODUN.
283
Portugal continued this work under the Slovenian
Presidency (first half of 2008).
284
The COREU is a communication network between the
member States and the European Commission for
cooperation in the fields of foreign policy.
adherence to all space-faring countries.
Moreover, after being sent to major space
powers for comments, the United Nations
Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer
Space (COPUOS) and the Conference on
Disarmament (CD) should thereafter be
consulted before the adoption of a final
resolution by the UNGA. The Space CoC is
currently in its final drafting stages in the EU
working group on UN Disarmament (CODUN).
6.3.3 European Space Agency
Following the evolution of ESAâs member
States vis-Ă -vis the Agencyâs position
regarding security activities, European
governments now agree that ESA may
develop systems and run space programmes,
which European institutions could use for
non-aggressive security activities.
285
This was
further agreed in the 2007 the European
Space Policy, which as aforementioned, calls
for greater cooperation between ESA and the
EDA.
In 2007/2008, ESA continued to be involved
in activities supporting synergies between
space and security such as GMES, Galileo and
communications activities. It is also
continuing its efforts in the domain of SSA. In
particular, ESA is pursuing an activity to
define the European need for a SSA
architecture as a first step towards its
realisation. ESA is also leading the
Heterogeneous Mission Accessibility (HMA)
project. HMA aims to establish a portal
facilitating uniform access to heterogeneous
Earth observation data from multiple
missions (including national missions and
future ESA Sentinel missions) through
standard interfaces for cataloguing, ordering,
mission planning and online data access.
6.3.4 Other European Institutions
Several parliamentarian initiatives dealt with
space security issues in 2007/2008
demonstrating that space is now recognised
at the political-level as an important asset for
Europe.
The European Parliamentâs Subcommittee on
Security and Defence (SEDE) responsible for
the CFSP and ESDP in the European
Parliament held a series of activities linked to
space security issues in recent months. A
study entitled âThe cost of non Europe in the
field of satellite based systemsâ was
requested by the European Parliament to the
Policy Department in the Directorate-General
285
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 88.
100
Report 15, September 2008
for External Policies (DG EXPO) and was
published on 18 December 2007. It states
that more cooperation is needed among
member States within the institutional
framework of the EU in order to improve
military, defence and security capabilities in
space. It examines the different aspects of
European space activities, and recommends
that security and defence be addressed
jointly to improve European security-related
space capabilities. Furthermore, in
recommendations to the European
Parliament, it mentions the importance to
increase military space spending, particularly
for space-based communications and Earth
observation as priorities, and finally suggests
that more institutional framework and
authority be developed within the EU.
286
On 14 February 2008, DG EXPO held a
workshop on âSpace Policy and the
European Security and Defence Policyâ on
behalf of the SEDE. It provided an occasion
to focus upon a report being developed by
the SEDE Chairman Karl von Wogau on the
ESDP and Space Policy. The workshop also
provided an opportunity to exchange views
on technology and policy in the European
space sector, and the relevance and impact
on ESDP. Then, on 14 April 2008 âThe
contribution of space assets to ESDPâ was a
Subcommittee meeting agenda item.
Several exchange of views occurred with the
Director of the EU Satellite Centre (EUSC) or
with the Executive Director of the European
GNSS Supervisory Authority (GSA).
However, the aforementioned âown-
initiativeâ report by the SEDE Chairman
entitled âDraft Report on the contribution of
space-supported systems to ESDPâ was
submitted to the Committee on Foreign
Affairs on 8 April 2008 and was
subsequently adopted by this committee on
3 June 2008. Members of the European
Parliament noted the need for a common
approach to defend European interests in
space. The âReport on space and securityâ
underlines the need for space assets in order
for the political and diplomatic activities of
the EU to be based on independent, reliable
and complete information. Furthermore,
while the European Parliament agrees that
the European space policy should not
support the weaponisation of space, it
nevertheless recognises the need for Galileo
to serve the EUâs defence and security,
which is a shift from its earlier stance on the
issue. The report also advocates the creation
of âan operational budget for space assets
286
Directorate General External Policies of the Union:
Policy Department External Policies. âStudy: The Cost of
Non Europe in the Field of Satellite Based Systems.â Dec.
2007.
and strongly favours putting space
operations under the Community
budgetâ.
287,288
In 2007/2008, the Assembly of the Western
European Union (WEU), which is an inter-
parliamentary security and defence assembly
that allows national parliamentarians to
monitor security and defence issues, released
in June 2008, a report through the
Technological and Aerospace Committee on
âSpace Systems for Europeâs Security: GMES
and Galileo - reply to the annual report of the
Councilâ.
289
Subsequently, a recommendation
was adopted unanimously during the 54
th
Plenary Session on 4 June 2008.
6 . 4 T h e U n i t e d S t a t e s
In 2007, the United States launched 25% of
all military satellites, without taking into
account several technology demonstration
projects. The United States launched two
communications satellites, two early warning
satellites, two navigation satellites and two
ocean surveillance satellites (Figure 55).
The United States is the country investing the
most in space including space-security
related activities (Cf. Chapter 2). The
unclassified budget for space programmes of
the U.S. Air Force (including R&D,
procurement and operations and
maintenance) reached about 11.3 billion U.S.
dollars for Fiscal Year 2008 (cf. Chapter 3).
However, the classified spending for other
DoD and National Reconnaissance Office
(NRO) space programmes is not publicly
released. In this context, in the Fiscal Year
2008 Defense Appropriation bill, the U.S.
Congress asked the DoD to develop a Major
Force Program (MFP) budget category which
would aggregate space spending in a single
budget line. Moreover, as the procurement of
future U.S. capabilities continues to be
plagued with difficulties, unclassified
appropriations for defence R&D and
procurement have shifted notably in
2007/2008. For instance, the funding for the
Air Forceâs Advanced Extremely High
Frequency (AEHF) programme has been
287
von Wogau, Karl. European Parliament. Committee on
Foreign Affairs. âReport on Space and security.â
(2008/2030(INI)) 10 June 2008.
288
The European Parliament adopted with a large majority
(483-99-20) on 10 July 2008 the report, effectively making
it a resolution.
289
The WEU is composed by the Council of the WEU and
the Assembly of the WEU. The Parliamentary Assembly
supervises the work of the Council, but it does not impose
any obligations on the Council as it is a consultative
institution.
101
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Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
drastically reduced. Furthermore, key sensors
have driven up the cost of the next
generation of U.S. polar-orbiting weather
satellites (the National Polar-orbiting
Environmental Satellite System or NPOESS)
causing the DoD to threaten to withhold its
share of programme funding in the joint U.S.
Air Force-NOAA programme.
290
However, the
Air Forceâs Operationally Responsive Space
programmes dedicated to tactical satellite
development and responsive lift has seen its
budget increase in the same period.
A Panel was congressionally mandated as
part of the 2007 Defense Authorization Bill to
assess the organisation and management of
U.S. national space security due to current
suboptimal capabilities (delay, cost overruns
and failures of national security space
systems). Most of the work of the so-called
âAllard Commissionâ took place in spring
2008). In particular, a National Security
Space Authority (NSSA) would be created.
This position would lead to a new
organisation, the National Security Space
Organization responsible for the acquisition
and operation of all U.S. military and
intelligence space assets. The establishment
of a National Space Strategy is being
considered as well as the reestablishment of
the National Space Council to be led by the
National Security Advisor.
In the United States, the Chinese anti-
satellite weapon test of January 2007 brought
increased attention and urgency to the
consideration and evaluation of national
security space programmes.
291
In particular,
the concern about potential threats to U.S.
space capabilities has gained momentum in
high-level policy circles. In this context, in
the Fiscal Year 2008 Appropriation agreed on
8 November 2007, the programmes
enhancing SSA were boosted. Furthermore,
on 20 February 2008, an imagery radar
spacecraft (NROL-21/USA-193) owned by the
National Reconnaissance Office (NRO)
launched in December 2006 was destroyed,
as there was a risk that it would survive re-
entry and strike the Earth. This was done in
order to prevent the satelliteâs hydrazine fuel
tank from dispersing highly toxic fumes on
the ground. A Standard Missile (SM-3) and
the ship-based Aegis targeting system
developed for the sea-based component of
290
Brinton, Turner. âNPOESS Costs Soar Again, Pentagon
Threatens to Withhold Funding.â Space News 19 June
2008.
291
For more information see Neuneck, GĂśtz. âChinaâs
ASAT Test- A Warning Shot or the beginning of an Arms
Race in Space?â Yearbook on Space policy 2006/2007:
New Impetus for Europe. Eds. European Space Policy
Institute: Kai-Uwe Schrogl, Charlotte Mathieu and Nicolas
Peter. Wien: Springer, 2008: 211-224.
the U.S. missile defence architecture were
used. While the controversial anti-satellite
test conducted by China in January 2007
occurred at an altitude of about 850
kilometres, the U.S. intercept occurred at an
altitude of about 240 kilometres. Moreover,
unlike the Chinese ASAT-test, the United
States informed the international community
well in advance of the attempted shot-down.
The U.S. Air Force Space Command and the
NRO joined together on 31 March 2008 to
create a new programme to advise the
military and intelligence community on how
to protect space assets.
292
The so-called
âSpace Protection Programâ is intended to
help identify a wide range of possible options
to safeguard space capabilities such as the
development of new hardware, change in
tactics and procedure. It is also involved in
the development of the congressionally-
mandated space protection strategy due in
summer 2008.
293
While the United States is the country investing
the most in space, it is also the most
conceptually advanced in military space affairs.
In 2007/2008, a series of high level documents
were released underlining the strategic nature
of space activities in security-related activities
for the United States. In particular, in May
2008, the first Defense Intelligence Strategy
(DIS) was published. The DIS highlights the
following four strategic goals for the Defense
Intelligence Enterprise (DoD intelligence,
counterintelligence and security communi-
ties)
294
:
â˘
âExtend the full advantage of the U.S.
intelligence enterprise to all defense
users to ensure timely and accurate
decisions, as well as ensure defense
intelligence is available to the broader
U.S. intelligence enterprise;
â˘
Enhance all services and capabilities
provided by the U.S. intelligence
enterprise to satisfy the changing needs
of defense intelligence users;
â˘
Explore concepts, technologies, and
strategies to address customer
requirements and emerging threats;
â˘
Enable us to counter and deny adversary
capabilities to acquire and exploit our
technologies or knowledge of the battle
space.â
295
292
Singer, Jeremy. âU.S. Air Force, NRO create Team
Focused on Space Protection.â Space News 8 Apr. 2008.
293
Ibid.
294
The mission of the Defense Intelligence Enterprise is
identified as to âsupport our national, defense and
international partners with âknowledge richâ all-source
defense intelligence, counterintelligence, and securityâ.
295
U.S. Department of Defense. âDefense Intelligence
Strategy.â May 2008.
102
Report 15, September 2008
Defence intelligence in space is identified in
the fourth strategic goal. It aims to âeliminate
any advantage held by our adversaries to
operate from and within the space and cyber
domainsâ.
296
Referring to the 2006 U.S.
National Space Policy, it underlines that the
focus of defence intelligence in space will be
to âensure full situational awareness for
military and civilian decision-makers, support
military planning initiatives, and satisfy
operational requirementsâ.
297
Among the
three priorities identified for defence
intelligence in space, two touch upon space
specifically. The Priority IV.4.A calls to
âpursue and support enhanced space
situational awareness to include the
protection of U.S. and partnersâ space assets
and interests in all domainsâ and the Priority
IV.4.B stresses the importance to âexpand
our ability to operate from and within the
space domain by designing and operating a
seamless, fully integrated next generation
space enterprise.â
298
Finally, on 12 May 2008, The North American
Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), a bi-
national U.S. and Canadian organisation
charged with the missions of aerospace
warning and aerospace control for North
America, celebrated its 50th year
anniversary.
6 . 5 R u s s i a
In 2007, Russia launched 35% of all military
spacecraft upgrading its navigation
capabilities (seven satellites), its
reconnaissance (one satellite), early warning
(one satellite), electronic surveillance (one
satellite) and communications capabilities
(one satellite) (Figure 55). This increased
activity is part of an overall effort to upgrade
and modernise Russiaâs military in-orbit
infrastructure.
Following Russiaâs economic recovery (Cf.
Chapter 1), Russian military space
programmes are recovering from the under-
investment that characterised the immediate
post-Cold War period (Cf. Chapter 3). Russia
maintains activities in military space
programmes in six areas: reconnaissance,
communications, navigation, early warning,
signal intelligence as well as access to space.
Russiaâs involvement in military space
programmes is channelled through the 2007-
2012 State Armaments Programme and the
two Federal Target Programmes on Glonass
296
Ibid.
297
Ibid.
298
Ibid.
(2002-2011) and the Development of
Russiaâs Cosmodromes (2006-2015). The
major investments are, however, in the field
of access to space (new launch sites and
launch vehicle) and its GNSS constellation,
Glonass (Cf. Chapter 3).
6 . 6 J a p a n
In 2007, Japan, launched two dedicated
security satellites: the Information Gathering
Satellites (IGS) (Figure 55). These two
additions provide Japan with an Earth
observation constellation dedicated to
security issues (five satellites in orbit).
In May 2008, the Diet finally approved the
âBasic Law for Space Activitiesâ. This new law
commits Japan to a series of major
administrative and conceptual changes (Cf.
Chapter 3). These include: shifting emphasis
from R&D to utilisation and defence, and
placing space development planning in a new
planning and administrative authority in the
Prime Minister's Cabinet (so-called âStrategic
Space Development Headquartersâ) under a
new minister for space appointed by and
reporting directly to the Prime Minister. The
switch of space planning from the Ministry of
Education, Culture, Sports, Science and
Technology (MEXT) to the Prime Minister's
Cabinet underscores the shift in attitude
about the strategic importance of space for
national security and public welfare. In
particular, the new law replaces the 1969
Resolution which restricted Japan to use
space only for âexclusively peaceful purposeâ
with a commitment that military uses of
space will be for defensive purposes only in
accordance with the 1967 Outer Space Treaty
and with the pacifist spirit of Japan's
Constitution. This policy change thus does
not aim to promote an aggressive use of
space, but, among other things, it aims to
allow Japan to use space assets for crisis
management and disaster monitoring in the
Asian region and in peacekeeping missions.
6 . 7 C h i n a
In 2007, China launched 13% of all military
spacecraft. It launched two reconnaissance
satellites and two navigation satellites (Figure
55).
Chinaâs long-term, comprehensive trans-
formation of its military forces is on-going at
a high pace following its investments in the
military sector (Table 12). However, it is
difficult to precisely evaluate Chinese military
103
European Space Policy Institute
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Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
capabilities, as China is very secretive about
its military activities and military space is no
exception. Nonetheless, in an August 2007
speech celebrating the 80
th
anniversary of the
founding of the Peopleâs Liberation Army
(PLA), President Hu called for accelerating
the modernisation of weapons and
equipment, enhancing personnel training,
and strengthening combat skills through
âcoordinated development between national
defence building and economic
construction.â
299
This is thought to also cover
space activities. Furthermore, while Chinaâs
leaders are communicating widely about the
achievements of its civilian space programme
they remain silent about the military
applications of Chinaâs space programme.
Space-based command, control,
communications, computers, intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) are
considered key to enable and coordinate joint
operations and win modern wars by Chinese
theorists (Cf. Office of the Secretary of
Defense âAnnual Report to Congress on
Military Power of the Peopleâs Republic of
China). China further views the development
of space and counter-space capabilities as
bolstering national prestige and, like nuclear
weapons, demonstrating the attributes of a
world power.
6 . 8 I n d i a
While India continues to emphasise the
peaceful uses of space, following the 2006
Chinese ASAT-test, the country is considering
developing a military space programme and
optimising space applications for military
purposes. No formal decision has been made
yet on the creation of an Indian Aerospace
Command as part of a wide process
considering an increase of the role of military
applications and defence forces in Indiaâs
space activities. Military space activities are
still officially being separated from ISROâs
civilian activities and until now India has not
been focusing on space technology solely for
military purposes. However, it is widely
speculated that an ISRO spacecraft Cartosat-
2A launched on 28 April 2008 is the first
satellite of a constellation dedicated to
reconnaissance, as it has a sub-metric
resolution.
299
United States of America. Office of the Secretary of
Defense âAnnual Report to Congress: Military Power of the
Peopleâs Republic of China 2008.â 3 Mar. 2008.
6 . 9 O t h e r s p a c e a c t o r s
Non-traditional space powers and actors have
also been acquiring dedicated military
satellites or creating new structures
demonstrating the increasing trend of âinter-
nationalisation of the militarisation of spaceâ.
While the North Atlantic Treaty Organization
(NATO) is relying on space activities to
support its operations and tasks, it has not
yet defined a clear and comprehensive
approach to space operations. However, this
is evolving. In May 2008, NATO released an
unclassified document entitled âNATO Space
Operations Assessmentâ. This project was
undertaken by the Joint Air Power
Competence Centre (JAPCC) at the request of
Allied Command Transformation. This
document presents an overview of current
standing of NATO Space Power and provides
recommendations for NATO to better enable
an effect-based approach to operations. The
NATO Space Operations Assessment focuses
on the importance of space for current
operations and transformational ambitions. In
the process of drafting this document, 33
stakeholder organisations participated in a
Space Workshop hosted by the JAPCC on 22
April 2008. In order for NATO to better
ensure and use the space domain, the
document identifies 20 gaps, and short and
long-term recommendations such as space
governance, force development, training,
concept development and experimentation,
standards and interoperability. A paper
entitled âConsiderations for a NATO Space
Policyâ is also provided as annex to the
document (it comprises 16 guiding principles,
13 foundational guidelines and three
guidelines on international cooperation).
Finally the tenets of a NATO Military Space
strategy are also provided in an annex.
300
While Australia is considering increasing its
involvement in space activities (Cf. Chapter
3), in November 2007, the Australian
government agreed to a 822.7 million U.S.
dollars investment in the U.S. Wideband
Global Satcom (WGS) system to fund the
sixth WGS satellite.
301
This will provide
access to high communication bandwidth in
the X and Ka-bands to support bandwidth-
intensive applications.
302
300
Joint Air Power Competence Centre âNATO Space
Operations Assessment.â May 2008.
301
âAustralia to Fund Sixth WGS Satellite.â Satellite Today
3 Oct. 2007.
<http://www.satellitetoday.com/military/headlines/19168.ht
ml>.
302
The WGS system is scheduled to be achieve full
operational capability in 2013 following the launch of the
104
Report 15, September 2008
In February 2008, Israel received the first
images from its new reconnaissance satellite
which was successfully launched by the
Indian space agency, ISRO, onboard a PSLV
on 21 January 2008. As opposed to the Ofeq
series, TechSAR is a radar (SAR) satellite
providing Israel 24-hour, all-weather
capability. This addition completes the launch
of Ofeq-7 in June 2007.
303
Additionally, the
Israeli government invested about 265
million U.S. dollars in Amos-4
communications satellite planned for launch
in the third quarter of 2012,
304
illustrating the
high national priority accorded to the
programme.
Following the successful launch of Turksat 3A
on 12 June 2008 onboard an Ariane 5, Turkey
is about to acquire the long-delayed military
reconnaissance satellite, GĂśktĂźrk. In July
2006, Turkeyâs Under Secretariat of Defence
Industry received tenders from EADS
Astrium, Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI),
OHB-System and Telespazio (now Thales
Alenia Space) to manufacture this
reconnaissance satellite. In January 2007,
Turkish Defence Industry Implementation
Committee (SSIK) decided to continue its
discussions for the construction of GĂśktĂźrk
with Telepazio, OHB and EADS Astrium. A
final decision on the prime contractor for the
high-resolution reconnaissance satellite is
expected to be taken soon.
sixth satellite. The first satellite was launched in 11
October 2007.
303
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007.
304
Opall-Rome, Barbara. âIsraeli Government Invests Big
in High-Powered Amos-4 Telecom Sat.â Space News 25
July 2007<
http://www.space.com/spacenews/archive07/amos4_0716.
html >.
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Chapter 7 â
The specific roles of institutions
Various institutions are playing a growing role
in space affairs, particularly at regional and
international level, thus completing existing
national activities. This chapter specifically
looks at the most influential institutions of
European space affairs in 2007/2008.
7.1 European institutions
In Europe, the main European institutions
(the Presidency of the Council of the
European Union, the Council of the European
Union, the European Commission, the
European Parliament and Agencies of the
European Union) are increasingly involved in
European space affairs, along with other
institutions such as parliamentary and
regional structures, therefore complementing
national structures such as space agencies,
ministerial and inter-ministerial entities.
7.1.1 Council of the European Union
and its Presidencies
The Presidency of the Council of the
European Union, which is sometimes
informally called the âEuropean Presidencyâ,
refers to the responsibility of presiding over
all aspects of the Council of the European
Union. It rotates every six months among
European Union (EU) member States. The
Council is a major actor in European space
affairs, as it is the driving force in the political
decision-making process of the EU.
During the second half of 2007, and the first
half of 2008, the second and third
Presidencies of the first âtriple-shared
Presidencyâ were held by Portugal and
Slovenia respectively (following Germany in
the first half of 2007).
305
The joint 18-month
programme was elaborated for the period
running from January 2007 to June 2008. The
main themes of the programme were the
continuation of the EU reform and
constitutional process, the implementation of
the Lisbon Strategy for Growth and Jobs, and
the further completion of common areas of
freedom, security and justice. Space was
305
The next triplet will consist of France, the Czech
Republic and Sweden.
identified in this work programme as one of
the elements of priority linked to the Lisbon
Strategy. In particular, the elaboration of a
European Space Policy to promote cutting-
edge technology in the EU was underlined.
The necessity to continue to develop Galileo
and the Global Monitoring for Environment
and Security (GMES) programmes was also
stressed.
Under the Portuguese Presidency, in the
second half of 2007, besides solving Galileo,
Euro-African cooperation in space
development was also an important agenda
topic.
306
In December 2007, a âGMES for
Africaâ event was organised in Lisbon
(Portugal) as a first attempt to bring together
actors from both continents to address the
issue of GMES and Africa. Two technical
seminars were organised on 6 December
2007; the first one being on environment and
agriculture and the second one on crisis
response and monitoring for security. The
event âSpace for Development: The case of
GMES and Africaâ was then held on 7
December 2007. The overall Lisbon exercise,
attended by about 350 participants, led to
the adoption of two documents: the Lisbon
Declaration on âGMES and Africaâ and the
Lisbon Process on âGMES and Africaâ
supporting the joint Africa-EU strategy and
first Action Plan (2008-2010). The
Portuguese Presidency also launched a two-
year process leading to the drafting and
consolidation of an Action Plan for the âGMES
and Africaâ partnership for approval at the
third EU-Africa Summit scheduled for the end
of 2009. This initiative follows the Maputo
Declaration signed on 15 October 2006 by
the Commission of the African Union (AU),
the Secretariat of the African, Caribbean and
Pacific Group of States (ACP) and five
regional Economic Communities of Sub-
Saharan Africa (Economic and Monetary
Community of Central Africa (CEMAC),
Economic Community Of West African States
(ECOWAS), the Indian Ocean Commission
(IOC), Intergovernmental Authority on
Development (IGAD), Southern African
Development Community (SADC)) explicitly
asking for an extension of the GMES initiative
306
For more information on Galileo see the section
devoted to the Council of the European Union.
106
Report 15, September 2008
to Africa and other ACP countries (the so-
called âGMES â Africaâ).
307
Completing the aforementioned documents
(Declaration on âGMES and Africaâ and the
Lisbon Process on âGMES and Africaâ), space
activities were also specifically mentioned
within the Joint Africa-EU Strategy and the
accompanying first Action Plan (2008-2010)
adopted at the EU-Africa Summit by Heads of
States and Governments on 9 December
2007 (Cf. Chapter 1). In the Joint Africa-EU
Strategy, aiming to foster enhanced
cooperation, space is mentioned in the
context of one of the four main objectives of
the long-term strategic partnership, and
particularly to support key development
issues in order to address progress towards
the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
such as human and social development, but
also environmental sustainability and climate
change.
308
It is stated that Africa and the EU
shall strengthen their existing cooperation
mechanisms and programmes in space-based
technology, applications, sciences and
systems. In the first Africa-EU Action Plan
(2008-2010) eight partnerships areas and
priority activities have been singled out with
one tackling space issues explicitly. The
eighth Africa-EU partnership on Science,
Information Society and Space aims to
enhance cooperation in space application and
technology as a priority action to support
Africaâs sustainable development objectives
by developing concrete joint cooperation
initiatives in selected areas.
In the first half of 2008, under the Slovenian
Presidency, the main activities linked to
space affairs concerned the re-profiling of the
Galileo programme and the development of
the legislation concerning Mobile Satellite
Services (MSS) in Europe. The GMES
programme was also an element of attention.
In particular, during the fourth âBridging the
Gapâ environmental conference held in
Portoroz (Slovenia) several points were
stressed, including the need to take
environmental impacts into account in
economic decisions and the need for
increased interstate cooperation regarding
data collection and exchange. It has been
underlined that efforts such as GMES, the
Shared Environmental Information System
(SEIS), the infrastructure for Spatial
Information in Europe (INSPIRE) or the
307
This extension should make available to African
decision makers all the data and tools needed for an
operational implementation of policies targeting the
sustainable management of the African environment.
308
Pisani, Pierre-Henri. â"GMES and Africa" A Hopeful
Case for Euro-African Cooperation in Space Developmentâ
ESPI Perspectives 6 Apr. 2008.
directive on Public Sector Information (PSI)
are very positive, but call for greater
cooperation in order to efficiently use the
data collected.
309
Another major element of the Slovenian
Presidency was the end of the public
consultation period for the EU budget reform
of the post 2013 period, as many in Europe
would like to see a dedicated budget line
(and specific financing tools and
mechanisms) for space affairs in the next EU
budget, so that the EU can fully assume its
role in space policy.
310
A conference entitled
"Reforming the Budget, Changing Europe"
will be held on 12 November 2008 to
represent these contributions.
The regular decision-making of the various
councils are described in the following
sections.
The Council of the EU is made up of the 27
national ministers of member States meeting
in nine different configurations depending on
the subject under discussion, with each
âcouncilâ dealing with functional areas. Two
âformationsâ are primarily in charge of space
activities: the Competitiveness Council and
the Transport, Telecommunications and
Energy (TTE) Council, with other councils like
the Economic and Financial Affairs Council
being involved on a more irregular basis in
space affairs.
311
In 2007/2008, the
Competitiveness Council was principally
involved in overseeing space policy and the
development of the GMES programme, while
the TTE Council has been mainly involved in
monitoring Galileo issues, as well as
regulatory development in the domain of
MSS.
The Competitiveness Council under the
Portuguese Presidency, on 28 September
2007, discussed the proposal for establishing
Joint Technology Initiatives (JTIs) in the
fields of innovative medicines, embedded
computing systems, nano-electronics
technologies, aeronautics and air transport. It
also invited the Commission to present the
remaining two JTIs on hydrogen and fuel
cells, as well as GMES, as soon as possible.
309
Conclusions of the fourth âBridging the Gapâ
environmental conference. 14-16 May 2008. Portoroz,
Slovenia
<http://www.bridgingthegap.si/content.php?idm=9>.
310
A Communication by the European Commission was
released on 12 September 2007 and was followed by a
public consultation.
311
For instance following the TTE Council request in June
2007 of detailed alternative proposals for the financing of
Galileo, on 10 July 2007, the Economic and Financial
Affairs Council held an exchange of views on the possible
additional public financing of Galileo.
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Then, on 22-23 November 2007, the Council
adopted the conclusions on competitiveness
(under an integrated approach). In the
Councilâs conclusions concerning industrial
policy, while underlying the need to continue
addressing sector-specific issues, the
stepping up of on-going work on the space
industry was noted with interest.
Under the Slovenian Presidency in the first
half of 2008, space was not an issue dealt
with in the Competitiveness Council. More
involvement is therefore expected under the
French Presidency during the second half of
2008, with, among others, the informal
meeting of European ministers responsible
for space in Kourou (French Guiana) on 21-
22 July 2008 and the fifth Space council on
26 September 2008.
For the Transport and Telecommunications
and Energy Council, in the second half of
2007 and the first half of 2008, Galileo was a
major agenda item, as well as the selection
and authorisation of systems providing MSS.
On 1-2 October 2007, the TTE Council
adopted conclusions on Galileo and the
European Geostationary Navigation Overlay
Service (EGNOS) satellite navigation
programmes, which, among others,
reaffirmed the value of an effective Galileo as
a key project for the EU, and reiterated the
need to continue with the implementation of
a certifiable EGNOS to ensure the initial
serviceâs availability by 2008. The
Conclusions also looked forward to a
balanced participation in Galileo of all
member States during the different phases of
the project. The Council also took note of the
Commissionâs information on its proposal for
a decision on the selection and authorisation
of systems providing MSS, adopted in August
2007.
During the TTE Council on 29-30 November
2007, conclusions on launching the European
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)
programmes, defining the general principles
of public sector governance and public
procurement of the programmes, were
adopted. In particular:
â˘
Budgetary and political decision-making
bodies will be the Council and the
European Parliament;
â˘
The Commission and the European GNSS
Supervisory Authority (GSA) remain fully
responsible for the management of the
programmes;
â˘
ESA was designated as the procurement
agent for Galileo and maĂŽtre dâoeuvre of
the programme;
â˘
The European Community will be the full
owner of Galileo and EGNOS.
This Council also took note of a progress
report on a proposal for a decision on the
selection and authorisation of systems
providing MSS.
On 7 April 2008 under the Slovenian
Presidency, the TTE Council reached a
general agreement on a proposal for further
implementation of the Galileo and EGNOS
programmes. The proposal put forth lays
down the rules for the implementation of the
aforementioned two programmes, including
those on governance and the financial
contribution of the European Community. The
draft regulation reflects the principles defined
in the Council conclusion adopted on 30
November 2007. However, significant
amendments to the Commissionâs initial
proposal were made. In particular, the
European Community will assume
responsibility for the deployment of the
system, and the budgetary resources needed
to finance both programmes for the period of
1 January 2007 to 31 December 2013 are set
at 3.4 billion euros. Finally, regarding MSS
issues, the TTE Council took note of the
information provided by the Slovenian
Presidency on 12-13 June 2008 and reached
a first reading agreement on a draft decision
for the section and authorisation of systems
providing those services.
7.1.2 European Commission
In 2007/2008, the executive body of the EU,
the European Commission, was particularly
involved in three areas pertaining to space
affairs: space-based navigation (Galileo and
EGNOS), space-based Earth observation
(GMES) and space-based communications
services (specifically MSS).
In the second half of 2007 and the first half
of 2008, the Commission pushed to find a
solution to solve the Galileo crisis by shifting
the project from a public-private-partnership
(PPP) scheme to a structure fully funded with
public money. On 6 September 2007, the
Commission adopted a cancellation of its call
for tenders for a concession of the
deployment and operation phases of the
Galileo programme. The Commission then put
forth communication aiming to ensure that
the Galileo and EGNOS deployment phases
would be funded by the European
Community. The publication released on 19
September 2007 entitled âProgressing
Galileo: Re-Profiling the European GNSS
Programmesâ sets out the main details
regarding Galileo and EGNOS programmes. It
covers, among other things:
108
Report 15, September 2008
â˘
Infrastructure costs;
â˘
Risks in terms of completing the
programmes and their management;
â˘
Benefits and revenues expected;
â˘
Funding of the European GNSS
programmes;
â˘
Public-sector governance.
In particular, unspent public funds were
proposed as an additional source of funding
for the procurement of the Full Operational
Capability (FOC) of the Galileo programme
with 1.7 billion euros coming form the
Agriculture budget in 2007 (500 million euros
in 2008), and 120 million euros from the
Administration budget in 2007 (100 million
euros in 2008) for a total of 2.72 billion euros
(300 million euros of which should be used
for the European Institute of Technology).
The Commission also proposed that the
Council and the European Parliament agree
on a modification of the public governance of
the European GNSS programmes. In
particular to:
â˘
Create a European GNSS programme
committee;
â˘
Define the role of the Commission as the
European GNSS programme manager and
maĂŽtre dâoeuvre;
â˘
Strengthen the role for the GSA in
market preparation and as advisor to the
Commission and assistance in
programme management;
â˘
Define ESA as the maĂŽtre dâoeuvre acting
on the basis on an ESA-EC GNSS
agreement.
On 19 September 2007, another
Communication from the Commission to the
European Parliament and to the Council was
issued. It assessed a proposal for a decision
by the European Parliament and the Council
amending the âDecision of the European
Parliament and of the Council, amending the
Inter-institutional Agreement of 17 May 2006
on budgetary discipline and sound financial
management as regards to the multiannual
financial frameworkâ. Another amended
proposal was submitted on the further
implementation of the European satellite
radio-navigation programmes (EGNOS and
Galileo). The proposed regulation provides
the responsibility for the deployment phase of
Galileo to be fully assumed by the European
Community acting on its own. The proposal
also aimed to improve the public governance
of the programmes. In the first half of 2008,
most of the ECâs efforts were therefore
focused on developing the regulation on the
further implementation of the European
satellite radio-navigation programmes
(Galileo and EGNOS) and to prepare for the
procurement phase.
On 23 June 2008, the Commission sent a
letter to ESA authorising the start of the
Galileo contractor selection. This one-year
process started on 25 June 2008 with the
Commission issuing an Invitation to Tender
entitled "Advisors Contract to the European
Commission on the European GNSS
Programme" (TREN/G/3/318-2008) for the
six work packages of the Galileo satellite
navigation system.
312
On 1 July 2008, the
Commission and ESA launched the
procurement of the programme. It
complements the In-Orbit-Validation contract
placed by ESA for the first satellites and
associated ground control infrastructure. For
the deployment phase, the Commission and
ESA have opted for the procurement
procedure of âCompetitive Dialogueâ.
313
The Commission continued in 2007/2008 to
work on its second flagship, the GMES
programme, and particularly, on the three
Fast Track Services: the Emergency
Response Core Service (ERCS), the Land
Monitoring Core Service (LMCS), the Marine
Core Service (MCS), as well as the GMES
atmosphere and security core services. A
document entitled âPreliminary User
Requirements for GMES-like services (for
Emergency Response FTS)â was also released
in July 2007. In February 2008 the EC
approved funding for the recurrent satellites
needed for GMES (Cf. Chapter 3). A
publication entitled âWindow on GMESâ was
issued in May 2008, identifying and
presenting GMESâs services and usefulness.
The Commission was also involved in the
development of a new mechanism for the
selection and authorisation of systems
providing MSS. It issued a communication on
22 August 2007 entitled âProposal for a
Decision of the European Parliament and of
the Council on the selection and authorisation
of systems providing mobile satellite services
(MSS)â. The general objective of this
proposal was to develop the internal market
of European consumers and businesses by
overcoming the national selection and
authorisation to foster EU-wide MSS. The
proposal complements the Commissionâs
312
The six work packages are system support, ground
mission segment, ground control segment, space segment
(satellites), launch services and operations.
313
In the first phase of the procedure, interested entities
may submit to ESA a "Request to Participate" and will be
short-listed on the basis of pre-defined selection and
exclusion criteria. The selected candidates will then be
invited to the dialogue phase, representing the formal kick
off of the second phase of the tendering process. The
Competitive Dialogue procedure will be organised and
managed by ESA as delegated procurement agent, in
close coordination with the Commission as contracting
authority.
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decision adopted by comitology
314
in February
2007, which obliged member States to
reserve the Gigahertz spectrum by 1 July
2007 (1980 to 2010 MHz and 2170 to 2200
MHz) for systems providing MSS. This
initiative aims to simplify the licensing
process and reduce the risk of market
fragmentation as well as ensure that the
transnational services work at their best
potential (Cf. Chapter 3).
The Commission has also been involved in
the management of the first calls for
proposals under the seventh Framework
Programme as well as dialogues with other
space powers: the United States and Russia
(Cf. Chapter 3).
7.1.3 European Union Agencies
Following the expansion of the Commissionâs
tasks, a number of specialised and
decentralised EU agencies have been
established to support EU member States and
their citizens in tackling very specific tasks.
Three EU agencies have direct and explicit
activities in space: the European GNSS
Supervisory Authority (GSA), the European
Union Satellite Centre (EUSC) and the
European Defence Agency (EDA), the latter
increasingly being involved into space
activities. Other EU agencies like the
European Maritime Safety Agency (EMSA) are
also relying more and more on space
technologies to perform their mandated
activities.
The GSA, an EU regulatory authority, is in
charge of managing specific activities such as
security aspects and the development of
marketing activities linked to European GNSS
programmes: Galileo and EGNOS (see
above). In particular, on 8 April 2008, the
GSA released the second version of the
Galileo Service Signal-In-Space Interface
Control Document, in order to enable the
development of products and applications
which will be used with Galileoâs system and
signals.
315
The EUSC aims to support the decision-
making of the EU in the field of Common
Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) and
especially European Security and Defence
Policy (ESDP). For this purpose it provides
geospatial intelligence products and services
to the Council of the EU, member States, the
Commission and third States and
314
This is a committee system which oversees the
activities implemented by the Commission.
315
âGSA Releases New Galileo Open Service Signal-In-
Space Interface Control Document.â GSA Press Release 8
Apr. 2008.
international organisations if deemed relevant
to the CFSP and in particular the ESDP (Cf.
Chapter 6). The EUSC released a 2008 annual
work programme stating the following tasks:
â˘
Support to EU operations in the
framework of ESDP, including the EU
battle-groups
â˘
Contingency planning
â˘
Control of proliferation of weapons of
mass destruction
â˘
Support to EU counter-terrorism policy
â˘
Support to humanitarian aid missions
â˘
Support to EU counter-organised crime
policy
One of the latest EU agencies created, the
EDA has an overall mission to improve
Europeâs defence performance by promoting
coherence among its member States. In
particular, its core functions are to develop
defence capabilities, promote Defence R&T,
promote armament cooperation, create a
competitive European Defence Equipment
Market and strengthen the European
Defence, Technological and Industrial Base
including space activities (Cf. Chapter 6).
Following the adoption of the first European
Space Policy in May 2007, the EDA is getting
more and more involved in space activities,
particularly in activities linked to Earth
observation, communications and space
surveillance (Cf. Chapter 6).
Several EU agencies are increasingly relying
on space technologies to perform their
mandated tasks. For instance, following a
European Directive (2005/35/EC) of the
European Parliament and Council, the EMSA
developed the CleanSeaNet service. The
EMSA ClearSeaNet satellite services offer all
EU coastal member States (as well as Iceland
and Norway) a near-real-time marine oil spill
detection service by using radar satellite
imagery (SAR) to enhance the overall
maritime safety system within the EU. The
services aim at strengthening operational
response for accidental and deliberate
discharges from ships as well as to locate and
identify polluters.
7.1.4 European Parliament
The role of the European Parliament in space
affairs has expanded considerably over the
years in passing legislation as well as through
its say over EU budget, and 2007/2008 was
no exception. In particular, the Parliament
has co-decision powers (along with the
Council) over the regulation on the
deployment and commercial phases of
Galileo. In the conciliation meeting of 23
November 2007, it reached an agreement
with the Council and the Commission to
110
Report 15, September 2008
revise the EUâs financial framework for 2007-
2013 with the purpose to preserve Galileo
with public funding taken mainly from unused
farm-support funds (see the Council of the
European Union section). Furthermore,
following the modification of the âDecision of
the European Parliament and of the Council,
amending the Inter-institutional Agreement
of 17 May 2006 on budgetary discipline and
sound financial management as regards the
multiannual financial frameworkâ, and the
creation of the Galileo Inter-institutional
Panel (GIP) composed of seven
representatives with three from the European
Parliament (Cf. Chapter 3), it now has more
say regarding the political control of the
project.
Standing committees of the European
Parliament, designed to aid the Commission
in initiating legislation, were also active
elements in tackling space issues over the
last months. Three specialised standing
committees (the Committee on Industry,
Research and Energy (ITRE), the Committee
on Transport and Tourism (TRAN) and the
Committee on Foreign Affairs (AFET) and its
subcommittee on Security and Defence
(SEDE)) adopted reports on legislative
proposals and âown-initiativeâ reports and
conducted hearings on particular space
topics.
The ITRE Committee had space-related issues
on its agenda items on seven of its 25
meetings over the July 2007-June 2008
period, with Galileo being the major space
topic agenda followed by MSS. Hearings were
also conducted on space policy. However, the
report led by Rapporteur Etelka Barsi-Pataky
on the amended proposal for a âregulation of
the European Parliament and of the Council
on the further implementation of the
European radio-navigation programmes
(Galileo and EGNOS)â was the major space
issue being discussed by the Committee. The
other main topic was the report led by
Rapporteur Fiona Hall on the selection and
authorisation of systems providing MSS.
316
Space affairs were also tackled by the TRAN
Committee, however mainly in response to
the aforementioned GNSS report while in its
draft phases.
The SEDE held a series of activities linked to
space affairs, and particularly space security
issues (Cf. Chapter 6). A series of hearings
and exchange of views occurred during the
316
The GNSS related proposal was voted by the European
Parliament on 23 April 2008 (607-36-8) and the MSS
related proposal on 21 May 2008 (652-16-10). The vote on
GNSS gave the approval for the reprofiled flagship project.
period, and a study on âThe Cost of non-
Europe in the field of satellite based systemsâ
was also released. Furthermore, an âown-
initiativeâ report was drafted by the
Subcommittee chairperson on âSpace and
Securityâ.
317
Finally, other ad hoc structures of the
European Parliament were also involved in
space affairs. For instance, on 25 June 2008,
at the second meeting of the European
Parliament Platform on Civil Protection, geo-
information was the main issue presented,
and among other things, the importance of
Earth observation services for civil protection
was stressed.
318
7 . 2 O t h e r i n s t i t u t i o n s
Besides the aforementioned institutions,
other bodies and organs, particularly linked
to parliamentary and regional structures, are
active and influential for European space
activities.
7.2.1 Assembly of the Western
European Union (WEU)
The WEU released a report on space issues
through one of its permanent committees,
the Technological and Aerospace Committee.
The report submitted by Edward OâHara and
Giannicola Sinisi entitled âSpace Systems for
Europeâs Security: GMES and Galileo â reply
to the annual report of the Councilâ, was
released on 4 June 2008. A recommendation
was subsequently adopted during the third
sitting of the 54
th
Plenary Session on 4 June
2008.
319
7.2.2 European Inter-parliamentary
Space Conference (EISC)
The EISC
320
held its ninth Conference in
2007. In 2007, Italy had the chair of the
EISC for the second time after 2000. The
VAST Committee (Committee for the
Evaluation of Scientific and Technological
Options) of the Chamber of Deputies, which
is responsible for technological and space
issues at parliamentary level took care of the
organisation of this chairmanship. In the
317
This document was adopted on 10 July 2008 by the
European Parliament (483-99-20).
318
The Platform was launched on 13 February 2008 to
promote the European Parliament with an in-house
resource for better inform member of the European
Parliament (MEPs) on currents status on Civil Protection.
319
Recommendation 821
320
The EISC is a permanent forum to foster cooperation
on space policy issues between European national
parliaments.
111
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
second half of the year, a seminar on âSpace
exploration: the role of Europeâ was held on
24 July 2007, as well as the ninth Plenary
Conference. The topic of the two-day Plenary
Conference held on 8-9 October 2007 was
the relation between the European space
policy and its impact on the life of citizens
and on enterprises, as well as on public
administration. Nineteen parliamentary
delegations with 63 members of parliaments
(MPs) took part in the Conference; for the
ESIC: Belgium, the Czech Republic, France,
Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom
and Russian MPs attended and as observers:
Poland, Romania, Estonia, Lithuania, Norway,
Portugal, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland,
China and Japan MPs attended. A final
resolution was approved at the end of the
Conference stressing among other things, the
need to strengthen interrelations between the
EU, ESA, national agencies, national
programmes and national parliaments.
Finally, Poland and Romania joined as new
permanent members of the EISC.
In 2008, the Czech Republic held the
chairmanship of the EISC for the first time. It
was the first time that a country from Central
and Eastern Europe played this role.
321
In the
first half of the year, two events were held.
In February 2008, a workshop as part of the
three-day Conference âNavAge 08â took
place. In a concise statement, the EISC
stressed the need to have a strong
participation of the new EU member States in
GMES and Galileo, and highlighted the Czech
initiative for a Galileo User Forum (GUF). A
second workshop, also taking place in
Prague, on space applications was held on 28
June 2008 on small and medium enterprises
(SMEs) with a particular view on the new EU
member States. A meeting of the preparatory
committee for the GUF also took place. The
10
th
Plenary Meeting will be held on 13
October 2008.
7.2.3 Network of European Regions
Using Space Technologies (NEREUS)
Recognising that European regions are
increasingly being involved in space activities
ranging from infrastructures to applications, a
new actor in the European space context is
emerging with the coordination of activities at
a regional level.
The NEREUS was formally established on 18
December 2007 with an inaugural assembly
in Toulouse (France) with the aim to promote
321
Up to 2007, the following countries held the Presidency
of the EISC Belgium (twice), France (twice), Germany
(once), Italy (twice), Spain (once) and the United Kingdom
(once).
cooperation between European regions.
Twenty-three European regions from nine
member States were represented and signed
the NEREUS Charter, a formal document
developing the scope and aims of the
network. Created at the instigation of the
French Midi-Pyrenees Region, this network is
intended to create a forum for dialogue
exchanges and discussions between the
regions and European space stakeholders.
NEREUS follows the April 2007 Graz
Conference entitled âA Market for GMES in
Europe and its regions â The Graz Dialogueâ
organised by the Austrian Presidency of the
EU that acknowledged the role of regions in
space-related activities and particularly Earth
observation. The role of regions in GMES was
mentioned as essential to the definition and
use of GMES services.
322
A total of 35
European regions representing ten EU
member States have since December 2007
expressed their interests in NEREUS.
323
NEREUS and its member regions aim, among
other things, to influence both Europe and
national policy debates and programmes in
the development and exploitation of space
technologies and applications; to bring closer
coordination and cooperation between
member regions in their policy, strategy and
dialogue with European institutions, Europe
and national programme exploitation
activities. The NEREUS Association will
include two groups:
â˘
The group of Regional Authorities in
charge of the governance and of relations
with the EU institutions, member States,
space agencies and the EISC.
â˘
The group of associate members will
regroup industries, training institutions,
private and public research laboratories
and other public and private actors.
322
For more information see Peter, Nicolas. âSpace Policy,
Issues and Trends in 2006/2007.â ESPI Report 6 Sept.
2007: 94.
323
Regions that have shown their interest are Wien-VBA
(Austria) RĂŠgion Bruxelles Capitale, RĂŠgion Wallonne
(Belgium) Alsace, Aquitaine, Bretagne, Midi-PyrĂŠnĂŠes,
Nord Pas-de- Calais, Provence-Alpes-CĂ´te d'Azur
(France) Baden-WĂźrttemberg, Bayern, Brandenburg,
Bremen, Hessen, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Germany)
Abruzzo, Basilicata, Campania, Emilia Romagna, Lazio,
Lombardia, Molise, Piemonte, Puglia, Toscana, Veneto
(Italy) Mazovieckie Viovodeship (Poland) Açores, Madeira
(Portugal) Kosice, Presov (Slovakia) Aragon, Catalunya,
Madrid (Spain) East Midlands (United Kingdom).
112
Report 15, September 2008
7 . 3 I n t e r n a t i o n a l
i n s t i t u t i o n s
The main international institutions involved in
space affairs are the United Nations (UN)
with their main bodies such as the United
Nations General Assembly (UNGA) and other
committees and specialised agencies being
involved in space activities primarily at policy
and application levels.
7.3.1 United Nations General
Assembly (UNGA)
The UNGA was particularly active in tackling
space-related issues in 2007/2008.
At the 62
nd
plenary session of the UNGA,
three resolutions pertaining to space affairs
were passed, as well as one
recommendation.
â˘
The resolution on the annual Prevention
of an Arms Race in Outer Space (PAROS)
(A/RES/62/20);
â˘
The resolution on the Transparency and
confidence-building in outer space
activities (A/RES/62/43);
â˘
The resolution on the International
cooperation in the peaceful uses of outer
space (A/RES/62/217);
â˘
The recommendation on enhancing the
practise of States and international
intergovernmental organisations in
registering space objects
(A/RES/62/101).
The PAROS draft resolution dealing with
space security issues was adopted on 5
December 2007 (A/RES/62/20) with 178
votes for, the United States voting against
and Israel abstaining. In this resolution, the
UNGA calls all States (in particular space
powers) to contribute actively to the
objective of peaceful uses of outer space and
to the prevention of an arms race in space
and to refrain from actions contrary to that
objective. It also calls on all States to enforce
the relevant existing treaties in the interest of
maintaining international peace and security,
and particularly, international cooperation.
The resolution reiterates as well that the
Conference on Disarmament (CD) has the
primary role in the negotiation of agreements
on PAROS in all its aspects.
The draft resolution entitled âTransparency
and confidence-building in outer space
activitiesâ was also adopted on 5 December
2007 (A/RES/62/43) with an overwhelming
majority of 179 votes for, with again the vote
against it by the United States and the
abstention of Israel, signifying therefore the
strong international support for this
resolution. The resolution recognises the
threat of militarisation of outer space for
international peace and stability. It requests
that member States continue submitting
concrete proposals to tackle this issue, and
that âtransparency and confidence-building
measures in outer space activitiesâ be
addressed during the 63
rd
plenary session.
The draft resolution âInternational
cooperation in the peaceful uses of outer
spaceâ was adopted on 22 December 2007
(A/RES/62/217) without a vote. This
resolution calls all States, in particular those
with major space capabilities, to contribute
actively to the goal of preventing an arms
race in outer space. A separate vote was
recorded on operative paragraph 42 which
concerned the âUnited Nations Platform for
Space-based Information for Disaster
Management and Emergency Responseâ
(SPIDER) programmeâs funding along with its
platform form the biennium 2007-2009 and
work plan for the period 2008-2009.
324
One
hundred and twenty-nine States voted in
favour, six voted against and 13 abstained.
Finally, recommendations to enhance the
practise of states and international
intergovernmental organisations in
registering space objects were adopted on 17
December 2007 (A/RES/62/101) without a
vote. This resolution recommends that
countries and international intergovernmental
organisations register launched space
objects. This is intended as a monitoring
action, which requires harmonisation in the
recorded data, as well as further measures in
case of the non-declaration of space
activities. Furthermore, precisions are given
in cases of joint launches or changes of space
asset supervision while in orbit. This
recommendation aims to promote
transparency and security through increased
information-sharing and the monitoring of
space activities.
7.3.2 UNGA Committees
In 2007/2008, three UNGA committees were
particularly involved in space affairs:
â˘
The First Committee for Disarmament
and International Security (DISEC),
concerned with disarmament and related
international security questions;
â˘
The Fourth Committee on Special Political
324
SPIDER aims to ensure access to and use of such
solutions during all phases of the disaster, including the
risk reduction phase, which will significantly contribute to
an increasing reduction in loss of lives and property.
113
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
and Decolonisation (SPECPOL), dealing
with a variety of political subjects not
dealt with by the First Committee;
â˘
The Committee on the Peaceful Uses of
Outer Space (COPUOS) that aims to
review the scope of international
cooperation in peaceful uses of outer
space to devise programmes in this field
to be undertaken under UN auspices, to
encourage continued research and the
dissemination of information on outer
space matters, and to study legal
problems arising from the exploration of
outer space.
325
Disarmament and International
Security Committee
During the First Committeeâs session in
October 2007, there was a complete
consensus on the need to preserve outer
space for peaceful and cooperative uses.
326
The majority of States recognised that the
key threat to preserving outer space is the
likelihood of its weaponisation and a
subsequent arms race. Several States
consequently called for further substantive
debates and negotiations on a comprehensive
legally-binding PAROS treaty in the CD and
for the reestablishment of a PAROS Ad Hoc
Committee. Two draft resolutions regarding
space security issues were presented and
adopted.
The annual draft resolution on PAROS
(A/C.1/62/ L.34) was introduced by Sri
Lanka. This annual resolution was identical to
last yearâs proposal and noted that an
international agreement to prevent an arms
race in outer space "remains a priority task"
of the Ad Hoc Committee in the CD. The
resolution placed emphasis on:
â˘
The need for greater transparency and
for confidence building measures which
could form the heart of any agreement;
â˘
The urgency of preventing an arms race
in outer space;
â˘
The inadequacy of the existing legal
regime;
325
The COPUOS has two standing Subcommittees: the
Scientific and Technical Subcommittee and the Legal
Subcommittee. The Committee and its two Subcommittees
meet annually to consider questions put before them by
the UNGA, reports submitted to them and issues raised by
the member States.
326
This Committee meets every year in October for a 4-5
week session, after the UNGA General Debate. At each
meeting Disarmament Counsellors and Ambassadors read
statements on general or thematic issues, propose draft
resolutions, and vote on the resolutions. There is generally
an annual PAROS resolution up for vote; and additional
resolutions related to outer space are also often proposed
and voted on.
â˘
The necessity to examine further
measures with effective and appropriate
verification provisions, including the issue
of weaponisation.
The resolution also called for the CD to
establish an Ad Hoc Committee as soon as
possible to tackle this issue. It was voted in
the First Committee by 170 for, one against
(the United States) and one abstention
(Israel).
Russia introduced a draft resolution entitled
"Transparency and Confidence-Building
Measures (CBMs) in Outer Space Activitiesâ
(A/C.1/62/L.41). This proposal followed the
same resolution as last year. The new
resolution directed the Secretary-General to
submit a similar report to the next session of
the UNGA and further invited States to
continue submitting proposals on
international outer space transparency and
confidence-building measures. The resolution
also continued to assert that measures are
needed to prevent an arms race in outer
space, including weaponisation. It was voted
by 168 States for, one against (the United
States) and one abstention (Israel).
Special Political and Decolonisation
Committee
The Fourth Committee adopted two texts
proposed by France. A text on âInternational
cooperation in the peaceful uses of outer
spaceâ (A/C.4 /62/L.9) setting the work
programme for UN-SPIDER for the coming
year was put forward. The aforementioned
operative paragraph 42 of the text was
approved by a vote of 148 States in favour,
six votes against and three abstentions. The
draft resolution (document A/C.4 /62/L.9)
was approved without a vote. The text on
ârecommendations on enhancing the practise
of States and international intergovernmental
organisations in registering space objectsâ
(A/C.4/62/L.8), which would give direction to
the reduction of space debris, was also
considered. The latter guidelines were the
result of five years of work in the Legal
Subcommittee of the COPUOS. They were
approved without a vote.
Committee on the Peaceful Uses of
Outer Space
At the 45
th
session of the Scientific and
Technical (S&T) Subcommittee (11-22
February 2008) the newly established space-
system-based disaster management
programme (UN-SPIDER) was a main focus.
Possible dangers from Near-Earth Objects
(NEOs), space debris mitigation and a safety
framework for nuclear power sources in outer
114
Report 15, September 2008
space were also key agenda items. Other
topics of discussion included a review of the
implementation of the recommendations of
the Third United Nations Conference on the
Exploration and Peaceful Uses of Outer Space
(UNISPACE III), recent developments in
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS),
the use of the geostationary orbit, the
International Heliophysical Year (IHY) and
matters related to space-based remote
sensing, particularly to monitor the
environment and develop applications for
developing countries. Space debris mitigation
measures and solutions were discussed as
well.
The following month, during the 47
th
session
of the Legal Subcommittee (31 March - 11
April 2008), capacity-building in space law
and exchange of information on national
legislation relevant to the peaceful
exploration and use of outer space were two
new items on the agenda. Other topics
included:
â˘
The status and application of the five UN
treaties on outer space;
â˘
The definition and delimitation of outer
space;
â˘
The draft Protocol on Matters Specific to
Space Assets to the Convention on
International Interests in Mobile
Equipment;
â˘
Review and possible revision of the
principles relevant to the use of nuclear
power sources in outer space;
â˘
Matters relating to the character and use
of the geostationary orbit.
Like in previous years, international
organisations reported on their activities
related to space law.
At the 51
st
plenary session of the COPUOS
(11-20 June 2008) disaster management,
climate change and food security, space and
water, space and society, as well as space
and education were among the main topics of
discussions.
7.3.3 Other UN bodies and organs
monitoring outer space activities
Besides the UNGA and related specialised
committees, there are other UN programmes,
specialised UN agencies and other organs
having activities relevant to space.
The UN Space Applications Programme (SAP)
is primarily in charge of cooperation in space
science and technology. The activities of the
SAP encompass four main categories: the
identification of areas where space
applications could be useful; education and
training; the dissemination of the information
on the status of space technology; and the
promotion of pilot projects supporting
economic and social development. In the
second half of 2007 a series of workshop and
conferences were held in Austria, India,
Russia, Vietnam and Argentina, and in the
first half of 2008 in Saudi Arabia, Burkina
Faso, Bulgaria and Columbia. Conferences
were held on diverse themes, ranging from
space applications for sustainable
development, micro-satellites and
environment monitoring, space law
education, water management, to
cooperation among national agencies on tele-
health for Africa.
The International Committee on Global
Navigation Satellite Systems (ICG)
327
has
been gaining momentum in recent months.
The second meeting of the ICG organised by
the Indian Space Research Organisation
(ISRO) took place in Bangalore (India) on 5-7
September 2007. In particular, a Providers
Forum was established at the occasion of this
meeting with the aim to promote greater
compatibility and interoperability among
current and future providers of GNSS. The
current members of the Providers Forum
include China, the European Community,
India, Japan, Nigeria, Russia and the United
States.
328
The ICG will hold its next meeting
in 2008 in Pasadena (USA).
The United Nations Platform for Space-based
Information for Disaster Management and
Emergency Response (UN-SPIDER)
329
organised a series of workshops in
2007/2008.
â˘
The First United Nations International
UN-SPIDER Bonn Workshop on âSpace-
based Information and Solutions for
Disaster Management and Emergency
Response" took place on 29-31 October
2007.
â˘
The "fourth UN-wide Meeting on the Use
of Space Technologies for Emergency
Response and Humanitarian Assistance"
was held in Bangkok (Thailand) on 27
327
The ICG was established on a voluntary basis on
December 2005 as an informal body to promote
cooperation, as appropriate, on matters of mutual interest
related to civil satellite-based positioning, navigation,
timing, and value-added services, as well as compatibility
and interoperability among GNSS.
328
The first meeting of the Providers Forum was held in
Bangalore (India) on 4 September 2008. The second
meeting was held on 18 February 2008 in Vienna (Austria).
329
UN-SPIDER was created by the UNGA Resolution
61/110 adopted on 14 December 2006 with the mission to
"ensure that all countries and international and regional
organizations have access to and develop the capacity to
use all types of space-based information to support the full
disaster management cycle".
115
European Space Policy Institute
Report 15, September 2008
Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
November 2007.
â˘
A "United Nations/China Regional UN-
SPIDER Workshop: Building Upon
Regional Space-based Solutions for
Disaster Management and Emergency
Response" took place in Shenzhen
(China) on 3-5 December 2007.
â˘
A âUnited Nations International UN-
SPIDER Expert Meeting: Building Upon
the Network of Regional Support Offices"
was also held in Salzburg (Austria) on 7-
9 February 2008.
Finally, the Bonn Office was inaugurated on
29 October 2007 and the next offices are
foreseen to open in Beijing (China) and in
Switzerland in 2008.
Several specialised agencies of the UN are
also active in space. The two most important
are the United Nations Educational, Scientific
and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) and the
International Telecommunication Union
(ITU).
330
In 2007/08, UNESCO
331
was involved in a
series of space-related events. UNESCO is
very active in using space-related
technologies to pursue its international
Conventions and Charter goals. Earth
observation and other imagery and scientific
satellites are being used, as they allow
UNESCO to monitor, assess and spread data
to tackle climate change, environment and
cultural heritage problems.
In January 2008, a meeting between experts
was organised at the UNESCO headquarters
for the Space for Science programmes
developed by ESA and UNESCO. This
programme promotes scientific cooperation in
South-eastern Europe.
332
In April 2008, a
workshop was jointly organised by CNES and
UNESCO in Toulouse (France) on the theme
of space and archaeology: âArchaeology and
remote sensingâ.
333
The âOpen Initiativeâ was
also an area of major progresses in
2007/2008.
334
In November 2007, the
330
Specialized Agencies are autonomous organizations
working within the UN system.
331
The UNESCO aims to contribute to peace and security
by promoting international collaboration through education,
science, and culture in order to further universal respect for
justice, the rule of law, and the human rights and
fundamental freedoms proclaimed in the UN Charter.
332
âLâUNESCO poursuit son projet de coopĂŠration
scientifique en Europe du Sud-est.â UNESCO
communication et information- Service des actualitĂŠs 11
Feb. 2008.
333
âThe French Space Agency (CNES) and UNESCO:
Space and Archaeology.â UNESCO News and Events 24
Apr. 2008.
334
The UNESCO-ESA Open Initiative on the use of space
technologies to monitor natural and cultural heritage of
UNESCO sites.
German Aerospace Centre (DLR) formally
joined the âOpen Initiativeâ, bringing the
possibility to use TerraSAR-X data for the
preservation of UNESCO World Heritage
sites.
335
In March 2008 Spot Image joined
the âOpen Initiativeâ as well. This will allow
UNESCO to use Earth observation data to
monitor climate change. UNESCO wishes to
further strengthen its cooperation with Spot
Image.
336
A Chinese proposal to establish a
centre in Beijing (China) for the âOpen
Initiativeâ was approved during UNESCOâs
179
th
Executive Board Meeting.
337
It will be
located in the Centre for Earth Observation
and Digital Earth (CEODE), in the Chinese
Academy of Sciences.
338
This Centre will
allow developing countries to have access to
satellite data, in order to better understand,
monitor and assess climate change,
environmental impacts of human activities as
well as observe World Heritage sites.
Countries will thus be able to address these
issues more efficiently.
339
The ITU was particularly active 2007/08 in
the adoption of new regulations. In the fall of
2007, at the World Radio-communication
Conference (WRC), the revised and updated
Radio Regulations to meet the growing
demand for radio frequency spectrum for
space services were adopted. In particular,
there was a revision of the Fixed Satellite
Service (FSS) plan for communications,
television and internet to facilitate access to
spectrum and orbit resources for FSS system,
as well as the revision of the international
regulations relating to maritime mobile
services including distress and safety
transmissions.
Regarding natural disasters, ITU has been
active in 2007/2008 in providing
communications support in cases of
emergencies such as in the cases of Uganda
and Zambiaâs floods respectively in October
2007 and March 2008 as well as Peru and
Chinaâs earthquakes respectively in
September 2007 and May 2008.
Transportable terminals and satellite
communication systems have been deployed,
335
âThe German Aerospace Center Joins the âOpen
Initiative.â UNESCO News and Events 14 Nov. 2007.
336
âSpot Image Joins the âOpen Initiativeâ: From Space to
Place.â UNESCO News and Events 7 Mar. 2008.
337
This process requires the endorsement of the UNESCO
General Conference that will be held in October 2009.
338
âThe ESA-UNESCO âOpen Initiative: from Space to
Placeâ makes an Important Step Forward.â UNESCO News
and Events 14 Apr. 2008.
339
âRapport du Directeur General sur lâExamen de
FaisabilitĂŠ de lâEtablissement dâun Centre international:
Technologies de lâEspace au Service de Patrimoines
Culturel et Naturel, en tant que Centre de CatĂŠgorie 2,
sous lâEgide de lâUNESCO.â Conseil ExĂŠcutif UNESCO
point 7 de lâordre du jour 28 Mar. 2008.
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Report 15, September 2008
facilitating rescue, and government and
victims communication and coordination
capabilities.
340
Furthermore, a conference on
âGlobal Forum on the Effective Use of
Telecommunications/ICT for Disaster
Management: Saving Livesâ, was held in
Geneva (Switzerland) on 10-12 December
2007.
341
Two important initiatives resulted
from the conference: the ITU Framework for
Cooperation in Emergencies and the ITU
Network of Volunteers for Emergency
Telecommunications. Agreements with
industries were also concluded in order to
provide ITU with more material capabilities
and funding for these emergency
operations.
342
The United Nations Coordination of Outer
Space Activities
343
met for its 28
th
session on
16-18 January 2008. The key issues
considered during this Inter-Agency Meeting
on Outer Space Activities were:
â˘
Coordination of plans and programmes
and exchange of views on current
activities in the practical application of
space technology and related areas;
â˘
Space-related outcomes of the World
Summit on Sustainable Development
(WSSD);
â˘
Implementation of the recommendations
of UNISPACE III;
â˘
Use by the UN of the Charter on
Cooperation to Achieve the Coordinated
Use of Space Facilities in the Event of
Natural or Technological Disasters by the
UN system and methods to increase
operational collaboration in the use of
space technology in emergency response;
â˘
Lessons learned and good practices in the
use of space technologies for relief efforts
and disaster reduction;
â˘
Participation of the entities of the UN
system in the process of the Group on
Earth Observation (GEO);
â˘
Public-private partnerships and
innovative funding approaches in the UN
340
âITU Deploys Satellite Terminals in Quake-Hit China.â
ITU press release 22 May 2008; âZambia Flood Victims
Re-Connected to Aid Relief and Reconstruction.â ITU
press release 17 Mar. 2008; âUganda Flood Victims
Receive Telecommunication Links.â ITU press release 16
Oct. 2007 ; âVital Communication Links Restored After
Peru Quake.â ITU press release 27 Feb. 2008.
341
âZambia Flood Victims Re-Connected to Aid Relief and
Reconstruction.â ITU press release 17 Mar. 2008.
342
âITU Global Forum Adopts Action to Strengthen
Response in Emergencies.â ITU press release 13 Dec.
2007.
343
The United Nations Coordination of Outer Space
Activities is the formal mechanism to coordinate the
activities of all related UN bodies and agencies that
convene on an annual basis to discuss current and future
activities, emergent technologies of interest and other
related matters.
system to promote the use of space
technology and its applications.
Subsequently, a report was issued on the
coordinated space-related activities of the UN
system.
The United Nations Institute for Disarmament
Research (UNIDIR)
344
also deals with space
related issues.
345
It held seminars and
conferences to generate food for thought,
and promoted informal, confidence-building
dialogues. In 2007/2008, two main events
dealing with outer space issues occurred in
the context of the UNIDIR activities. A
conference on âExploring cooperative
approaches to securityâ was held on 15
October 2007 in New York (USA). The
objectives of this event were to discuss
issues relating to the future of space security,
peaceful and cooperative uses of outer space
and the prevention of an arms race in outer
space. Another conference was held on 31
March â 1 April 2008, entitled âSecurity in
space: the next generationâ. The objective
was to discuss issues related to the future of
space security and examine confrontational
versus cooperative approaches in space
exploration, consider the new generation of
legal regimes of outer space, and ensure
peaceful uses of space for all.
UNIDIR is also home to the Conference on
Disarmament (CD) which is the single
multilateral disarmament negotiating forum
of the international community, including
space arms control. Substantive discussions
on PAROS were included in the CDâs proposed
programme of work, and discussions on a
treaty to prevent the placement of weapons
in outer space gained popularity in recent CD
sessions. For many years a general
agreement has developed through resolutions
and discussions within the UN that an arms
race in outer space should be prevented.
However, due to the structure of the
international legal regime and to the
objection of a few States (mainly the United
States
346
), a treaty on PAROS has not yet
been negotiated to comprehensively prevent
344
UNIDIR is an autonomous entity within the UN structure
which role is to inform States and the global community on
questions of international security and to assist with
disarmament efforts.
345
UNIDIR, through its research projects, publications,
small meetings and expert networks tries to bridge the gap
between researchers, diplomats, government officials,
non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and other
institutions to explore both current and future security
issues.
346
The United Statesâ delegations to multilateral
disarmament fora routinely argues that there is no arms
race in space and that there is no prospect of an arms race
in space and that it will continue to protect its access to,
and use of, space.
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Space Policies, Issues and Trends 2007/2008
the deployment of weapons in space or to
prevent an arms race in outer space.
Furthermore, some delegations and experts
have argued that PAROS is not the most
relevant term or treaty to pursue. In this
context, discussions in the CD have recently
evolved by shifting focus on a treaty to
prevent the placement of weapons in outer
space. On 12 February 2008, Russia's Foreign
Minister, Sergey Lavrov, addressed the CD
and presented a joint Russia-China draft
Treaty on the Prevention of the Placement of
Weapons in Outer Space, the Threat or Use
of Force against Outer Space Objects (PPWT).
It is the first draft treaty on this issue
formally introduced to the CD, though it is
based on elements proposed in a working
paper to the CD in June 2002 by Russia,
China, Vietnam, Indonesia, Belarus,
Zimbabwe, and Syria.
7 . 4 N o n - g o v e r n m e n t a l
o r g a n i s a t i o n s ( N G O s )
A new type of actors is increasingly getting
involved in space affairs at a transnational
level: NGOs. In particular, in 2007/2008, the
United Nations Conference of Non
Governmental Organisations (UN-CONGO) in
consultative relationships with the UN and
other stakeholders such as international,
non-profit membership association of NGOs
organised a Forum on Civil Society and Outer
Space in Vienna (Austria) on 8-9 October
2007. The focus of the meeting was on three
domains: the use of space, the rules of the
road, and the relevance and benefits of space
applications and safeguarding space. A
position paper calling for setting up an NGO
Committee on Outer Space was adopted on
the occasion of this event.
One of the most active NGOs is the Space
Generation Advisory Council in Support of the
United Nations Programme on Space
Applications (SGAC), which is an international
non-profit organisation presenting views of
the youth in space issues to the UN, space
agencies and other bodies.
347
In 2007/2008
SGAC finalised the second round of surveys
for a project on youth vision for the next 50
years of space exploration. On behalf of its
members, it addressed the UNIDIR annual
conference on space security, under the
theme of providing security for the Next
Generation. In March 2008, SGAC announced
an international youth technical paper
347
It has a permanent observer status at the UNCOPUOS
and is a member of the International Astronautical
Federation (IAF).
competition to develop unique and innovative
concepts to deflect an asteroid or comet that
could impact the Earth (referred to as
mitigation). The SGAC working group on Near
Earth Objects (NEOs), which has been
actively contributing to the UN COPUOS
Action Team 14 on NEOs conducted a survey
on "NEOs â A Youth Perspective" results of
which were presented during the COPUOS
S&T Subcommittee in February 2008. SGAC
also concluded a study concerning the
Applications of Global Satellite Navigation
Systems, results of which were presented at
the United Nations/Colombia/United States of
America Workshop on the Applications of
Global Navigation Satellite Systems which
took place in Medellin (Colombia) on 23 - 27
June 2008.
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Acknowledgments
The author would like to thank all the experts who have provided input to this study by sharing
their experiences and insights during the course of the project.
The author would also like to thank Prof. Kai-Uwe Schrogl for his supervision and insights. The
author would also like to express its gratitude to its colleagues at ESPI.
The author would also like to acknowledge the precious support of Julie Abou Yehia and Raphaelle
Delmotte who served as research assistants at different stages in the study.
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Mission Statement of ESPI
The mission of the European Space Policy Institute (ESPI) is to provide decision-makers
with an independent view and analysis on mid- to long-term issues relevant to the use of
space.
Through its activities, ESPI contributes to facilitate the decision-making process,
increases awareness of space technologies and applications with the user communities,
opinion leaders and the public at large, and supports students and researchers in their
space-related work.
To fulfil these objectives, the Institute supports a network of experts and centres of
excellence working with ESPI in-house analysts.
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www.espi.or.at